MTH - NYSE
Meritage Homes Corporation
$67.11
+0.090%Meritage Homes Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, designs and builds single-family homes in the United States. The company operates through two segments, Homebuilding and Financial Services. It acquires and develops land; and constructs, markets, and sells homes for first-time and first move-up buyers. The company also offers title insurance and closing/settlement services to its homebuyers. It builds and sells homes in Texas, Arizona, California, Colorado, Florida, North Carolina, South Carolina, Georgia, and Tennessee under the Meritage Homes brand name. Meritage Homes Corporation was founded in 1985 and is based in Scottsdale, Arizona.
At a Glance
Live SnapshotMeritage Homes Corporation Street Expectations Map
Wall Street analysts project that MTH stock may rise significantly over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 83.25, with estimates ranging from a low of 77.00 to a high of 90.00.
The consensus 1-year price target stands at 83.25, with estimates ranging from a low of 77.00 to a high of 90.00.
Analyst Consensus Analysis
Upside Potential
Strong upside potential. Consensus indicates attractive return opportunity with favorable risk-reward profile.
Analyst Agreement
High analyst agreement. Narrow target range indicates strong consensus on valuation, suggesting clear investment thesis and predictable outlook.
Analyst Conviction
Strong buy conviction: High upside with tight consensus suggests compelling investment opportunity backed by analyst confidence.
Market Sentiment Insight
Rare opportunity: Exceptional upside potential with strong analyst consensus creates a compelling setup. The combination of significant price target premium and tight agreement suggests high-conviction undervaluation that may attract institutional capital.
Meritage Homes Corporation Forward Estimates of Revenue
Forward Growth Analysis
Declining expectations indicate headwinds—investigate whether temporary or structural issues.
Limited coverage may indicate reduced institutional interest or information availability.
Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.
Mixed signals—some positive indicators offset by concerns about growth or uncertainty.
Meritage Homes Corporation Forward Estimates of Net Income
Forward Growth Analysis
Significant contraction projected—major business challenges or industry disruption likely.
Limited coverage may indicate reduced institutional interest or information availability.
Reasonable estimate spread indicates general agreement with normal forecast variance.
Mixed signals—some positive indicators offset by concerns about growth or uncertainty.
Key Insight
Limited coverage with volatile estimates: Few analysts covering despite significant projected changes may indicate information gaps or emerging risks.
Meritage Homes Corporation Forward Estimates of EPS
Forward Growth Analysis
Significant contraction projected—major business challenges or industry disruption likely.
Moderate coverage—sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.
Reasonable estimate spread indicates general agreement with normal forecast variance.
Generally favorable outlook with reasonable growth prospects and analyst support.
Meritage Homes Corporation Forward Estimates of EBIT
Forward Growth Analysis
Strong growth expectations signal robust business momentum and market opportunity expansion.
Limited coverage may indicate reduced institutional interest or information availability.
Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.
Positive analyst consensus with strong growth expectations and forecast confidence.
Key Insight
Compelling growth story with analyst consensus: Strong projected growth combined with narrow estimate spread suggests high-conviction opportunity.
Meritage Homes Corporation Forward Estimates of EBITDA
Forward Growth Analysis
Strong growth expectations signal robust business momentum and market opportunity expansion.
Limited coverage may indicate reduced institutional interest or information availability.
Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.
Positive analyst consensus with strong growth expectations and forecast confidence.
Key Insight
Compelling growth story with analyst consensus: Strong projected growth combined with narrow estimate spread suggests high-conviction opportunity.
Meritage Homes Corporation Forward Estimates of SG&A Expense
Forward Growth Analysis
Strong growth expectations signal robust business momentum and market opportunity expansion.
Limited coverage may indicate reduced institutional interest or information availability.
Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.
Positive analyst consensus with strong growth expectations and forecast confidence.
Key Insight
Compelling growth story with analyst consensus: Strong projected growth combined with narrow estimate spread suggests high-conviction opportunity.
Meritage Homes Corporation Insider Positioning
During the last 12 months, insiders have purchased $419K and sold $1.58M worth of MTH shares, resulting in $1.16M of net selling activity.
3 Months
0
0.00
1.3K
79.07K
-79K
-$79K
3-6 Months
0
0.00
11.0K
860.43K
-860K
-$860K
6-9 Months
0
0.00
0
0.00
+0
+$0
9-12 Months
6.2K
418.64K
8.1K
639.43K
-221K
-$221K
Top Buyers
Keough Joseph
Director
$265K
Arriola Dennis V
Director
$154K
Top Sellers
Lord Phillippe
Director, Officer: Chief Executive Officer
$956K
Hilton Steven J
Director, Officer: Executive Chairman
$322K
Sasser Alison
Officer: Svp - Chief Accounting Officer
$145K
Clinton Malissia
Officer: Evp - Gen. Counsel, Secretary
$83K
Woffinden Austin M
Officer: Evp, Corp. Ops & Strategy
$72K
Insider Activity Analysis
Net Insider Sentiment
Strong bearish signal with $1.16M net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.
Buy/Sell Ratio
Weak buy/sell ratio. Selling significantly exceeds buying—monitor for potential fundamental concerns.
Recent Trend (3 Months)
Heavy recent selling activity. Recent insider sales notably exceed purchases—may warrant investigation into company developments.
Insider Participation
5 insider sellers vs. 2 buyers. Widespread selling across multiple insiders may signal concerns.
Insider Activity Insight
Multiple red flags: Heavy selling, numerous sellers, and continued recent selling create a concerning pattern. Investigate fundamental drivers and consider whether company guidance or industry conditions have deteriorated.
Related Guides
Continue your MTH research with focused valuation guides.
Research Paths
Snapshot
Start with context, operating signals, and key market metrics.
Value Model
Stress test fair value across bear, base, and bull assumptions.
Statements
Validate revenue quality, margins, and balance sheet durability.
Earnings Call
Read management commentary and compare it with reported outcomes.
Dividends
Check payout sustainability and long-term distribution behavior.
Analyst Expectations
Review consensus spread and where estimate risk is concentrated.