Medifast, Inc.

Medifast, Inc.

MEDยทNYSE

$12.24

-0.61%
Consumer CyclicalPersonal Products & Services

Medifast, Inc., through its subsidiaries, manufactures and distributes weight loss, weight management, healthy living products, and other consumable health and nutritional products in the United States and the Asia-Pacific. The company offers bars, bites, pretzels, puffs, cereal crunch, drinks, hearty choices, oatmeal, pancakes, pudding, soft serves, shakes, smoothies, soft bakes, and soups under the OPTAVIA, Optimal Health by Take Shape for Life, and Flavors of Home brands. It markets its products through point-of-sale transactions over ecommerce platform. The company was founded in 1980 and is headquartered in Baltimore, Maryland.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$136.10M
EPS-1.7000
P/E Ratio-7.20
Earnings Date08/03/2026
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Medifast, Inc. Street Expectations Map

MED ยท NYSE

Wall Street analysts project that MED stock may see slight declines over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 12.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 12.00 to a high of 12.00.

Lowest Target
12.00
-1.96%
Consensus Target
12.00
-1.96%
Highest Target
12.00
-1.96%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 12.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 12.00 to a high of 12.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

-2.0%

Fair value territory. Stock trading near consensus target suggests limited near-term catalysts. Focus on fundamental developments.

Analyst Agreement

0.0% spread

High analyst agreement. Narrow target range indicates strong consensus on valuation, suggesting clear investment thesis and predictable outlook.

Risk-Reward Profile

1.00x

Balanced risk-reward. Upside and downside potential relatively symmetric. Suitable for moderate risk tolerance with conviction in thesis.

Analyst Conviction

Moderate

Neutral sentiment. Fair value pricing with moderate agreement suggests wait-and-see approach or catalyst-driven opportunity.

Market Sentiment Insight

Efficient pricing: Stock trading at fair value with strong consensus suggests market has priced in expectations. Look for fundamental inflection points or new catalysts to drive meaningful moves.

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Medifast, Inc. Forward Estimates of Revenue

MED ยท NYSE
Latest Revenue
385.79M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
279.70M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
279.70M - 279.70M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth-27.5%

Significant contraction projectedโ€”major business challenges or industry disruption likely.

Analyst Coverage1 Analysts

Limited coverage may indicate reduced institutional interest or information availability.

Estimate Spread0%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookNeutral

Mixed signalsโ€”some positive indicators offset by concerns about growth or uncertainty.

Key Insight

Limited coverage with volatile estimates: Few analysts covering despite significant projected changes may indicate information gaps or emerging risks.

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Medifast, Inc. Forward Estimates of Net Income

MED ยท NYSE
Latest Net Income
-18.67M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
-20.31M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
-20.31M - -20.31M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth-8.8%

Declining expectations indicate headwindsโ€”investigate whether temporary or structural issues.

Analyst Coverage1 Analysts

Limited coverage may indicate reduced institutional interest or information availability.

Estimate Spread0%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookNeutral

Mixed signalsโ€”some positive indicators offset by concerns about growth or uncertainty.

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Medifast, Inc. Forward Estimates of EPS

MED ยท NYSE
Latest EPS
-1.70
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
$-1.85
FY 2026
Estimate Range
$-1.85 - $-1.85
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth-8.8%

Declining expectations indicate headwindsโ€”investigate whether temporary or structural issues.

Analyst Coverage1 Analysts

Limited coverage may indicate reduced institutional interest or information availability.

Estimate Spread0%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookNeutral

Mixed signalsโ€”some positive indicators offset by concerns about growth or uncertainty.

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Medifast, Inc. Forward Estimates of EBIT

MED ยท NYSE
Latest EBIT
-14.21M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
19.19M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
19.19M - 19.19M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+235.0%

Strong growth expectations signal robust business momentum and market opportunity expansion.

Analyst Coverage1 Analysts

Limited coverage may indicate reduced institutional interest or information availability.

Estimate Spread0%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookPositive

Generally favorable outlook with reasonable growth prospects and analyst support.

Key Insight

Limited coverage with volatile estimates: Few analysts covering despite significant projected changes may indicate information gaps or emerging risks.

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Medifast, Inc. Forward Estimates of EBITDA

MED ยท NYSE
Latest EBITDA
-3.71M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
23.21M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
23.21M - 23.21M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+725.2%

Strong growth expectations signal robust business momentum and market opportunity expansion.

Analyst Coverage1 Analysts

Limited coverage may indicate reduced institutional interest or information availability.

Estimate Spread0%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookPositive

Generally favorable outlook with reasonable growth prospects and analyst support.

Key Insight

Limited coverage with volatile estimates: Few analysts covering despite significant projected changes may indicate information gaps or emerging risks.

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Medifast, Inc. Forward Estimates of SG&A Expense

MED ยท NYSE
Latest SG&A Expense
289.40M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
183.72M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
183.72M - 183.72M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth-36.5%

Significant contraction projectedโ€”major business challenges or industry disruption likely.

Analyst Coverage1 Analysts

Limited coverage may indicate reduced institutional interest or information availability.

Estimate Spread0%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookNeutral

Mixed signalsโ€”some positive indicators offset by concerns about growth or uncertainty.

Key Insight

Limited coverage with volatile estimates: Few analysts covering despite significant projected changes may indicate information gaps or emerging risks.

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Medifast, Inc. Insider Positioning

MED ยท NYSE

During the last 12 months, insiders have purchased $247K worth of MED shares, with no selling activity reported.

3 Months

Bought

22.7K

241.67K

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+242K

+$242K

3-6 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

6-9 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

9-12 Months

Bought

381

5.00K

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+5K

+$5K

Top Buyers

1
CDR

Chard Daniel R

Director, Officer: Chairman & Ceo

18.1K sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$184K

2
SS

Schlackman Scott

Director

5.0K sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$63K

Top Sellers

No selling activity

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bullish

Strong bullish signal with $247K net buying. Insiders are aggressively accumulating shares, suggesting significant confidence in future prospects.

Buy/Sell Ratio

โˆž:1

Perfect buy/sell ratio. Only buying activity with zero sellingโ€”the most bullish possible insider signal.

Recent Trend (3 Months)

$242K

Very strong recent buying momentum. Recent insider purchases significantly outpace sales, suggesting near-term optimism.

Insider Participation

High Buying

2 insider buyers vs. 0 sellers. Broad-based buying across management team suggests widespread confidence.

Insider Activity Insight

Compelling insider conviction: The combination of strong buy/sell ratio and multiple buyers suggests insiders see attractive risk/reward. Consider this alongside fundamental analysis for confirmation.