Mueller Industries, Inc.

Mueller Industries, Inc.

MLIยทNYSE

$131.35

+0.60%
IndustrialsManufacturing - Metal Fabrication

Mueller Industries, Inc. manufactures and sells copper, brass, aluminum, and plastic products in the United States, the United Kingdom, Canada, South Korea, the Middle East, China, and Mexico. It operates through three segments: Piping Systems, Industrial Metals, and Climate. The Piping Systems segment offers copper tubes, fittings, line sets, and pipe nipples; PEX plumbing and radiant systems; and plumbing-related fittings and plastic injection tooling. It also resells steel pipes, brass and plastic plumbing valves, malleable iron fittings and faucets, and plumbing specialties; and supplies water tubes. This segment sells its products to wholesalers in the plumbing and refrigeration markets, distributors to the manufactured housing and recreational vehicle industries, building material retailers, and air-conditioning original equipment manufacturers (OEMs). The Industrial Metals segment manufactures brass, bronze, and copper alloy rods; plumbing brass, valves, and fittings; cold-form aluminum and copper products; machining of aluminum, steel, brass, and cast iron impacts and castings; brass and aluminum forgings; brass, aluminum, and stainless-steel valves; fluid control solutions; and gas train assembles to OEMs in the industrial, construction, HVAC, plumbing, and refrigeration markets. The Climate segment offers valves, protection devices, and brass fittings for various OEMs in the commercial HVAC and refrigeration markets; high-pressure components and accessories for the air-conditioning and refrigeration markets; coaxial heat exchangers and twisted tubes for the HVAC, geothermal, refrigeration, swimming pool heat pump, marine, ice machine, commercial boiler, and heat reclamation markets; insulated HVAC flexible duct systems; and brazed manifolds, headers, and distributor assemblies. The company was founded in 1917 and is headquartered in Collierville, Tennessee.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$14.52B
EPS6.9900
P/E Ratio18.79
Earnings Date07/21/2026

Intrinsic Alpha Methodology

Thesis Lenses

Signal ยท Driver ยท Risk

Signal

High confidence

Valuation multiple is mid-range (P/E 18.8).

Valuation inputs: P/E 18.8, earnings yield +5.3%, momentum +0.6%.

If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.

Driver

High confidence

Return profile is strong (ROE +30.7%, ROIC +26.0%).

Profitability stack: net margin +18.3%, ROE +30.7%, ROIC +26.0%.

Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.

Risk

High confidence

Downside profile looks controlled across current risk inputs.

Risk factors: liabilities/assets +16.5%, momentum +0.6%, net margin +18.3%.

Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.

mli

Mueller Industries, Inc. Market vs Earnings Trajectory

MLI ยท NYSE

Loading price and EPS data...

Mueller Industries, Inc.

Mueller Industries, Inc. Fair Value Envelope

MLI ยท NYSE

Our analysis suggests that MLI has a fair value of HIDDEN per share in the Base Case projection. With shares currently trading at $131.35, this represents a potential HIDDEN relative to our calculated worth for Mueller Industries, Inc..

Intrinsic Value
Current Price: $131.35
3Y+29.0%
5Y+67.0%
10Y+660.0%
3Y+22.0%
5Y+11.0%
10Y+67.0%
3Y+27.0%
5Y+63.0%
10Y+633.0%
3Y+12.0%
5Y+142.0%
10Y+350.0%
3Y+11.0%
5Y+145.0%
10Y+431.0%
3Y+9.0%
5Y+75.0%
10Y+120.0%
Mueller Industries, Inc.

Mueller Industries, Inc. Profit Bridge

MLI ยท NYSE
Revenue4.18B
Cost of Goods Sold (3.03B)
Gross Profit1.14B
Operating Expenses (248.65M)
Operating Income895.25M
Interest Expense (108.00K)
Other Income/Expense125.69M
Pretax Income1.02B
Income Tax (247.35M)
Net Income765.19M
Net Income
765.19M

Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin

27.4%

Moderate margins typical of competitive industries. Monitor for pricing pressure or rising costs.

Operating Margin

21.4%

Healthy operating margins demonstrate effective cost control and strong business fundamentals.

Net Profit Margin

18.3%

Strong net margins indicate efficient operations and favorable tax/interest management.

Effective Tax Rate

24.2%

Moderate tax rate typical for most corporations. Represents standard tax burden on profits.

Profitability Insight

Efficient profit conversion: Minimal margin compression from gross to net indicates lean operations and favorable tax/interest environment.

27.38%
Gross Profit Margin
3Y-5.0%
5Y-2.0%
10Y+68.0%
21.43%
Operating Profit Margin
3Y-3.0%
5Y-3.0%
10Y+172.0%
18.31%
Net Profit Margin
3Y+4.0%
5Y+11.0%
10Y+341.0%
30.67%
Return on Equity
3Y+19.0%
5Y-17.0%
10Y+95.0%
25.35%
Return on Assets
3Y+16.0%
5Y-14.0%
10Y+244.0%
25.96%
Return on Invested Capital
3Y+15.0%
5Y-25.0%
10Y+108.0%
MLI

Mueller Industries, Inc. Cash Conversion Engine

MLI ยท NYSE
Net Income765.19M
Depreciation & Amortization68.56M
Stock-Based Compensation26.76M
Change in Working Capital-47.42M
Others-64.22M
Capital Expenditures-68.81M
Free Cash Flow686.64M

Cash Flow Quality Analysis

FCF Conversion Rate

89.7%

Strong cash conversion. Most reported earnings translate into actual cash flow, suggesting solid fundamentals.

CapEx Intensity

9.1%

Asset-light business model. Low capital requirements leave more cash available for shareholders and growth investments.

FCF Growth Trend

+21.4%

Strong FCF growth demonstrates improving cash generation and business momentum. Positive signal for sustainability.

Working Capital Impact

-$47.42M

Minimal working capital impact on FCF. Changes in operating assets and liabilities well-managed.

Cash Flow Quality Insight

Asset-light with strong cash conversion: Low capital requirements combined with efficient cash generation creates significant shareholder value through dividends, buybacks, or strategic investments.

mli

Mueller Industries, Inc. Funding & Solvency Profile

MLI ยท NYSE
Cash & Cash Equivalents1.38B
Net Receivables670.51M
Inventory545.45M
Other Current Assets53.04M
Total Current Assets3 B
Property, Plant & Equipment561.08M
Goodwill & Intangible Assets0.00
Long-Term Investments0.00
Other Non-Current Assets709.25M
Total Non-Current Assets1 B
Total Assets
3.94B

Financial Health Analysis

Current Ratio

5.35x

Excellent liquidity position. The company can easily cover its short-term obligations with substantial cushion.

Debt-to-Equity Ratio

0.17x

Conservative capital structure. The company relies primarily on equity financing, indicating low financial risk.

Working Capital

2 B

Strong working capital position provides significant operational flexibility and financial cushion.

Asset Composition

68% Current

Asset-light business model with high liquidity. Majority of assets are easily convertible to cash.

Financial Health Insight

Strong financial foundation: Excellent liquidity combined with conservative leverage suggests the company is well-positioned to weather economic uncertainties and fund growth opportunities.

mli

Mueller Industries, Inc. Street Expectations Map

MLI ยท NYSE

No Target Data

No analyst price targets available for mli.

mli

Mueller Industries, Inc. Insider Positioning

MLI ยท NYSE

During the last 12 months, insiders have sold $52.79M worth of MLI shares, with no buying activity reported.

3 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

105.3K

14.43M

Net Activity

-14.4M

-$14.43M

3-6 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

5.4K

643.75K

Net Activity

-644K

-$644K

6-9 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

285.2K

29.69M

Net Activity

-29.7M

-$29.69M

9-12 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

86.6K

8.02M

Net Activity

-8.0M

-$8.02M

Top Buyers

No buying activity

Top Sellers

1
CGL

Christopher Gregory L.

Director, Officer: Chairman Of The Board & Ceo

383.3K sharesโ€ข4 transactions

$43.30M

2
MJA

Martin Jeffrey Andrew

Officer: Evp, Cfo & Treasurer

66.0K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$6.31M

3
SS

Sigloch Steffen

Officer: Chief Manufacturing Officer

19.6K sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$1.62M

4
GSJ

Goldman Scott Jay

Director

10.7K sharesโ€ข3 transactions

$1.24M

5
HJB

Hansen John B

Director

3.0K sharesโ€ข3 transactions

$314K

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bearish

Strong bearish signal with $52.79M net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.

Buy/Sell Ratio

0.00:1

Very poor ratio. Heavy selling with minimal buying suggests insiders may be concerned about valuation or outlook.

Recent Trend (3 Months)

$14.43M

Heavy recent selling activity. Recent insider sales notably exceed purchasesโ€”may warrant investigation into company developments.

Insider Participation

High Selling

5 insider sellers vs. 0 buyers. Widespread selling across multiple insiders may signal concerns.

Insider Activity Insight

Multiple red flags: Heavy selling, numerous sellers, and continued recent selling create a concerning pattern. Investigate fundamental drivers and consider whether company guidance or industry conditions have deteriorated.

0.00%
Dividend Yield
-100%
3Y-100.0%
5Y-100.0%
10Y-100.0%
ย 

mli Dividend History

MLI
10Y CAGR +21%
Latest $0.35
Annual $1.45
5 year growth trend
Last Period: +0%