Vail Resorts, Inc.

Vail Resorts, Inc.

MTNยทNYSE

$133.88

-0.49%
Consumer CyclicalGambling, Resorts & Casinos

Vail Resorts, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates mountain resorts and urban ski areas in the United States. It operates through three segments: Mountain, Lodging, and Real Estate. The Mountain segment operates 37 destination mountain resorts and regional ski areas. This segment is also involved in the ancillary activities, including ski school, dining, and retail/rental operations, as well as real estate brokerage activities. The Lodging segment owns and/or manages various luxury hotels and condominiums, and other lodging properties under the RockResorts brand; various condominiums located in proximity to the company's mountain resorts; destination resorts; and golf courses, as well as offers resort ground transportation services. This segment operates owned and managed hotel and condominium units. The Real Estate segment owns, develops, and sells real estate properties. The company was incorporated in 1997 and is based in Broomfield, Colorado.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$4.77B
EPS7.5400
P/E Ratio17.76
Earnings Date06/04/2026
mtn

Vail Resorts, Inc. Street Expectations Map

MTN ยท NYSE

Wall Street analysts project that MTN stock may rise significantly over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 169.50, with estimates ranging from a low of 139.00 to a high of 234.00.

Lowest Target
139.00
3.82%
Consensus Target
169.50
26.61%
Highest Target
234.00
74.78%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 169.50, with estimates ranging from a low of 139.00 to a high of 234.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

+26.6%

Substantial upside potential. Analysts see significant value gap, suggesting the stock may be materially undervalued at current levels.

Analyst Agreement

56.0% spread

Mixed analyst views. Wide target range suggests differing opinions on key value drivers, growth prospects, or risk factors.

Analyst Conviction

Low

Bearish or uncertain outlook. Limited upside or poor consensus suggests challenges ahead or fundamental concerns.

Market Sentiment Insight

High risk, high reward: Substantial upside potential exists, but wide analyst disagreement signals execution risk or unclear catalysts. Thorough due diligence essential before committing capital.

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Vail Resorts, Inc. Forward Estimates of Revenue

MTN ยท NYSE
Latest Revenue
2.96B
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
2.85B
FY 2026
Estimate Range
2.79B - 2.88B
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth-3.8%

Declining expectations indicate headwindsโ€”investigate whether temporary or structural issues.

Analyst Coverage9 Analysts

Moderate coverageโ€”sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.

Estimate Spread3%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookPositive

Generally favorable outlook with reasonable growth prospects and analyst support.

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Vail Resorts, Inc. Forward Estimates of Net Income

MTN ยท NYSE
Latest Net Income
280.00M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
168.63M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
150.82M - 205.39M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth-39.8%

Significant contraction projectedโ€”major business challenges or industry disruption likely.

Analyst Coverage9 Analysts

Moderate coverageโ€”sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.

Estimate Spread32%

Moderate uncertainty in forecastsโ€”typical for companies with evolving business models.

OutlookNeutral

Mixed signalsโ€”some positive indicators offset by concerns about growth or uncertainty.

Key Insight

Declining estimates with wide disagreement: Analysts projecting contraction without consensus signals significant business uncertaintyโ€”exercise caution.

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Vail Resorts, Inc. Forward Estimates of EPS

MTN ยท NYSE
Latest EPS
7.54
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
$4.75
FY 2026
Estimate Range
$4.05 - $5.52
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth-37.0%

Significant contraction projectedโ€”major business challenges or industry disruption likely.

Analyst Coverage9 Analysts

Moderate coverageโ€”sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.

Estimate Spread31%

Moderate uncertainty in forecastsโ€”typical for companies with evolving business models.

OutlookNeutral

Mixed signalsโ€”some positive indicators offset by concerns about growth or uncertainty.

Key Insight

Declining estimates with wide disagreement: Analysts projecting contraction without consensus signals significant business uncertaintyโ€”exercise caution.

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Vail Resorts, Inc. Forward Estimates of EBIT

MTN ยท NYSE
Latest EBIT
574.02M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
593.02M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
580.54M - 599.26M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+3.3%

Flat growth suggests market maturity or near-term challenges offsetting expansion efforts.

Analyst Coverage9 Analysts

Moderate coverageโ€”sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.

Estimate Spread3%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookPositive

Generally favorable outlook with reasonable growth prospects and analyst support.

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Vail Resorts, Inc. Forward Estimates of EBITDA

MTN ยท NYSE
Latest EBITDA
870.46M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
831.16M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
813.66M - 839.91M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth-4.5%

Declining expectations indicate headwindsโ€”investigate whether temporary or structural issues.

Analyst Coverage9 Analysts

Moderate coverageโ€”sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.

Estimate Spread3%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookPositive

Generally favorable outlook with reasonable growth prospects and analyst support.

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Vail Resorts, Inc. Forward Estimates of SG&A Expense

MTN ยท NYSE
Latest SG&A Expense
433.71M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
408.62M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
400.02M - 412.92M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth-5.8%

Declining expectations indicate headwindsโ€”investigate whether temporary or structural issues.

Analyst Coverage9 Analysts

Moderate coverageโ€”sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.

Estimate Spread3%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookPositive

Generally favorable outlook with reasonable growth prospects and analyst support.

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Vail Resorts, Inc. Insider Positioning

MTN ยท NYSE

During the last 12 months, insiders have purchased $5.03M worth of MTN shares, with no selling activity reported.

3 Months

Bought

37.7K

4.97M

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+5.0M

+$4.97M

3-6 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

6-9 Months

Bought

210

32.55K

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+33K

+$33K

9-12 Months

Bought

200

31.40K

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+31K

+$31K

Top Buyers

1
KRA

Katz Robert A

Director, Officer: Ceo & Chairperson Of The Board

37.5K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$4.94M

2
KAA

Korch Angela A

Officer: Evp & Chief Financial Officer

600 sharesโ€ข3 transactions

$89K

Top Sellers

No selling activity

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bullish

Strong bullish signal with $5.03M net buying. Insiders are aggressively accumulating shares, suggesting significant confidence in future prospects.

Buy/Sell Ratio

โˆž:1

Perfect buy/sell ratio. Only buying activity with zero sellingโ€”the most bullish possible insider signal.

Recent Trend (3 Months)

$4.97M

Very strong recent buying momentum. Recent insider purchases significantly outpace sales, suggesting near-term optimism.

Insider Participation

High Buying

2 insider buyers vs. 0 sellers. Broad-based buying across management team suggests widespread confidence.

Insider Activity Insight

Compelling insider conviction: The combination of strong buy/sell ratio and multiple buyers suggests insiders see attractive risk/reward. Consider this alongside fundamental analysis for confirmation.