Moog Inc.

Moog Inc.

MOG-AยทNYSE

$373.94

+0.16%
IndustrialsAerospace & Defense

Moog Inc. designs, manufactures, and integrates precision motion and fluid controls and controls systems for original equipment manufacturers and end users in the aerospace, defense, and industrial markets worldwide. The company's Aircraft Controls segment offers primary and secondary flight controls for military and commercial aircrafts; aftermarket support services; and ground-based navigation aids. Its Space and Defense Controls segment provides controls for spacecrafts, space vehicles, launch vehicles, armored combat vehicles, tactical and strategic missiles, security and surveillance, and other defense applications; and gun aiming, stabilization, and automatic ammunition loading for armored combat vehicles. This segment also offers controls for steering tactical and strategic missiles, and naval surface ships and submarines; and weapons stores management systems for light attack aerial reconnaissance, ground, and sea platforms. The company's Industrial Systems segment provides components and systems for applications in injection and blow molding machinery, metal forming presses, and heavy industry customers in steel and aluminum production; supplies electromechanical motion simulation bases for the flight simulation and training applications; and supplies solutions for power generation applications, as well as custom test systems and controls for automotive, structural, and fatigue testing. This segment also offers systems and components for applications in oil and gas exploration and production; components for wind turbine applications; components and systems for diagnostic imaging CT scan medical equipment, sleep apnea equipment, oxygen concentrators, infusion therapy, and enteral clinical nutrition; and hydraulics, slip rings, rotary unions and fiber optic rotary joints, motors, and infusion and enteral pumps. The company was incorporated in 1951 and is headquartered in East Aurora, New York.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$11.85B
EPS7.4200
P/E Ratio50.40
Earnings Date07/24/2026

Intrinsic Alpha Methodology

Thesis Lenses

Signal ยท Driver ยท Risk

Signal

High confidence

Valuation multiple is elevated (P/E 50.4).

Valuation inputs: P/E 50.4, earnings yield +2.0%, momentum +0.2%.

If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.

Driver

High confidence

Return profile is acceptable (ROE +11.8%, ROIC +9.3%).

Profitability stack: net margin +6.1%, ROE +11.8%, ROIC +9.3%.

Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.

Risk

High confidence

Risk profile is balanced but has notable pressure points to monitor.

Risk factors: liabilities/assets +55.0%, momentum +0.2%, net margin +6.1%.

Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.

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Moog Inc. Market vs Earnings Trajectory

MOG-A ยท NYSE

Loading price and EPS data...

Moog Inc.

Moog Inc. Fair Value Envelope

MOG-A ยท NYSE

Our analysis suggests that MOG-A has a fair value of HIDDEN per share in the Base Case projection. With shares currently trading at $373.94, this represents a potential HIDDEN relative to our calculated worth for Moog Inc..

Intrinsic Value
Current Price: $373.94
3Y+53.0%
5Y+2550.0%
10Y+113.0%
3Y+27.0%
5Y+34.0%
10Y+60.0%
3Y+51.0%
5Y+2453.0%
10Y+85.0%
3Y+11.0%
5Y-2.0%
10Y+27.0%
3Y+20.0%
5Y-33.0%
10Y-14.0%
3Y+29.0%
5Y+37.0%
10Y+46.0%
Moog Inc.

Moog Inc. Profit Bridge

MOG-A ยท NYSE
Revenue3.86B
Cost of Goods Sold (2.80B)
Gross Profit1.06B
Operating Expenses (647.64M)
Operating Income409.71M
Interest Expense (72.08M)
Other Income/Expense-97.06M
Pretax Income312.65M
Income Tax (77.62M)
Net Income235.03M
Net Income
235.03M

Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin

27.4%

Moderate margins typical of competitive industries. Monitor for pricing pressure or rising costs.

Operating Margin

10.6%

Acceptable margins but limited operational leverage. Operating expense control is important.

Net Profit Margin

6.1%

Moderate profitability with room for improvement. Monitor interest expenses and tax efficiency.

Effective Tax Rate

24.8%

Moderate tax rate typical for most corporations. Represents standard tax burden on profits.

Profitability Insight

Room for improvement: Moderate profitability with opportunities to enhance margins through better cost management or pricing strategy.

27.39%
Gross Profit Margin
-1%
3Y+12.0%
5Y+6.0%
10Y-7.0%
10.61%
Operating Profit Margin
-2%
3Y+23.0%
5Y+30.0%
10Y+14.0%
6.09%
Net Profit Margin
6%
3Y+19.0%
5Y+1808.0%
10Y+16.0%
11.80%
Return on Equity
4%
3Y+9.0%
5Y+1493.0%
10Y-8.0%
5.31%
Return on Assets
4%
3Y+17.0%
5Y+1761.0%
10Y+27.0%
9.31%
Return on Invested Capital
-5%
3Y+20.0%
5Y-41.0%
10Y+42.0%
MOG-A

Moog Inc. Cash Conversion Engine

MOG-A ยท NYSE
Net Income235.03M
Depreciation & Amortization94.01M
Stock-Based Compensation16.71M
Change in Working Capital-94.11M
Others28.00M
Capital Expenditures-144.73M
Free Cash Flow128.35M

Cash Flow Quality Analysis

FCF Conversion Rate

54.6%

Weak cash conversion. Significant portion of earnings not converting to cashโ€”review working capital trends and capital intensity.

CapEx Intensity

53.0%

Capital-intensive operations require significant reinvestment. Monitor whether CapEx is maintenance or growth-oriented.

FCF Growth Trend

+177.1%

Strong FCF growth demonstrates improving cash generation and business momentum. Positive signal for sustainability.

Working Capital Impact

-$94.11M

Significant working capital drain. Growth may be consuming cash through inventory buildup or receivables extensionโ€”monitor closely.

Cash Flow Quality Insight

Working capital strain: Significant cash tied up in operations. Monitor receivables collection, inventory turns, and payment terms to optimize cash conversion cycle.

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Moog Inc. Funding & Solvency Profile

MOG-A ยท NYSE
Cash & Cash Equivalents307.55M
Net Receivables1.45B
Inventory931.80M
Other Current Assets106.51M
Total Current Assets3 B
Property, Plant & Equipment1.11B
Goodwill & Intangible Assets934.05M
Long-Term Investments0.00
Other Non-Current Assets53.85M
Total Non-Current Assets1 B
Total Assets
4.90B

Financial Health Analysis

Current Ratio

1.68x

Strong liquidity. The company has adequate resources to meet short-term liabilities.

Debt-to-Equity Ratio

1.33x

Elevated leverage. Debt exceeds equity, which amplifies both gains and risks. Monitor debt servicing ability.

Working Capital

1 B

Strong working capital position provides significant operational flexibility and financial cushion.

Asset Composition

57% Current

Balanced asset mix between current and non-current assets, typical of many stable businesses.

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Moog Inc. Street Expectations Map

MOG-A ยท NYSE

Wall Street analysts project that MOG-A stock may decline over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 131.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 131.00 to a high of 131.00.

Lowest Target
131.00
-64.97%
Consensus Target
131.00
-64.97%
Highest Target
131.00
-64.97%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 131.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 131.00 to a high of 131.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

-65.0%

Significant downside risk. Stock trading well above analyst consensus suggests elevated valuation concerns and potential correction.

Analyst Agreement

0.0% spread

High analyst agreement. Narrow target range indicates strong consensus on valuation, suggesting clear investment thesis and predictable outlook.

Risk-Reward Profile

1.00x

Balanced risk-reward. Upside and downside potential relatively symmetric. Suitable for moderate risk tolerance with conviction in thesis.

Analyst Conviction

Low

Bearish or uncertain outlook. Limited upside or poor consensus suggests challenges ahead or fundamental concerns.

Market Sentiment Insight

Consensus overvaluation: Analysts agree the stock is richly valued with limited upside. Consider booking profits or defensive positioning unless you have contrarian conviction in unrecognized catalysts.

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Moog Inc. Insider Positioning

MOG-A ยท NYSE

During the last 12 months, there has been no insider trading activity reported for MOG-A.

3 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

3-6 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

6-9 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

9-12 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

Top Buyers

No buying activity

Top Sellers

No selling activity

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Neutral

No insider trading activity reported. This could indicate blackout periods, lack of conviction, or regulatory restrictions.

Insider Participation

No Activity

No insider trading activity reported from any insiders in the past year.

0.10%
Dividend Yield
-10%
3Y-61.0%
5Y-65.0%
10Y-
ย 

mog-a Dividend History

MOG-A
10Y CAGR +2%
Latest $0.3
Annual $1.18
5 year growth trend
Last Period: +0%