M&T Bank Corporation

M&T Bank Corporation

MTBยทNYSE

$214.03

+1.1%
Financial ServicesBanks - Regional

M&T Bank Corporation operates as a bank holding company that provides commercial and retail banking services. The company's Business Banking segment offers deposit, lending, cash management, and other financial services to small businesses and professionals. Its Commercial Banking segment provides deposit products, commercial lending and leasing, letters of credit, and cash management services for middle-market and large commercial customers. The company's Commercial Real Estate segment originates, sells, and services commercial real estate loans; and offers deposit services. Its Discretionary Portfolio segment provides deposits; securities, residential real estate loans, and other assets; and short and long term borrowed funds, as well as foreign exchange services. The company's Residential Mortgage Banking segment offers residential real estate loans for consumers and sells those loans in the secondary market; and purchases servicing rights to loans originated by other entities. Its Retail Banking segment offers demand, savings, and time accounts; consumer installment loans, automobile and recreational finance loans, home equity loans and lines of credit, and credit cards; mutual funds and annuities; and other services. The company also provides trust and wealth management; fiduciary and custodial; insurance agency; institutional brokerage and securities; and investment management services. It offers its services through banking offices, business banking centers, telephone and internet banking, and automated teller machines. As of December 31, 2021, the company operates 688 domestic banking offices in New York State, Maryland, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Delaware, Connecticut, Virginia, West Virginia, and the District of Columbia; and a full-service commercial banking office in Ontario, Canada. M&T Bank Corporation was founded in 1856 and is headquartered in Buffalo, New York.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$31.34B
EPS17.1000
P/E Ratio12.52
Earnings Date07/15/2026

Intrinsic Alpha Methodology

Thesis Lenses

Signal ยท Driver ยท Risk

Signal

High confidence

Valuation multiple is compressed (P/E 12.5).

Valuation inputs: P/E 12.5, earnings yield +8.0%, momentum +1.1%.

If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.

Driver

High confidence

Return profile is acceptable (ROE +9.8%, ROIC +6.8%).

Profitability stack: net margin +23.2%, ROE +9.8%, ROIC +6.8%.

Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.

Risk

High confidence

Risk profile is balanced but has notable pressure points to monitor.

Risk factors: liabilities/assets +86.3%, momentum +1.1%, net margin +23.2%.

Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.

mtb

M&T Bank Corporation Market vs Earnings Trajectory

MTB ยท NYSE

Loading price and EPS data...

M&T Bank Corporation

M&T Bank Corporation Fair Value Envelope

MTB ยท NYSE

Our analysis suggests that MTB has a fair value of HIDDEN per share in the Base Case projection. With shares currently trading at $214.03, this represents a potential HIDDEN relative to our calculated worth for M&T Bank Corporation.

Intrinsic Value
Current Price: $214.03
3Y+48.0%
5Y+72.0%
10Y+119.0%
3Y+46.0%
5Y+96.0%
10Y+115.0%
3Y+43.0%
5Y+111.0%
10Y+117.0%
3Y-34.0%
5Y+281.0%
10Y+154.0%
3Y-34.0%
5Y+364.0%
10Y+166.0%
3Y+6.0%
5Y+50.0%
10Y+73.0%
M&T Bank Corporation

M&T Bank Corporation Profit Bridge

MTB ยท NYSE
Revenue12.31B
Cost of Goods Sold (3.12B)
Gross Profit9.19B
Operating Expenses (5.49B)
Operating Income3.69B
Interest Expense (3.54B)
Other Income/Expense0.00
Pretax Income3.69B
Income Tax (841.00M)
Net Income2.85B
Net Income
2.85B

Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin

74.6%

Exceptional pricing power and cost management. The company retains over half of revenue after direct costs.

Operating Margin

30.0%

Outstanding operational efficiency. The company generates substantial profit from core operations.

Net Profit Margin

23.2%

Exceptional profitability. The company converts a significant portion of revenue to bottom-line earnings.

Effective Tax Rate

22.8%

Moderate tax rate typical for most corporations. Represents standard tax burden on profits.

Profitability Insight

Exceptional profitability across all levels: Strong pricing power, efficient operations, and healthy bottom line indicate a high-quality business with sustainable competitive advantages.

74.62%
Gross Profit Margin
16%
3Y-16.0%
5Y-9.0%
10Y-16.0%
29.99%
Operating Profit Margin
21%
3Y-3.0%
5Y+6.0%
10Y-17.0%
23.16%
Net Profit Margin
20%
3Y-2.0%
5Y+8.0%
10Y+1.0%
9.77%
Return on Equity
10%
3Y+24.0%
5Y+17.0%
10Y+22.0%
1.34%
Return on Assets
7%
3Y+35.0%
5Y+41.0%
10Y+25.0%
6.75%
Return on Invested Capital
23%
3Y+11.0%
5Y+3.0%
10Y+33.0%
MTB

M&T Bank Corporation Cash Conversion Engine

MTB ยท NYSE
Net Income2.85B
Depreciation & Amortization498.00M
Stock-Based Compensation136.00M
Change in Working Capital-406.00M
Others-76.00M
Capital Expenditures-143.00M
Free Cash Flow2.86B

Cash Flow Quality Analysis

FCF Conversion Rate

100.3%

Excellent cash generation. The company converts earnings to cash at or above 100%, indicating high-quality earnings.

CapEx Intensity

4.8%

Asset-light business model. Low capital requirements leave more cash available for shareholders and growth investments.

FCF Growth Trend

-15.7%

Significant FCF decline raises concerns. Urgent review needed of operational performance and capital allocation.

Working Capital Impact

-$406.00M

Minimal working capital impact on FCF. Changes in operating assets and liabilities well-managed.

Cash Flow Quality Insight

Asset-light with strong cash conversion: Low capital requirements combined with efficient cash generation creates significant shareholder value through dividends, buybacks, or strategic investments.

mtb

M&T Bank Corporation Funding & Solvency Profile

MTB ยท NYSE
Cash & Cash Equivalents1.90B
Net Receivables0.00
Inventory0.00
Other Current Assets0.00
Total Current Assets41 B
Property, Plant & Equipment0.00
Goodwill & Intangible Assets8.52B
Long-Term Investments0.00
Other Non-Current Assets0.00
Total Non-Current Assets0
Total Assets
214.74B

Financial Health Analysis

Current Ratio

5.16x

Excellent liquidity position. The company can easily cover its short-term obligations with substantial cushion.

Debt-to-Equity Ratio

6.68x

High financial leverage. Heavy reliance on debt may indicate increased financial risk and potential solvency concerns.

Working Capital

33 B

Strong working capital position provides significant operational flexibility and financial cushion.

Asset Composition

19% Current

Capital-intensive business with significant long-term investments in property, equipment, or intangibles.

Financial Health Insight

Mixed signals: Strong short-term liquidity provides comfort, but high overall leverage requires careful monitoring of debt servicing capabilities and refinancing risk.

mtb

M&T Bank Corporation Street Expectations Map

MTB ยท NYSE

Wall Street analysts project that MTB stock may rise significantly over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 237.71, with estimates ranging from a low of 225.00 to a high of 255.00.

Lowest Target
225.00
5.13%
Consensus Target
237.71
11.06%
Highest Target
255.00
19.14%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 237.71, with estimates ranging from a low of 225.00 to a high of 255.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

+11.1%

Moderate upside. Analysts expect positive returns but with limited margin of safety. Consider entry timing.

Analyst Agreement

12.6% spread

High analyst agreement. Narrow target range indicates strong consensus on valuation, suggesting clear investment thesis and predictable outlook.

Analyst Conviction

High

Positive outlook with reasonable agreement. Analysts generally optimistic about prospects with manageable uncertainty.

Market Sentiment Insight

Monitor and evaluate: Current analyst consensus suggests limited conviction or near-term catalysts. Stay informed on company developments and reassess positioning as new information emerges.

mtb

M&T Bank Corporation Insider Positioning

MTB ยท NYSE

During the last 12 months, insiders have sold $20.61M worth of MTB shares, with no buying activity reported.

3 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

3.1K

672.23K

Net Activity

-672K

-$672K

3-6 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

50.8K

11.59M

Net Activity

-11.6M

-$11.59M

6-9 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

11.3K

2.15M

Net Activity

-2.1M

-$2.15M

9-12 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

31.7K

6.20M

Net Activity

-6.2M

-$6.20M

Top Buyers

No buying activity

Top Sellers

1
BJP

Barnes John P

Director

54.1K sharesโ€ข3 transactions

$11.94M

2
SREJ

Sadler Robert E Jr

Director

12.7K sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$2.37M

3
WMA

Wisler Michael A.

Officer: Sr. Executive Vice President

8.2K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$1.84M

4
KCE

Kay Christopher E.

Officer: Sr. Executive Vice President

8.4K sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$1.68M

5
WTS

Woodrow Tracy S.

Officer: Sr. Executive Vice President

4.5K sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$940K

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bearish

Strong bearish signal with $20.61M net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.

Buy/Sell Ratio

0.00:1

Very poor ratio. Heavy selling with minimal buying suggests insiders may be concerned about valuation or outlook.

Recent Trend (3 Months)

$672K

Heavy recent selling activity. Recent insider sales notably exceed purchasesโ€”may warrant investigation into company developments.

Insider Participation

High Selling

5 insider sellers vs. 0 buyers. Widespread selling across multiple insiders may signal concerns.

Insider Activity Insight

Multiple red flags: Heavy selling, numerous sellers, and continued recent selling create a concerning pattern. Investigate fundamental drivers and consider whether company guidance or industry conditions have deteriorated.

0.00%
Dividend Yield
-100%
3Y-100.0%
5Y-100.0%
10Y-100.0%
ย 

mtb Dividend History

MTB
10Y CAGR +8%
Latest $1.5
Annual $7.35
5 year growth trend
Last Period: +0%