Natural Gas Services Group, Inc.

Natural Gas Services Group, Inc.

NGSยทNYSE

$41.36

+2.1%
EnergyOil & Gas Equipment & Services

Natural Gas Services Group, Inc. provides natural gas compression services and equipment to the energy industry in the United States. It fabricates, manufactures, rents, and sells natural gas compressors and related equipment. The company primarily engages in the rental of compression units that provide small, medium, and large horsepower applications for unconventional oil and natural gas production. As of December 31, 2021, the company had 2,023 natural gas compression units in its rental fleet with 418,041 horsepower. The company also engages in the design, fabrication, and assembly of compressor components into compressor units for rental or sale; engineers and fabricates natural gas compressors; and designs and manufactures a line of reciprocating compressor frames, cylinders, and parts. In addition, it is involved in the design, fabrication, sale, installation, and service of flare stacks and related ignition and control devices for the onshore and offshore incineration of gas compounds, such as hydrogen sulfide, carbon dioxide, natural gas, and liquefied petroleum gases. Further, the company offers customer support services for its compressor and flare sales business; and exchange and rebuild program for small horsepower screw compressors. Its primary customers are exploration and production(E&P) companies that utilize compressor units for artificial lift applications; E&P companies that focuses on natural gas-weighted production; and midstream companies. Natural Gas Services Group, Inc. was incorporated in 1998 and is headquartered in Midland, Texas.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$521.07M
EPS1.5900
P/E Ratio26.01
Earnings Date08/10/2026

Intrinsic Alpha Methodology

Thesis Lenses

Signal ยท Driver ยท Risk

Signal

High confidence

Valuation multiple is elevated (P/E 26.0).

Valuation inputs: P/E 26.0, earnings yield +3.8%, momentum +2.1%.

If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.

Driver

High confidence

Return profile is soft (ROE +7.2%, ROIC +5.4%).

Profitability stack: net margin +11.6%, ROE +7.2%, ROIC +5.4%.

Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.

Risk

High confidence

Downside profile looks controlled across current risk inputs.

Risk factors: liabilities/assets +53.2%, momentum +2.1%, net margin +11.6%.

Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.

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Natural Gas Services Group, Inc. Market vs Earnings Trajectory

NGS ยท NYSE

Loading price and EPS data...

Natural Gas Services Group, Inc.

Natural Gas Services Group, Inc. Fair Value Envelope

NGS ยท NYSE

Our analysis suggests that NGS has a fair value of HIDDEN per share in the Base Case projection. With shares currently trading at $41.36, this represents a potential HIDDEN relative to our calculated worth for Natural Gas Services Group, Inc..

Intrinsic Value
Current Price: $41.36
3Y-3542.0%
5Y+1036.0%
10Y+212.0%
3Y+103.0%
5Y+153.0%
10Y+140.0%
3Y-3602.0%
5Y+1002.0%
10Y+208.0%
3Y+127.0%
5Y+93.0%
10Y+92.0%
3Y-274.0%
5Y+273.0%
10Y+128.0%
3Y+79.0%
5Y+91.0%
10Y+100.0%
Natural Gas Services Group, Inc.

Natural Gas Services Group, Inc. Profit Bridge

NGS ยท NYSE
Revenue172.31M
Cost of Goods Sold (108.43M)
Gross Profit63.88M
Operating Expenses (23.52M)
Operating Income40.45M
Interest Expense (13.56M)
Other Income/Expense-13.91M
Pretax Income26.53M
Income Tax (6.60M)
Net Income19.93M
Net Income
19.93M

Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin

37.1%

Strong gross margins indicate healthy pricing and efficient production or service delivery.

Operating Margin

23.5%

Healthy operating margins demonstrate effective cost control and strong business fundamentals.

Net Profit Margin

11.6%

Strong net margins indicate efficient operations and favorable tax/interest management.

Effective Tax Rate

24.9%

Moderate tax rate typical for most corporations. Represents standard tax burden on profits.

Profitability Insight

Room for improvement: Moderate profitability with opportunities to enhance margins through better cost management or pricing strategy.

37.07%
Gross Profit Margin
3%
3Y+119.0%
5Y+240.0%
10Y+48.0%
23.47%
Operating Profit Margin
10%
3Y+4519.0%
5Y-544.0%
10Y+100.0%
11.56%
Net Profit Margin
5%
3Y-1824.0%
5Y+335.0%
10Y+28.0%
7.25%
Return on Equity
7%
3Y-3033.0%
5Y+909.0%
10Y+161.0%
3.40%
Return on Assets
-3%
3Y-2060.0%
5Y+476.0%
10Y+54.0%
5.40%
Return on Invested Capital
-3%
3Y+3636.0%
5Y+635.0%
10Y+141.0%
NGS

Natural Gas Services Group, Inc. Cash Conversion Engine

NGS ยท NYSE
Net Income19.93M
Depreciation & Amortization36.66M
Stock-Based Compensation2.13M
Change in Working Capital-7.87M
Others5.43M
Capital Expenditures1.98M
Free Cash Flow64.90M

Cash Flow Quality Analysis

FCF Conversion Rate

325.7%

Excellent cash generation. The company converts earnings to cash at or above 100%, indicating high-quality earnings.

CapEx Intensity

3.1%

Asset-light business model. Low capital requirements leave more cash available for shareholders and growth investments.

FCF Growth Trend

+1115.2%

Strong FCF growth demonstrates improving cash generation and business momentum. Positive signal for sustainability.

Working Capital Impact

-$7.87M

Minimal working capital impact on FCF. Changes in operating assets and liabilities well-managed.

Cash Flow Quality Insight

Exceptional cash generation: High-quality earnings converting to growing free cash flow. The company demonstrates strong pricing power, efficient operations, and disciplined capital allocation.

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Natural Gas Services Group, Inc. Funding & Solvency Profile

NGS ยท NYSE
Cash & Cash Equivalents2.31M
Net Receivables22.95M
Inventory21.78M
Other Current Assets16.03M
Total Current Assets63 M
Property, Plant & Equipment11.99M
Goodwill & Intangible Assets0.00
Long-Term Investments0.00
Other Non-Current Assets513.85M
Total Non-Current Assets526 M
Total Assets
588.91M

Financial Health Analysis

Current Ratio

2.70x

Excellent liquidity position. The company can easily cover its short-term obligations with substantial cushion.

Debt-to-Equity Ratio

1.10x

Elevated leverage. Debt exceeds equity, which amplifies both gains and risks. Monitor debt servicing ability.

Working Capital

40 M

Strong working capital position provides significant operational flexibility and financial cushion.

Asset Composition

11% Current

Capital-intensive business with significant long-term investments in property, equipment, or intangibles.

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Natural Gas Services Group, Inc. Street Expectations Map

NGS ยท NYSE

Wall Street analysts project that NGS stock may experience modest gains over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 42.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 42.00 to a high of 42.00.

Lowest Target
42.00
1.55%
Consensus Target
42.00
1.55%
Highest Target
42.00
1.55%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 42.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 42.00 to a high of 42.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

+1.6%

Fair value territory. Stock trading near consensus target suggests limited near-term catalysts. Focus on fundamental developments.

Analyst Agreement

0.0% spread

High analyst agreement. Narrow target range indicates strong consensus on valuation, suggesting clear investment thesis and predictable outlook.

Analyst Conviction

Moderate

Neutral sentiment. Fair value pricing with moderate agreement suggests wait-and-see approach or catalyst-driven opportunity.

Market Sentiment Insight

Efficient pricing: Stock trading at fair value with strong consensus suggests market has priced in expectations. Look for fundamental inflection points or new catalysts to drive meaningful moves.

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Natural Gas Services Group, Inc. Insider Positioning

NGS ยท NYSE

During the last 12 months, insiders have purchased $311K and sold $7.86M worth of NGS shares, resulting in $7.55M of net selling activity.

3 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

3-6 Months

Bought

3.1K

100.09K

Sold

120.0K

4.41M

Net Activity

-4.3M

-$4.31M

6-9 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

97.3K

2.92M

Net Activity

-2.9M

-$2.92M

9-12 Months

Bought

8.3K

211.09K

Sold

20.0K

530.05K

Net Activity

-319K

-$319K

Top Buyers

1
HJK

Holley Jean K

Director

10.9K sharesโ€ข4 transactions

$299K

2
TSC

Taylor Stephen Charles

Director

459 sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$11K

3
TDJ

Tringali Donald J

Director

34 sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$842

Top Sellers

1
TSC

Taylor Stephen Charles

Director

237.3K sharesโ€ข21 transactions

$7.86M

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bearish

Strong bearish signal with $7.55M net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.

Buy/Sell Ratio

0.04:1

Very poor ratio. Heavy selling with minimal buying suggests insiders may be concerned about valuation or outlook.

Insider Participation

High Buying

3 insider buyers vs. 1 sellers. Broad-based buying across management team suggests widespread confidence.

0.29%
Dividend Yield
-11%
3Y-
5Y-
10Y-
ย 

ngs Dividend History

NGS
10Y CAGR +4%
Latest $0.15
Annual $0.47
5 year growth trend
Last Period: +36%