Markel Corporation

Markel Corporation

MKLยทNYSE

$1.78K

-0.55%
Financial ServicesInsurance - Property & Casualty

Markel Corporation, a diverse financial holding company, markets and underwrites specialty insurance products in the United States, Bermuda, the United Kingdom, rest of Europe, Canada, the Asia Pacific, and the Middle East. Its Insurance segment offers general and professional liability, personal lines, marine and energy, specialty programs, and workers' compensation insurance products; and property coverages that include fire, allied lines, and other specialized property coverages, including catastrophe-exposed property risks, such as earthquake and wind. This segment also offers credit and surety products, and collateral protection insurance products. The company's Reinsurance segment offers transaction, healthcare, and environmental impairment liability; and specialty treaty reinsurance products comprising structured and whole turnover credit, political risk, mortgage and contract, and commercial surety reinsurance programs. Its Markel Ventures segment provides equipment used in baking systems and food processing; portable dredges; over-the-road car haulers and transportation equipment; and laminated oak and composite wood flooring, tube and tank trailers, as well as ornamental plants and residential homes, handbags, and architectural products. This segment also provides consulting, and other types of services to businesses and consumers, including distribution of exterior building products, crane rental, fire protection, and life safety services, management and technology consulting, and retail intelligence services. The company's Other segment provides healthcare, leasing and investment services, as well as operates as an insurance and investment fund manager offering a range of investment products, including insurance-linked securities, catastrophe bonds, insurance swaps, and weather derivatives; and program services. it also manages funds with third parties. Markel Corporation was founded in 1930 and is based in Glen Allen, Virginia.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$22.24B
EPS169.7400
P/E Ratio10.47
Earnings Date07/29/2026

Intrinsic Alpha Methodology

Thesis Lenses

Signal ยท Driver ยท Risk

Signal

High confidence

Valuation multiple is compressed (P/E 10.5).

Valuation inputs: P/E 10.5, earnings yield +9.6%, momentum -0.6%.

If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.

Driver

High confidence

Return profile is acceptable (ROE +11.3%, ROIC +7.4%).

Profitability stack: net margin +12.7%, ROE +11.3%, ROIC +7.4%.

Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.

Risk

High confidence

Risk profile is balanced but has notable pressure points to monitor.

Risk factors: liabilities/assets +72.3%, momentum -0.6%, net margin +12.7%.

Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.

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Markel Corporation Market vs Earnings Trajectory

MKL ยท NYSE

Loading price and EPS data...

Markel Corporation

Markel Corporation Fair Value Envelope

MKL ยท NYSE

Our analysis suggests that MKL has a fair value of HIDDEN per share in the Base Case projection. With shares currently trading at $1777.63, this represents a potential HIDDEN relative to our calculated worth for Markel Corporation.

Intrinsic Value
Current Price: $1777.63
3Y-816.0%
5Y+205.0%
10Y+440.0%
3Y+40.0%
5Y+72.0%
10Y+196.0%
3Y-1074.0%
5Y+158.0%
10Y+362.0%
3Y+2.0%
5Y+59.0%
10Y+416.0%
3Y+4.0%
5Y+56.0%
10Y+442.0%
3Y+38.0%
5Y+65.0%
10Y+100.0%
Markel Corporation

Markel Corporation Profit Bridge

MKL ยท NYSE
Revenue16.59B
Cost of Goods Sold (5.08B)
Gross Profit11.51B
Operating Expenses (8.78B)
Operating Income2.73B
Interest Expense (205.91M)
Other Income/Expense0.00
Pretax Income2.73B
Income Tax (580.30M)
Net Income2.11B
Net Income
2.11B

Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin

69.4%

Exceptional pricing power and cost management. The company retains over half of revenue after direct costs.

Operating Margin

16.5%

Healthy operating margins demonstrate effective cost control and strong business fundamentals.

Net Profit Margin

12.7%

Strong net margins indicate efficient operations and favorable tax/interest management.

Effective Tax Rate

21.2%

Moderate tax rate typical for most corporations. Represents standard tax burden on profits.

Profitability Insight

High margin compression: Large gap between gross and net margins suggests operational inefficiencies or heavy debt burden. Focus on expense management and deleveraging.

69.38%
Gross Profit Margin
25%
3Y+141.0%
5Y+98.0%
10Y+40.0%
16.47%
Operating Profit Margin
-24%
3Y-1384.0%
5Y+59.0%
10Y+22.0%
12.70%
Net Profit Margin
-23%
3Y-794.0%
5Y+50.0%
10Y+56.0%
11.33%
Return on Equity
-30%
3Y-789.0%
5Y+78.0%
10Y+110.0%
3.06%
Return on Assets
-47%
3Y-804.0%
5Y+56.0%
10Y+131.0%
7.39%
Return on Invested Capital
23%
3Y-1670.0%
5Y-
10Y-34.0%
MKL

Markel Corporation Cash Conversion Engine

MKL ยท NYSE
Net Income2.11B
Depreciation & Amortization0.00
Stock-Based Compensation0.00
Change in Working Capital1.03B
Others-379.35M
Capital Expenditures-206.89M
Free Cash Flow2.55B

Cash Flow Quality Analysis

FCF Conversion Rate

121.2%

Excellent cash generation. The company converts earnings to cash at or above 100%, indicating high-quality earnings.

CapEx Intensity

7.5%

Asset-light business model. Low capital requirements leave more cash available for shareholders and growth investments.

FCF Growth Trend

+9.2%

Steady FCF growth indicates consistent cash generation improvement. On a positive trajectory.

Working Capital Impact

+$1.03B

Working capital inflow boosted cash flow. Efficient management of receivables, inventory, and payables contributing positively.

Cash Flow Quality Insight

Asset-light with strong cash conversion: Low capital requirements combined with efficient cash generation creates significant shareholder value through dividends, buybacks, or strategic investments.

mkl

Markel Corporation Funding & Solvency Profile

MKL ยท NYSE
Cash & Cash Equivalents3.68B
Net Receivables19.00B
Inventory0.00
Other Current Assets500.82M
Total Current Assets34 B
Property, Plant & Equipment0.00
Goodwill & Intangible Assets5.19B
Long-Term Investments25.09B
Other Non-Current Assets4.68B
Total Non-Current Assets30 B
Total Assets
68.60B

Financial Health Analysis

Current Ratio

0.84x

Warning: Liquidity concerns. Current assets may not be sufficient to cover short-term obligations.

Debt-to-Equity Ratio

2.68x

High financial leverage. Heavy reliance on debt may indicate increased financial risk and potential solvency concerns.

Working Capital

-6584316000

Negative working capital indicates short-term liabilities exceed short-term assetsโ€”potential liquidity stress.

Asset Composition

49% Current

Balanced asset mix between current and non-current assets, typical of many stable businesses.

Financial Health Insight

Financial stress indicators: Both liquidity and leverage metrics raise concerns. The company may face challenges meeting obligations and should focus on strengthening its balance sheet.

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Markel Corporation Street Expectations Map

MKL ยท NYSE

Wall Street analysts project that MKL stock may experience modest gains over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 1.95K, with estimates ranging from a low of 1.95K to a high of 1.95K.

Lowest Target
1.95K
9.70%
Consensus Target
1.95K
9.70%
Highest Target
1.95K
9.70%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 1.95K, with estimates ranging from a low of 1.95K to a high of 1.95K.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

+9.7%

Moderate upside. Analysts expect positive returns but with limited margin of safety. Consider entry timing.

Analyst Agreement

0.0% spread

High analyst agreement. Narrow target range indicates strong consensus on valuation, suggesting clear investment thesis and predictable outlook.

Analyst Conviction

High

Positive outlook with reasonable agreement. Analysts generally optimistic about prospects with manageable uncertainty.

Market Sentiment Insight

Monitor and evaluate: Current analyst consensus suggests limited conviction or near-term catalysts. Stay informed on company developments and reassess positioning as new information emerges.

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Markel Corporation Insider Positioning

MKL ยท NYSE

During the last 12 months, insiders have purchased $371K and sold $1.07M worth of MKL shares, resulting in $697K of net selling activity.

3 Months

Bought

207

371.06K

Sold

35

64.61K

Net Activity

+306K

+$306K

3-6 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

164

342.35K

Net Activity

-342K

-$342K

6-9 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

245

512.47K

Net Activity

-512K

-$512K

9-12 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

75

148.78K

Net Activity

-149K

-$149K

Top Buyers

1
LD

Leopold Diane

Director

150 sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$269K

2
PAL

Puckett A. Lynne

Director

57 sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$102K

Top Sellers

1
MSA

Markel Steven A

Director

234 sharesโ€ข3 transactions

$491K

2
WS

Wilson Simon

Officer: Evp And Ceo, Markel Insurance

175 sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$363K

3
GMP

Grandis Meade P.

Officer: Cao And Controller

75 sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$149K

4
HGJ

Harris Greta J

Director

35 sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$65K

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bearish

Negative insider sentiment with $697K net selling. Selling notably exceeds buying, warranting closer scrutiny of company fundamentals.

Buy/Sell Ratio

0.35:1

Weak buy/sell ratio. Selling significantly exceeds buyingโ€”monitor for potential fundamental concerns.

Recent Trend (3 Months)

$306K

Very strong recent buying momentum. Recent insider purchases significantly outpace sales, suggesting near-term optimism.

Insider Participation

Moderate Selling

4 insider sellers vs. 2 buyers. More insiders selling than buying suggests cautious or negative sentiment.

0.00%
Dividend Yield
-100%
3Y-
5Y-
10Y-
ย 

mkl Dividend History

MKL
10Y CAGR +0%
Latest $0
Annual $0
Stable dividend payments
Last Period: +0%