NL Industries, Inc.

NL Industries, Inc.

NLยทNYSE

$5.99

+1.4%
IndustrialsSecurity & Protection Services

NL Industries, Inc., through its subsidiary, CompX International Inc., operates in the component products industry in the United States and internationally. The company manufactures and sells mechanical and electronic cabinet locks, and other locking mechanisms, including disc tumbler locks, pin tumbler locking mechanisms, and CompX eLock and StealthLock electronic locks for use in various applications, such as ignition systems, mailboxes, file cabinets, desk drawers, tool storage cabinets, integrated inventory and access control secured narcotics boxes, vending and cash containment machines, medical cabinetry, electronic circuit panels, storage compartments, and gas station security. It also offers original equipment and aftermarket stainless steel exhaust headers, exhaust pipes, mufflers, and other exhaust components; gauges, such as GPS speedometers and tachometers; mechanical and electronic controls and throttles; wake enhancement devices, trim tabs, steering wheels, and other billet aluminum accessories; grab handles, pin cleats, and other accessories; and dash panels, LED indicators, wire harnesses, and other accessories primarily for performance and ski/wakeboard boats. In addition, the company offers insurance brokerage and risk management services. It sells its component products directly to original equipment manufacturers, as well as through distributors. NL Industries, Inc. was founded in 1891 and is based in Dallas, Texas. NL Industries, Inc. is a subsidiary of Valhi, Inc.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$292.69M
EPS-0.7700
P/E Ratio-7.78
Earnings Date08/05/2026

Intrinsic Alpha Methodology

Thesis Lenses

Signal ยท Driver ยท Risk

Signal

Medium confidence

Valuation multiple is compressed (P/E -7.8).

Valuation inputs: P/E -7.8, earnings yield N/A, momentum +1.4%.

If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.

Driver

High confidence

Return profile is soft (ROE -10.5%, ROIC +2.1%).

Profitability stack: net margin -23.9%, ROE -10.5%, ROIC +2.1%.

Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.

Risk

High confidence

Risk profile is balanced but has notable pressure points to monitor.

Risk factors: liabilities/assets +19.8%, momentum +1.4%, net margin -23.9%.

Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.

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NL Industries, Inc. Market vs Earnings Trajectory

NL ยท NYSE
Current Price
$5.99
EPS (TTM)
$-0.69

Performance Analysis

EPS Growth

-163.1%

Declining earnings warrant investigation into business challenges and competitive position.

Price-EPS Relationship

Aligned

Both price and earnings are declining together, reflecting deteriorating business fundamentals.

Stock Price Change

-13.4%

Over the 1Y period, stock price has decreased by 13.4%.

P/E Ratio (TTM)

-7.8x

Relatively low P/E may indicate undervaluation or lower growth expectations.

NL Industries, Inc.

NL Industries, Inc. Fair Value Envelope

NL ยท NYSE

Our analysis suggests that NL has a fair value of HIDDEN per share in the Base Case projection. With shares currently trading at $5.99, this represents a potential HIDDEN relative to our calculated worth for NL Industries, Inc..

Intrinsic Value
Current Price: $5.99
3Y-212.0%
5Y-357.0%
10Y-348.0%
3Y-5.0%
5Y+38.0%
10Y+45.0%
3Y-212.0%
5Y-358.0%
10Y-347.0%
3Y-235.0%
5Y-291.0%
10Y-231.0%
3Y-273.0%
5Y-332.0%
10Y-264.0%
3Y-23.0%
5Y-14.0%
10Y+22.0%
NL Industries, Inc.

NL Industries, Inc. Profit Bridge

NL ยท NYSE
Revenue158.28M
Cost of Goods Sold (110.11M)
Gross Profit48.18M
Operating Expenses (34.60M)
Operating Income13.57M
Interest Expense (767.00K)
Other Income/Expense-65.00M
Pretax Income-51.42M
Income Tax (-16.05M)
Net Income-37.83M
Net Income
-37.83M

Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin

30.4%

Moderate margins typical of competitive industries. Monitor for pricing pressure or rising costs.

Operating Margin

8.6%

Acceptable margins but limited operational leverage. Operating expense control is important.

Net Profit Margin

-23.9%

Net losses indicate the company is burning cash. Sustainability depends on path to profitability.

Profitability Insight

Margin squeeze alert: Healthy gross margins but weak operating margins suggest excessive operating expenses. Cost optimization could unlock significant value.

30.44%
Gross Profit Margin
7%
3Y+4.0%
5Y+6.0%
10Y-6.0%
8.58%
Operating Profit Margin
-67%
3Y+4.0%
5Y+317.0%
10Y-1034.0%
-23.90%
Net Profit Margin
-152%
3Y-218.0%
5Y-286.0%
10Y-270.0%
-10.54%
Return on Equity
-162%
3Y-219.0%
5Y-324.0%
10Y-223.0%
-8.05%
Return on Assets
-169%
3Y-245.0%
5Y-401.0%
10Y-303.0%
2.08%
Return on Invested Capital
-68%
3Y-6.0%
5Y+359.0%
10Y-712.0%
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NL Industries, Inc. Cash Conversion Engine

NL ยท NYSE
Net Income-35.37M
Depreciation & Amortization3.65M
Stock-Based Compensation0.00
Change in Working Capital-63.34M
Others74.88M
Capital Expenditures-3.75M
Free Cash Flow-40.15M

Cash Flow Quality Analysis

FCF Conversion Rate

113.5%

Excellent cash generation. The company converts earnings to cash at or above 100%, indicating high-quality earnings.

CapEx Intensity

-10.3%

Asset-light business model. Low capital requirements leave more cash available for shareholders and growth investments.

FCF Growth Trend

-266.3%

Significant FCF decline raises concerns. Urgent review needed of operational performance and capital allocation.

Working Capital Impact

-$63.34M

Significant working capital drain. Growth may be consuming cash through inventory buildup or receivables extensionโ€”monitor closely.

Cash Flow Quality Insight

Working capital strain: Significant cash tied up in operations. Monitor receivables collection, inventory turns, and payment terms to optimize cash conversion cycle.

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NL Industries, Inc. Funding & Solvency Profile

NL ยท NYSE
Cash & Cash Equivalents0.00
Net Receivables0.00
Inventory0.00
Other Current Assets0.00
Total Current Assets0
Property, Plant & Equipment0.00
Goodwill & Intangible Assets0.00
Long-Term Investments0.00
Other Non-Current Assets0.00
Total Non-Current Assets0
Total Assets
0.00

Financial Health Analysis

Working Capital

-14628000

Negative working capital indicates short-term liabilities exceed short-term assetsโ€”potential liquidity stress.

Asset Composition

0% Current

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NL Industries, Inc. Street Expectations Map

NL ยท NYSE

Wall Street analysts project that NL stock may experience modest gains over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 6.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 6.00 to a high of 6.00.

Lowest Target
6.00
0.17%
Consensus Target
6.00
0.17%
Highest Target
6.00
0.17%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 6.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 6.00 to a high of 6.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

+0.2%

Fair value territory. Stock trading near consensus target suggests limited near-term catalysts. Focus on fundamental developments.

Analyst Agreement

0.0% spread

High analyst agreement. Narrow target range indicates strong consensus on valuation, suggesting clear investment thesis and predictable outlook.

Analyst Conviction

Moderate

Neutral sentiment. Fair value pricing with moderate agreement suggests wait-and-see approach or catalyst-driven opportunity.

Market Sentiment Insight

Efficient pricing: Stock trading at fair value with strong consensus suggests market has priced in expectations. Look for fundamental inflection points or new catalysts to drive meaningful moves.

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NL Industries, Inc. Insider Positioning

NL ยท NYSE

During the last 12 months, there has been no insider trading activity reported for NL.

3 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

3-6 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

6-9 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

9-12 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

Top Buyers

No buying activity

Top Sellers

No selling activity

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Neutral

No insider trading activity reported. This could indicate blackout periods, lack of conviction, or regulatory restrictions.

Insider Participation

No Activity

No insider trading activity reported from any insiders in the past year.

0.62%
Dividend Yield
-62%
3Y-46.0%
5Y-23.0%
10Y-
ย 

nl Dividend History

NL
10Y CAGR 2%
Latest $0.1
Annual $0.68
Stable dividend payments
Last Period: +0%