Modine Manufacturing Company

Modine Manufacturing Company

MODยทNYSE

$302.03

-1.6%
Consumer CyclicalAuto - Parts

Modine Manufacturing Company provides engineered heat transfer systems and heat transfer components for use in on- and off-highway original equipment manufacturer (OEM) vehicular applications. It operates through Climate Solutions and Performance Technologies segments. The company offers gas-fired, hydronic, electric, and oil-fired unit heaters; indoor and outdoor duct furnaces; infrared units; perimeter heating products, such as commercial fin-tube radiation, cabinet unit heaters, and convectors; roof-mounted direct- and indirect-fired makeup air units; unit ventilators; single packaged vertical units; precision air conditioning units for data center applications; air handler units; fan walls; chillers; ceiling cassettes; hybrid fan coils; and condensers and condensing units. It also provides microchannel, heat recovery, round tube plate fin, and motor and generator cooling coils; evaporator unit, fluid, transformer oil, gas, air blast, and dry and brine coolers, as well as remote condensers; and coatings to protect against corrosion. In addition, the company offers powertrain cooling products, including engine cooling modules, radiators, charge air coolers, condensers, oil coolers, fan shrouds, and surge tanks; on-engine cooling products comprising exhaust gas recirculation, engine oil, fuel, charge air, and intake air coolers; auxiliary cooling products, such as transmission and retarder oil coolers, and power steering coolers; and complete battery thermal management systems and electronics cooling packages. It serves heating, ventilation, and cooling OEMs; construction architects and contractors; wholesalers of heating equipment; automobile, truck, bus, and specialty vehicle OEMs; agricultural, industrial, and construction equipment OEMs; and commercial and industrial equipment OEMs. The company has operations in North America, South America, Europe, and Asia. Modine Manufacturing Company was incorporated in 1916 and is headquartered in Racine, Wisconsin.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$15.95B
EPS2.2600
P/E Ratio133.64
Earnings Date07/29/2026

Intrinsic Alpha Methodology

Thesis Lenses

Signal ยท Driver ยท Risk

Signal

High confidence

Valuation multiple is elevated (P/E 133.6).

Valuation inputs: P/E 133.6, earnings yield +0.7%, momentum -1.6%.

If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.

Driver

High confidence

Return profile is soft (ROE 0.0%, ROIC 0.0%).

Profitability stack: net margin +7.8%, ROE 0.0%, ROIC 0.0%.

Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.

Risk

High confidence

Risk profile is balanced but has notable pressure points to monitor.

Risk factors: liabilities/assets +52.1%, momentum -1.6%, net margin +7.8%.

Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.

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Modine Manufacturing Company Market vs Earnings Trajectory

MOD ยท NYSE

Loading price and EPS data...

Modine Manufacturing Company

Modine Manufacturing Company Fair Value Envelope

MOD ยท NYSE

Our analysis suggests that MOD has a fair value of HIDDEN per share in the Base Case projection. With shares currently trading at $302.03, this represents a potential HIDDEN relative to our calculated worth for Modine Manufacturing Company.

Intrinsic Value
Current Price: $302.03
3Y-23.0%
5Y-155.0%
10Y+707.0%
3Y+38.0%
5Y+76.0%
10Y+112.0%
3Y+63.0%
5Y-219.0%
10Y+1658.0%
3Y+131.0%
5Y+66.0%
10Y+498.0%
3Y+338.0%
5Y+112.0%
10Y-1145.0%
3Y+34.0%
5Y+25.0%
10Y+108.0%
Modine Manufacturing Company

Modine Manufacturing Company Profit Bridge

MOD ยท NYSE
Revenue3.18B
Cost of Goods Sold (2.45B)
Gross Profit731.10M
Operating Expenses (360.10M)
Operating Income342.40M
Interest Expense (-31.60M)
Other Income/Expense-155.90M
Pretax Income186.50M
Income Tax (-63.20M)
Net Income249.70M
Net Income
249.70M

Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin

23.0%

Moderate margins typical of competitive industries. Monitor for pricing pressure or rising costs.

Operating Margin

10.8%

Acceptable margins but limited operational leverage. Operating expense control is important.

Net Profit Margin

7.8%

Moderate profitability with room for improvement. Monitor interest expenses and tax efficiency.

Effective Tax Rate

-33.9%

Below-average tax rate suggests effective tax planning, favorable jurisdictions, or tax credits.

Profitability Insight

Efficient profit conversion: Minimal margin compression from gross to net indicates lean operations and favorable tax/interest environment.

22.98%
Gross Profit Margin
-8%
3Y+36.0%
5Y+42.0%
10Y+34.0%
10.76%
Operating Profit Margin
-2%
3Y+64.0%
5Y-299.0%
10Y+282.0%
7.85%
Net Profit Margin
10%
3Y+18.0%
5Y-167.0%
10Y+731.0%
0.00%
Return on Equity
-100%
3Y-100.0%
5Y-100.0%
10Y-100.0%
0.00%
Return on Assets
-100%
3Y-100.0%
5Y-100.0%
10Y-100.0%
0.00%
Return on Invested Capital
-100%
3Y-100.0%
5Y-100.0%
10Y-100.0%
MOD

Modine Manufacturing Company Cash Conversion Engine

MOD ยท NYSE
Net Income123.30M
Depreciation & Amortization79.70M
Stock-Based Compensation22.10M
Change in Working Capital0.00
Others62.70M
Capital Expenditures0.00
Free Cash Flow248.70M

Cash Flow Quality Analysis

FCF Conversion Rate

201.7%

Excellent cash generation. The company converts earnings to cash at or above 100%, indicating high-quality earnings.

FCF Growth Trend

+92.3%

Strong FCF growth demonstrates improving cash generation and business momentum. Positive signal for sustainability.

Working Capital Impact

+$0.00

Neutral working capital impact. Changes in current assets and liabilities balanced out.

Cash Flow Quality Insight

Exceptional cash generation: High-quality earnings converting to growing free cash flow. The company demonstrates strong pricing power, efficient operations, and disciplined capital allocation.

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Modine Manufacturing Company Funding & Solvency Profile

MOD ยท NYSE
Cash & Cash Equivalents73.50M
Net Receivables0.00
Inventory506.10M
Other Current Assets836.50M
Total Current Assets1 B
Property, Plant & Equipment520.90M
Goodwill & Intangible Assets489.10M
Long-Term Investments0.00
Other Non-Current Assets163.20M
Total Non-Current Assets684 M
Total Assets
2.67B

Financial Health Analysis

Current Ratio

1.94x

Strong liquidity. The company has adequate resources to meet short-term liabilities.

Debt-to-Equity Ratio

1.22x

Elevated leverage. Debt exceeds equity, which amplifies both gains and risks. Monitor debt servicing ability.

Working Capital

687 M

Strong working capital position provides significant operational flexibility and financial cushion.

Asset Composition

53% Current

Balanced asset mix between current and non-current assets, typical of many stable businesses.

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Modine Manufacturing Company Street Expectations Map

MOD ยท NYSE

Wall Street analysts project that MOD stock may rise significantly over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 358.17, with estimates ranging from a low of 325.00 to a high of 428.00.

Lowest Target
325.00
7.61%
Consensus Target
358.17
18.59%
Highest Target
428.00
41.71%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 358.17, with estimates ranging from a low of 325.00 to a high of 428.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

+18.6%

Strong upside potential. Consensus indicates attractive return opportunity with favorable risk-reward profile.

Analyst Agreement

28.8% spread

Good consensus alignment. Moderate target spread reflects general agreement on value drivers with some variance in assumptions.

Analyst Conviction

Very High

Strong buy conviction: High upside with tight consensus suggests compelling investment opportunity backed by analyst confidence.

Market Sentiment Insight

Monitor and evaluate: Current analyst consensus suggests limited conviction or near-term catalysts. Stay informed on company developments and reassess positioning as new information emerges.

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Modine Manufacturing Company Insider Positioning

MOD ยท NYSE

During the last 12 months, insiders have sold $19.92M worth of MOD shares, with no buying activity reported.

3 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

12.0K

3.37M

Net Activity

-3.4M

-$3.37M

3-6 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

18.7K

4.16M

Net Activity

-4.2M

-$4.16M

6-9 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

25.0K

4.01M

Net Activity

-4.0M

-$4.01M

9-12 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

61.9K

8.38M

Net Activity

-8.4M

-$8.38M

Top Buyers

No buying activity

Top Sellers

1
WMC

Williams Marsha C

Director

37.8K sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$6.29M

2
LMB

Lucareli Michael B

Officer: Evp, Cfo

35.9K sharesโ€ข4 transactions

$5.23M

3
BND

Brinker Neil David

Director, Officer: President And Ceo

25.0K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$4.01M

4
MES

Mcginnis Eric S

Officer: President, Commercial Hvac

16.3K sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$3.98M

5
GSV

Garimella Suresh V

Director

2.5K sharesโ€ข3 transactions

$410K

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bearish

Strong bearish signal with $19.92M net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.

Buy/Sell Ratio

0.00:1

Very poor ratio. Heavy selling with minimal buying suggests insiders may be concerned about valuation or outlook.

Recent Trend (3 Months)

$3.37M

Heavy recent selling activity. Recent insider sales notably exceed purchasesโ€”may warrant investigation into company developments.

Insider Participation

High Selling

5 insider sellers vs. 0 buyers. Widespread selling across multiple insiders may signal concerns.

Insider Activity Insight

Multiple red flags: Heavy selling, numerous sellers, and continued recent selling create a concerning pattern. Investigate fundamental drivers and consider whether company guidance or industry conditions have deteriorated.

0.00%
Dividend Yield
-100%
3Y-
5Y-
10Y-
ย 

mod Dividend History

MOD
10Y CAGR 7%
Latest $0.1
Annual $0.475
Stable dividend payments
Last Period: +0%