Matador Resources Company

Matador Resources Company

MTDRยทNYSE

$56.54

-0.035%
EnergyOil & Gas Exploration & Production

Matador Resources Company, an independent energy company, engages in the exploration, development, production, and acquisition of oil and natural gas resources in the United States. It operates through two segments, Exploration and Production; and Midstream. The company primarily holds interests in the Wolfcamp and Bone Spring plays in the Delaware Basin in Southeast New Mexico and West Texas. It also operates the Eagle Ford shale play in South Texas; and the Haynesville shale and Cotton Valley plays in Northwest Louisiana. In addition, the company conducts midstream operations in support of its exploration, development, and production operations; provides natural gas processing and oil transportation services; and offers oil, natural gas, and produced water gathering services, as well as produced water disposal services to third parties. As of December 31, 2021, its estimated total proved oil and natural gas reserves were 323.4 million barrels of oil equivalent, including 181.3 million stock tank barrels of oil and 852.5 billion cubic feet of natural gas. The company was formerly known as Matador Holdco, Inc. and changed its name to Matador Resources Company in August 2011. Matador Resources Company was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Dallas, Texas.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$7.02B
EPS6.1000
P/E Ratio9.27
Earnings Date07/28/2026

Intrinsic Alpha Methodology

Thesis Lenses

Signal ยท Driver ยท Risk

Signal

High confidence

Valuation multiple is compressed (P/E 9.3).

Valuation inputs: P/E 9.3, earnings yield +10.8%, momentum -0.0%.

If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.

Driver

High confidence

Return profile is acceptable (ROE +13.4%, ROIC +9.1%).

Profitability stack: net margin +20.8%, ROE +13.4%, ROIC +9.1%.

Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.

Risk

High confidence

Downside profile looks controlled across current risk inputs.

Risk factors: liabilities/assets +49.5%, momentum -0.0%, net margin +20.8%.

Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.

mtdr

Matador Resources Company Market vs Earnings Trajectory

MTDR ยท NYSE

Loading price and EPS data...

Matador Resources Company

Matador Resources Company Fair Value Envelope

MTDR ยท NYSE

Our analysis suggests that MTDR has a fair value of HIDDEN per share in the Base Case projection. With shares currently trading at $56.54, this represents a potential HIDDEN relative to our calculated worth for Matador Resources Company.

Intrinsic Value
Current Price: $56.54
3Y-41.0%
5Y-228.0%
10Y-670.0%
3Y+20.0%
5Y+328.0%
10Y+1283.0%
3Y-37.0%
5Y-228.0%
10Y-879.0%
3Y+23.0%
5Y+408.0%
10Y+1709.0%
3Y-73.0%
5Y-180.0%
10Y-176.0%
3Y+114.0%
5Y+222.0%
10Y+711.0%
Matador Resources Company

Matador Resources Company Profit Bridge

MTDR ยท NYSE
Revenue3.66B
Cost of Goods Sold (2.06B)
Gross Profit1.60B
Operating Expenses (412.70M)
Operating Income1.19B
Interest Expense (208.52M)
Other Income/Expense-153.34M
Pretax Income1.03B
Income Tax (172.68M)
Net Income759.22M
Net Income
759.22M

Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin

43.7%

Strong gross margins indicate healthy pricing and efficient production or service delivery.

Operating Margin

32.5%

Outstanding operational efficiency. The company generates substantial profit from core operations.

Net Profit Margin

20.8%

Exceptional profitability. The company converts a significant portion of revenue to bottom-line earnings.

Effective Tax Rate

16.7%

Moderate tax rate typical for most corporations. Represents standard tax burden on profits.

Profitability Insight

Exceptional profitability across all levels: Strong pricing power, efficient operations, and healthy bottom line indicate a high-quality business with sustainable competitive advantages.

43.74%
Gross Profit Margin
-1%
3Y-29.0%
5Y+69.0%
10Y+207.0%
32.46%
Operating Profit Margin
-21%
3Y-44.0%
5Y-153.0%
10Y-148.0%
20.76%
Net Profit Margin
-18%
3Y-48.0%
5Y-130.0%
10Y-156.0%
13.42%
Return on Equity
-23%
3Y-66.0%
5Y-129.0%
10Y-195.0%
6.39%
Return on Assets
-22%
3Y-71.0%
5Y-140.0%
10Y-196.0%
9.06%
Return on Invested Capital
-19%
3Y-66.0%
5Y-165.0%
10Y-167.0%
MTDR

Matador Resources Company Cash Conversion Engine

MTDR ยท NYSE
Net Income860.77M
Depreciation & Amortization1.20B
Stock-Based Compensation18.33M
Change in Working Capital176.19M
Others8.79M
Capital Expenditures-2.18B
Free Cash Flow241.64M

Cash Flow Quality Analysis

FCF Conversion Rate

28.1%

Weak cash conversion. Significant portion of earnings not converting to cashโ€”review working capital trends and capital intensity.

CapEx Intensity

90.0%

Very high capital intensity consumes most operating cash flow. Limited flexibility for dividends or debt reduction.

FCF Growth Trend

-13.7%

Declining FCF warrants attention. Investigate whether due to temporary factors or fundamental deterioration.

Working Capital Impact

+$176.19M

Working capital inflow boosted cash flow. Efficient management of receivables, inventory, and payables contributing positively.

Cash Flow Quality Insight

Capital-intensive growth: Heavy reinvestment limits current cash available but may drive future returns. Assess whether CapEx supports compelling growth opportunities with adequate ROI.

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Matador Resources Company Funding & Solvency Profile

MTDR ยท NYSE
Cash & Cash Equivalents30.45M
Net Receivables0.00
Inventory45.58M
Other Current Assets1.01B
Total Current Assets1 B
Property, Plant & Equipment58.01M
Goodwill & Intangible Assets0.00
Long-Term Investments0.00
Other Non-Current Assets11.03B
Total Non-Current Assets11 B
Total Assets
12.17B

Financial Health Analysis

Current Ratio

0.73x

Warning: Liquidity concerns. Current assets may not be sufficient to cover short-term obligations.

Debt-to-Equity Ratio

0.65x

Balanced capital structure with moderate leverage. Equity exceeds debt, suggesting healthy financial stability.

Working Capital

-394239000

Negative working capital indicates short-term liabilities exceed short-term assetsโ€”potential liquidity stress.

Asset Composition

9% Current

Capital-intensive business with significant long-term investments in property, equipment, or intangibles.

Financial Health Insight

Negative working capital with limited cash reserves requires immediate attentionโ€”potential liquidity crisis if not addressed promptly.

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Matador Resources Company Street Expectations Map

MTDR ยท NYSE

Wall Street analysts project that MTDR stock may rise significantly over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 69.25, with estimates ranging from a low of 50.00 to a high of 79.00.

Lowest Target
50.00
-11.57%
Consensus Target
69.25
22.48%
Highest Target
79.00
39.72%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 69.25, with estimates ranging from a low of 50.00 to a high of 79.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

+22.5%

Strong upside potential. Consensus indicates attractive return opportunity with favorable risk-reward profile.

Analyst Agreement

41.9% spread

Mixed analyst views. Wide target range suggests differing opinions on key value drivers, growth prospects, or risk factors.

Risk-Reward Profile

3.43x

Favorable risk-reward. Potential upside significantly exceeds downside risk, offering asymmetric return profile attractive for risk-tolerant investors.

Analyst Conviction

Moderate

Neutral sentiment. Fair value pricing with moderate agreement suggests wait-and-see approach or catalyst-driven opportunity.

Market Sentiment Insight

Asymmetric upside: Strong return potential with favorable risk-reward profile. The limited downside relative to upside makes this an attractive risk-adjusted opportunity for growth-oriented portfolios.

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Matador Resources Company Insider Positioning

MTDR ยท NYSE

During the last 12 months, insiders have purchased $2.42M worth of MTDR shares, with no selling activity reported.

3 Months

Bought

7.7K

405.39K

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+405K

+$405K

3-6 Months

Bought

468

23.30K

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+23K

+$23K

6-9 Months

Bought

40.9K

1.65M

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+1.6M

+$1.65M

9-12 Months

Bought

7.0K

338.35K

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+338K

+$338K

Top Buyers

1
FJW

Foran Joseph Wm

Director, Officer: Chairman And Ceo

30.5K sharesโ€ข10 transactions

$1.35M

2
CCP

Calvert Christopher P

Officer: Evp And Cfo

5.0K sharesโ€ข3 transactions

$226K

3
WSM

Ward Susan M

Director

5.0K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$195K

4
ASF

Appel Shelley F

Director

4.3K sharesโ€ข5 transactions

$167K

5
MRT

Macalik Robert T

Officer: Evp, Chief Financial Officer

2.5K sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$98K

Top Sellers

No selling activity

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bullish

Strong bullish signal with $2.42M net buying. Insiders are aggressively accumulating shares, suggesting significant confidence in future prospects.

Buy/Sell Ratio

โˆž:1

Perfect buy/sell ratio. Only buying activity with zero sellingโ€”the most bullish possible insider signal.

Recent Trend (3 Months)

$405K

Very strong recent buying momentum. Recent insider purchases significantly outpace sales, suggesting near-term optimism.

Insider Participation

High Buying

5 insider buyers vs. 0 sellers. Broad-based buying across management team suggests widespread confidence.

Insider Activity Insight

Strong confluence of bullish signals: High buy/sell ratio, multiple insiders participating, and recent buying momentum all point to significant insider confidence. This level of coordinated buying often precedes positive developments.

0.60%
Dividend Yield
-32%
3Y+92.0%
5Y+465.0%
10Y-
ย 

mtdr Dividend History

MTDR
10Y CAGR +31%
Latest $0.375
Annual $1.75
5 year growth trend
Last Period: +0%