MSDL - NYSE

Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Fund

Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Fund

MSDLยทNYSE

$15.15

-2.8%
Financial ServicesFinancial - Conglomerates

Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Fund is a business development and finance company, which engages in lending to middle-market companies. It invests in directly originated senior secured term loans including first lien senior secured term loans and second lien senior secured term loans. The company was founded on May 30, 2019 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

StatementsValue Model

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$1.28B
EPS1.4000
P/E Ratio10.82
Earnings Date08/06/2026
Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Fund

Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Fund Fair Value Envelope

MSDL ยท NYSE

Our analysis suggests that MSDL has a fair value of HIDDEN per share in the Base Case projection. With shares currently trading at $15.15, this represents a potential HIDDEN relative to our calculated worth for Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Fund.

HIDDEN
Intrinsic Value
Current Price: $15.15

Owner Earnings Valuation Tool

Warren Buffett's Owner Earnings DCF analysis for intrinsic value calculation

Historical Financial Data

Base year metrics used for projections

$
%
$
%
$
$

Projection Settings

Forecast period and terminal assumptions

%
%

DCF Valuation Summary

Calculation flow from present value to intrinsic value per share

Present Value$398.7M
+ Cash & Equivalents$81.4M
Firm Value$480.1M
- Debt$2.1B
Equity Value-$1.6B
/ Shares Outstanding86,835,012B
DCF Value-$19
OVERVALUED BY 222%

Owner Earnings Projections

Operating Cash Flow - Maintenance CapEx = Owner Earnings

Metric
Year 1
Year 2
Year 3
Year 4
Year 5
Year 6
Year 7
Year 8
Year 9
Year 10
Operating Cash Flow
$113.0M
$84.7M
$63.4M
$47.5M
$35.6M
$26.6M
$20.0M
$14.9M
$11.2M
$8.4M
Maintenance CapEx
-$0
-$0
-$0
-$0
-$0
-$0
-$0
-$0
-$0
-$0
Owner Earnings
$113.0M
$84.7M
$63.4M
$47.5M
$35.6M
$26.6M
$20.0M
$14.9M
$11.2M
$8.4M
Discount Factor
0.926
0.857
0.794
0.735
0.681
0.630
0.583
0.540
0.500
0.463
Present Value
$104.6M
$72.6M
$50.3M
$34.9M
$24.2M
$16.8M
$11.6M
$8.1M
$5.6M
$3.9M
Terminal Value represents 16.6% of Enterprise Value

Related Guides

Blog Categories

Continue your MSDL research with focused valuation guides.

DCF Modeling

Improve assumptions for intrinsic value accuracy.

Forecasting

Calibrate growth paths and terminal value behavior.

WACC

Refine discount-rate logic for valuation quality.

Cost of Capital

Match risk profile to expected return assumptions.

Research Paths

Pick your next lens
1

Snapshot

Start with context, operating signals, and key market metrics.

2

Value Model

Stress test fair value across bear, base, and bull assumptions.

3

Statements

Validate revenue quality, margins, and balance sheet durability.

4

Earnings Call

Read management commentary and compare it with reported outcomes.

5

Dividends

Check payout sustainability and long-term distribution behavior.

6

Analyst Expectations

Review consensus spread and where estimate risk is concentrated.