The Macerich Company

The Macerich Company

MAC·NYSE

$22.83

+2.3%
Real EstateREIT - Retail

Macerich is a fully integrated, self-managed and self-administered real estate investment trust, which focuses on the acquisition, leasing, management, development and redevelopment of regional malls throughout the United States. Macerich currently owns 51 million square feet of real estate consisting primarily of interests in 47 regional shopping centers. Macerich specializes in successful retail properties in many of the country's most attractive, densely populated markets with significant presence in the West Coast, Arizona, Chicago and the Metro New York to Washington, DC corridor. A recognized leader in sustainability, Macerich has achieved the #1 GRESB ranking in the North American Retail Sector for five straight years (2015 - 2019).

At a Glance

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Market Cap$6.47B
EPS-0.7700
P/E Ratio-29.65
Earnings Date08/10/2026

Earnings Call Transcript

MAC • 2023 • Q2

Operator
Good day, ladies and gentlemen. Thank you for standing by. Welcome to the Second Quarter 2023 Macerich Earnings Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. After the speakers’ presentation, there will be a question-and-answer session. [Operator instructions] Again, please be advised that today’s conference is being recorded. I would now like to hand the conference over to your speaker today, Samantha Greening, Director of Investor Relations. Please go ahead.
Scott Kingsmore
Thank you, Tom. This morning, we reported very strong core operating results for the second quarter. Same center NOI increased 5.6% versus the second quarter of 2022, excluding lease termination income. Year to date, same center NOI growth is at 5.2%. As a reminder, this follows strong reported NOI growth averaging 7.4% for the two-year period 2021 through 2022. FFO per share for the second quarter was $0.40, which was $0.06 less than FFO during the second quarter of 2022, which was $0.46 per share. Primary major factors contributing to this quarterly FFO per share change are as follows. We had a 15 million or $0.07 increase in interest expense due to rising rates. We had $9 million or $0.04 decrease in lease termination income, which was primarily due to a major lease termination settlement during the second quarter of last year in 2022. Offsetting these positive factors were a $10 million or $0.05 improvement in rental revenues that was driven by a $10 million increase in top-line base rent, $3 million increase in expense recovery revenue, and those were offset by $3 million decline in percentage rent. Generally, these trends were due to improvements in occupancy and from continued conversion of selected leases from variable to fixed rent structures with full base rent and CAM and tax recovery charges. This is consistent with what we reported in prior quarters. We are very pleased with our core NOI growth during the first half of 2023. As we disclosed this morning, we are narrowing the range, but we are maintaining the midpoint of our guidance for 2023 funds from operations, which is now estimated in the range of $1.77 to $1.83 per share. Our 2023 outlook continues to be anchored by strong operating cash flow generation, which we estimate will be $305 million before payment of dividends. Key elements of our revised growth and – excuse me, key elements of our revised guidance include the following: an increase in estimated core NOI growth from a range of 2% to 3% to a revised range of 3.75% to 4.5% growth. This represents a $0.05 FFO increase. Improvements to NOI guidance are fairly broad-based and are primarily driven by increases in base rent, tenant recovery revenues, increase in temporary tenant revenues, and, to a lesser extent, improvements in bad debt expense driven by collections of previously reserved receivables. The expected increases in core NOI guidance totaling $0.05 are expected to be offset by the following: a $0.025 reduction in investment income, which was driven by a large valuation decline recognized during the first quarter of 2023 from an indirect investment in a single retailer. Again, this was last quarter. And also, by a $0.025 decline in FFO driven by two factors: one, an increase in interest expense; and two, reduced lease termination revenue. It’s worth noting that lease termination income is down $21 million or $0.09 year to date, and this is largely reflective of the healthy prevailing retail environment that we’re in with much less tenant fallout. In terms of the quarterly cadence for estimated FFO guidance for the second half of the year, we estimate 44% in the third quarter and the remaining 56% within the fourth quarter. More details of the guidance assumptions are included on Page 15 of the Form 8-K supplemental, which was filed earlier this morning. From a transaction standpoint, during the second quarter, we secured term extensions of our existing mortgages on Deptford Mall for three years and on Danbury Fair for one year. We also sold two power centers in the Arizona market for a combined $29 million. The Marketplace at Flagstaff was sold in May and the Superstition Springs power center was sold in July. In May, we acquired our partners’ 50% interest in five former Sears parcels at Chandler Fashion Center, Danbury Fair, Freehold Raceway, Los Cerritos Center, and Washington Square for a combined $48 million. We now own 100% of and we control the repositioning of these five anchor parcels, each of which are attached to A-quality town centers. Danbury Fair is fully leased to Target and Primark. Chandler Fashion Center and Freehold Raceway are both fully committed and at lease documentation with very diverse retail and nontraditional retail uses. Washington Square is entitled and in predevelopment for a mixed use expansion that will likely include residential, hotel, dining, and retail uses. And lastly, Los Cerritos Center is being entitled right now for a mixed use expansion that will also likely feature residential, hotel, dining, and retail uses. We currently have approximately $565 million of available liquidity, including $405 million of capacity on a revolving line of credit. And with that, I will turn it over to Doug to discuss the leasing and operating environment.
Doug Healey
Thanks Scott. We had another very strong quarter with all metrics increasing with the exception of sales, which, by the way, had no negative effect on leasing or our leasing volumes. Sales were down 1.6% on a rolling 12-month basis, and this doesn’t come as a big surprise given the gains we saw in 2021 and 2022. Trailing 12-month leasing spreads were 11.3% as of June 30, 2023. That’s an increase of 470 basis points from last quarter and an increase of just over 1,000 basis points when compared to June 30, 2022. In the second quarter, we opened 263,000 square feet of new stores, which is about 20% more square footage than we opened in the second quarter of 2022. This brings our year-to-date total to just over 450,000 square feet, which exceeds where we were at this time last year. On May 19, 2023, Apple relocated and opened an expanded and incredibly reimagined store at Tysons Corner Center. It’s the first of its type anywhere in the world. I specifically call out the date because this new opening occurred exactly 22 years to the day after Steve Jobs opened the first-ever Apple Store at Tysons Corner Center back in 2001. We also opened a 50,000 square foot Primark at Green Acres Mall, Long Island. This marks our fifth opening with Primark in addition to Kings Plaza, Danbury Fair, Freehold Raceway, and Fashion District Philadelphia. When you include their stores at Tysons Corner in Queens Center, which will open in 2024, we remain Primark’s largest landlord in the United States. Other notable openings in the second quarter include Louis Vuitton at Broadway Plaza, two stores of Lululemon at Arrowhead and Los Cerritos, Panerai and Oliver Smith Jeweler at Scottsdale Fashion Square, Kendra Scott at Tysons Corner, Barnes & Noble at Danbury Fair, Crunch Fitness at Eastland Mall, and Tempur-Pedic at Biltmore Fashion Park. In the digitally native and emerging brands category, we opened Allbirds and Alo Yoga at Broadway Plaza, Psycho Bunny at Los Cerritos and Washington Square, TravisMathew at The Village of Corte Madera, Warby Parker at SanTan Village, Avocado at Washington Square, and Bear Fruit at Santa Monica Place. Lastly, in the experiential category, as I mentioned on our last call, in the second quarter, we opened Dr. Seuss and Candytopia in Tysons Corner Center, World of Barbie at Santa Monica Place, and The FRIENDS Experience at Lakewood. We’re delighted with the traffic, interest, and excitement. These and other experiential concepts generate and will continue to differentiate our town centers by adding these types of uses throughout the portfolio. Now, let’s look at the new and renewable leases we signed in the second quarter. In the second quarter, we signed 191 leases for 1.4 million square feet. Year to date, we’ve signed leases for 2.4 million square feet, which is about 600,000 or almost 35% more square footage than what we signed at this time in 2022. As I’ve stated several times, 2022 was a record year for us in terms of leasing volumes. Notable new leases signed in the first quarter include Five Below at Valley Mall, Garage and Levi’s at Arrowhead Towne Center, Maje at Scottsdale Fashion Square, and Peserico at Fashion Outlets of Chicago. We signed five new leases with Miniso at Arrowhead, Chandler, Deptford, The Oaks, and Vintage. On our last call, in the food and beverage category, we announced the signing of Elephante at Scottsdale Fashion Square. As we discussed, Elephante will flank one side of what will be a newly created portico share in the Nordstrom wing, providing direct access to more luxury, including the recently announced Hermes store. Today, I’m pleased to announce the signing of the restaurant Catch, which will join the mix at Scottsdale Fashion Square and flank the other side of the portico share directly across from Elephante. Catch has an Asian-inspired and globally influenced menu and is known for delivering great food and great service in a lively and vibrant atmosphere. Catch currently has seven units open, including locations in Las Vegas, New York, Los Angeles, and Aspen. Look for Elephante to open in 2024 and Catch in 2025. Also, in the food and beverage category, we signed leases with Bafang Dumpling and North Italia at Los Cerritos, as well as Bonesaw Brewery at Freehold Raceway Mall. A couple of calls ago, we discussed Arte Museum at Santa Monica Place, which we signed to take over the closed ArcLight Cinemas in the third level. Recall, Arte Museum, which is based in Korea, is a 50,000 square foot immersive and innovative experience by combining art and technology. Arte Museum will open in 2024. Directly below what will be Arte was Bloomingdale’s, which closed in 2021. Bloomingdale’s was a two-level 100,000 square-foot building with 50,000 square feet at each level. In the second quarter, we signed a lease with Club Studio to take the entire first level of the former Bloomingdale’s box, and we announced this to the public in July. Owned by LA Fitness, Club Studio is L.A.’s highest-end brand and will offer an all-encompassing and elite experience for its members. We’re very excited to welcome Club Studio to Santa Monica in 2024 as we’ve seen proof of how high-end fitness uses add traffic and energy from early morning to late evening, as well as attract complimentary uses to the centers in which they land. Lastly, in the digitally native and emerging brands category, we signed leases with Beyond Yoga at Broadway Plaza, Intimissimi at Chandler and Corte Madera, Purple at Los Cerritos, Shade Store at SanTan, and TravisMathew also at Corte Madera. Looking at our 2023 lease expirations, we now have commitments on 76% of our 2023 expiring square footage of space that is expected to renew and not close, with another 17% in the letter-of-intent stage. By comparison, at this time last year, we had 71% of our 2022 expiring square footage committed. So, we’re a little bit ahead of where we were in 2022. And while we put the finishing touches on 2023, we’re well on our way in addressing our 2024 expirations. Turning to our leasing pipeline, at the end of the second quarter, we had 151 leases signed for 2.3 million square feet of new stores, which we expect to open during the remainder of 2023 and into 2024 and 2025. In addition to these signed leases, we’re currently negotiating leases for new stores totaling just over a 0.5 million square feet, which will also open during the remainder of 2023 and into 2024 and early 2025. So, in total, that’s 2.8 million square feet of new store openings throughout the remainder of this year and beyond. And again, it’s important to emphasize. These are new leases with retailers not yet open and not yet paying rent. And these numbers do not include renewals. The leasing pipeline of new store opening now accounts for almost $66 million of incremental rent in the aggregate, which will be realized in ‘23, ‘24, and ‘25. And this incremental rent will continue to grow as we continue to approve new deals and sign new leases. In addition to the positive impact on NOI and cash flow, many of these new uses, especially those in larger formats, will significantly increase traffic and energy in our portfolio of town centers. So, to conclude, our leasing and operating metrics were very solid in the second quarter. Leasing volumes were extremely strong, outpacing the second quarter of 2022 in terms of square footage signed and total annual rent, thus maintaining a very strong pipeline of stores that will open this year, next year, and into 2025. Occupancy increased 40 basis points sequentially in the second quarter and increased 80 basis points when compared to the second quarter 2022. Leasing spreads came in at 11.3% and should only improve as we continue to increase occupancy. There were only three bankruptcies in the second quarter, and bankruptcies overall remained at their lowest level since 2013. So, given all this, we remain optimistic as we look at the remainder of this year, next year, and beyond. And now, I’ll turn it over to the operator to open the call for Q&A.
Operator
[Operator instructions] The first question comes from Greg McGinnis with Scotiabank. Your line is open.
Scott Kingsmore
I’m going to add, Tom, I think most of our noncore assets actually are holding up. So we don’t have those control issues.
Viktor Fediv
Good. And on the land sales part, do you still expect it to be 40% to 50% over the 2022 level?
Scott Kingsmore
Yes, I think that’s an accurate estimate, Viktor. Obviously, things – transaction could spill into one quarter versus another. But I’d say about a 50% reduction over last year’s levels. As you saw in the third quarter, and this could have been the reason why some of the consensus estimates were off, we had zero land sales triggered in the second quarter.
Viktor Fediv
Got it, thank you very much.
Scott Kingsmore
Yes.
Operator
[Operator Instructions] The next question comes from Craig Schmidt with Bank of America Securities. Your line is open.
Lizzy Doykan
Okay. Thanks for confirming.
Operator
[Operator Instructions] The next question comes from Sanket Agrawal with Evercore. Your line is open.
Sanket Agrawal
Hey, thanks for taking my question. We saw that other income line was up 40% year on year for the first half of the year. So, we just wanted some color of what is driving that and also how should we think about that for the second half and into ‘24?
Scott Kingsmore
Yes, sure. This is Scott. I’ll go ahead and take that one. Other income could, get a little bit lumpy periodically if I look at the second quarter, other income at, in our share across JVs, as well as wholly owned assets. We had a favorable change in evaluation adjustments and some of our retail investments that totaled about $4 million. We also realized some rebates for some sustainability initiatives, some fuel cell programs that we put in place in the past. That was consistent with our expectation. And then, we also had increased interest income relative to the second quarter. So, those are really the primary driving factors. Interest you should continue to see is elevated. The other factors are somewhat hard to predict. Certainly, the change in investment valuations are hard to predict. But that’s the reason for the change.
Sanket Agrawal
Sounds good. And also, like your tenant recovery during the first half of this year has been better than what you have done in the past year. And as you continue to build up on the occupancy, how do you think about that for the second half and ‘24?
Scott Kingsmore
It’s a good observation. We saw the same trends last quarter. Year to date, our recovery rates are actually up almost 5%. And I think you’ll see that trend continue. And again, this is a concerted effort of us to take a selected portion of leases that were more heavily vulnerable, rent-oriented, and convert those to a more traditional fixed lease structure, which includes fixed CAM and a recovery of our property taxes. So, you’ll consider – you’ll continue to see that trend where recovery rates increase. That’s our expectation for the next few quarters.
Sanket Agrawal
Thank you. I really appreciate that.
Operator
[Operator Instructions] Our next question comes from Floris van Dijkum with Compass Point. Your line is open.
Floris van Dijkum
Hi, good afternoon, or good morning for you guys out on the West Coast. Wanted to just go through – I mean, the leasing is clearly – continues to be very positive and robust. And you’ve touched on some of, the key factors, particularly leasing spreads, large SNO pipeline. So, the SNO pipeline has essentially, did I hear correctly, increased by 3 million from 64 million. I think last time you disclosed this was 67 million. Does that include the additional 500,000 square feet of LOI properties in there? And maybe if you can talk about, is there a change in rent spreads between renewals versus new leases? Some more details would be helpful.
Scott Kingsmore
Good afternoon, Floris. Yes, 66 million is the new number. That’s up about 3 million or so from what we disclosed last quarter. In fact, we started quantifying this a year ago. And at that point in time, our SNO pipeline, signed but not open pipeline, was $53 million. So, it’s increased about 25% over the last 12 months. which is indicative of exactly what we’ve been talking to over the last four quarters, which is a very robust leasing environment. That pipeline includes both signed, as well as leases that are in documentation. So, Floris, it would include the 500,000 square feet that we’re currently documenting. And then, you asked about spreads and the relative change between renewal and new. We’re not disclosing that level of detail. I would say that on balance, though, our new lease spreads are healthier and more robust as we turn spaces over to new and more productive retailers than our renewal spreads. But our renewal spreads are still positive.
Floris van Dijkum
And maybe if you could also – just to follow-up on my first question, you talked about the temp to perm opportunity. And obviously, that’s very attractive. Your NOI essentially doubles from that. How much more temp do you have today and maybe provide what it’s historically been? And getting back to those levels, you also mentioned, obviously, that it impacts your recovery ratios. Are there other things that we should be thinking about?
Scott Kingsmore
Yes, our temp is still over 8%, which, on a relative basis, is elevated for us. That’s fine. We’ve found a very healthy local and regional merchant environment. And I don’t think we’re unique in that regard, so temp remains elevated, which is a great opportunity for us in terms of internal growth drivers to continue to convert those spaces to permanent. It’s a slow-moving ship, so that doesn’t happen overnight. But we do think that, especially in the better spaces that are being backfilled on an interim basis, that there’s a really tremendous opportunity to find some very good rent growth by converting temporary to permanent uses.
Floris van Dijkum
Great. And maybe my second question has to do with anchor boxes. Obviously, you did the deal with Seritage. You bought the incremental boxes. Maybe – you talked about the amount, which is a lot less, I think, than the original purchase price, if I’m not mistaken. But talk about the IOR expectations. And maybe also touch upon what happened to the JCPenney box at Queens. I believe Copper, which is the company that got that in the spin from JCPenney no longer owns that. Is there any color you can provide?
Scott Kingsmore
Sure. I’ll touch on those. Just to look at anchor leasing, we recently looked at this. And since 2021, we’ve leased a 1.5 million square feet of anchor space. We have another 400,000 square feet of anchor space that is committed and in documentation. So, it’s nearly 2 million square feet of anchor space. And you can expect with each one of those deals, significantly higher sales volume than the prior uses. And I’m talking about multiples, not just times two. Much larger rents, and those are all embedded within our assigned but not open pipeline. And then, significantly boosted traffic and energy as a result of those uses. And most of those uses have yet to come online. They’re going to start coming online in the fourth quarter this year and over the next 18 months thereafter. So, we’re very excited about that anchor leasing activity. Again, nearly 2 million square feet of leasing production. You asked about – I think I missed one part of your question. I’ll come back to it. But you asked about Penney at Queens. We do not own that box. It is owned by a third party, as we understand, that acquired that from – out of the Penney bankruptcy. We do understand that they’re going through remerchandising, but we have yet to understand exactly what the plans are. We do believe there’ll be some very diverse uses that will be coming to the campus that may result also in retaining Penney into a smaller footprint. So, more to come, but we’re excited about the opportunity. Just as we’re doing to bring new and diverse uses to Queens.
Floris van Dijkum
Yes, so, Scott, the question I had was in the IOR expectation for the Seritage JV buyout. And presumably it differs between your leased properties or your stabilized properties and the properties that have yet to be redeveloped.
Floris van Dijkum
Great. Thanks, guys.
Operator
[Operator Instructions] The next question comes from Linda Tsai with Jefferies. Your line is open.
Linda Tsai
And then, as you head into next year, do you expect lease term fees to trend down further? And would it become a tailwind to earnings off easier comps?
Scott Kingsmore
It’s a good question, Linda. It’s always a little bit of guesswork. I would say at the guided level of 7 million, historically, that’s a low point. And so, that certainly could become a tailwind. Oftentimes, a retailer will be churning through a brand and focusing the reference on different types of brands, and they will come to us and proactively seek a buyout. And sometimes, you could fill half of that $7 million order with one termination deal. So, we don’t have anything imminent, but I would say that that’s probably a trough point relative to history.
Linda Tsai
Thanks.
Operator
[Operator Instructions] Next question comes from Alexander Goldfarb with Piper Sandler. Your line is open.
Alexander Goldfarb
Hey, good morning out there. So, two questions. The first is, you guys had a pretty strong jump in your cash same store NOI expectations, but the full year FFO range was just tightened. So, where are the offsets that the jump in the same store cash expectations are, offset such that FFO range is just tightened, not increased?
Scott Kingsmore
Good afternoon out there, Alex. This is Scott. I’ll just refer back to my opening remarks. Same story NOI resulted about a $0.05 improvement. Cutting the other direction, we had the first quarter swing in investment valuations. That was about $0.025 decline in FFO. And there were a couple other factors, including increased interest expense and reduced lease termination income that accounted for the other FFO offsets.
Alexander Goldfarb
Okay. And then, the second question is Danbury Fair Mall. Forgive me for my focus on it, but I drive past it all the time. The parking lot is packed, it’s a great asset. And yet, in your release, it only had a 1-year extension. The interest rate went up from 6 up to like 7.5. So, hardly think it’s an over-levered asset. But can you just tell us a little bit more about that asset, why it only got the 1-year extension, why the higher interest expense? And then, also, versus Deptford, that one at least had a 3-year extension, was able to keep the same, sub-four interest coupon. If you can give a little bit more perspective, Scott, on what you’re seeing in the debt markets and why we’re seeing this disparity because, the Danbury one just really stands out, or maybe my expectations of that mall are more than the actual productivity.
Scott Kingsmore
Sure, Alex. I guess, first and foremost, I’m disappointed, you weren’t stopping and shopping. Instead you’re just driving by looking at the full parking lot. But if you need a better parking spot, just let us know. We’ll accommodate you. But good questions. To give you a little overview of what’s going on in the financing markets, I mean, we do see them improving. Year to date, as a frame of reference, over $3 billion of mall deals have been financed. We’ve accounted for about a third of that. During the quarter, as you noted, we did execute on a couple extensions. Those were on average in the mid-fives. Extensions are very strategic for us. They allow us to get to a better time to refinance, a better, more stable climate. If you think about the second quarter, Alex, we’re on the heels of a regional banking crisis where credit spreads were gapping out. And there’s still a lot of volatility. So, with the pending and looming maturity of July 1st, it made all sense in the world for us to buy an extra year. We’re actually active on Danbury. I agree with you. It’s really a great asset. We’ve spoken to many of the things that are going on there, backfilling anchor boxes. I just talked about Target and Primark occupying Sears, and that’s just only one of the few positive events there. So, I do think the asset is very financeable. Like I said, we’re very active. Hope to report more in the next quarter or so. It’s very strategic for us to secure those extensions and buy some time, get to a better climate. And the second quarter just was not the right timeframe for us.
Alexander Goldfarb
Okay. Thank you very much, Tom.
Operator
Please stand by for the next question. The next question comes from Hongliang
Hongliang Zhang
Alright. Thank you.
Operator
Please stand by for our next question. The next question comes from Ki Bin Kim with Truist. Your line is open.
Ki Bin Kim
Okay. Thank you again.
Operator
Please standby for the next question. The next question comes from Haendel St. Juste with Mizuho. Your line is open.
Ravi Vaidya
Hi, this is Ravi Vaidya on the line for Haendel. Hope you guys are doing well. We noticed that net debt to EBITDA came down about half a turn from last quarter. Can you please provide us with an updated leverage target for year-end ‘24 and whether or not that target includes any speculative equity issuance?
Scott Kingsmore
Yes. This is Scott. Our target remains around 8x by the time it gets to the end of next year, the end of 2024. That does not include the assumption of any issued equity. It was really driven by this very, very strong and robust pipeline and growth in EBITDA. So, that’s what we are seeing today.
Ravi Vaidya
Got it. Thank you.
Operator
Please stand by for the next question. The next question comes from Caitlin Burrows with Goldman Sachs. Your line is open.
Caitlin Burrows
Hi. Good morning, there. May be somewhat of a follow-up to one of the previous ones on percentage trends, they are meaningfully higher than they were pre-COVID. Within specifically at the first half of ‘23 versus first half of ‘19, but even second half of ‘22 versus second half of ‘19. So, maybe could you go through what’s driving this? Is it temporary tenants? Is it a change to the lease structure or a combination? And then just wondering going forward, should we expect it to come down to kind of what it was and get transferred into base rents, or whether there could be some kind of leakage or not?
Scott Kingsmore
Yes, you are right, Caitlin, and this is Scott. Percentage rents are certainly elevated to where they were pre-pandemic. I would break that down into a couple of camps. One, just frankly, a more robust sales environment, I think the luxury category that’s certainly driving percentage rents up. And I think that will have a lasting effect on percentage rents as a whole. But we have certainly seen those and we have predicted they would continue to decrease in 2023, relative to last year. We are certainly seeing a decrease. And that’s really, again, just a function of promoting more traditional leases with fixed rents, with the fixed CAM, full recoveries, stronger recovery rates. So, we will continue to see percentage rents tick down, not only this year, but next year, but I do think they will be at an elevated level, relative to pre-pandemic and 2019.
Operator
Please stand by for our next question. The next question comes from Craig Mailman with Citi. Your line is open.
Craig Mailman
Hey, guys. I just wanted to go back to the debt markets and I don’t want to dwell on Danbury. But just kind of curious, you guys said strategically, the extension there, is that just because you guys haven’t or Seritage hadn’t come in yet. You need to control that asked to kind of get the LTV you need to be able to refinance that long-term. And I guess just more generally, kind of what our LTV is that lenders are looking for today debt service coverage, kind of what’s the underwriting today versus maybe 6 months to 12 months ago?
Scott Kingsmore
Sure, I will take both of those. This is Scott. Good afternoon Craig. Danbury, so the, the theater box was completely outside that collateral. So, again, the regional banking crisis cropped up around mid-March. And with the looming July 1, maturity, it behooved us to secure an additional year of term to get to a less volatile environment. And to get to an environment, frankly, where there was a better view into when the Fed may potentially be increasing or pausing on their rate increases. And so that’s really what drove that. Very simply, it was just to get to a better and less volatile credit environment. And so we are approaching that environment, like I said, we are actively sourcing financing there. Second part of your question in terms of underwriting, I would say today, it’s less focused on loan-to-value because values are a little bit more obscure with a lack of trades in A-quality town center mall space. Really, it’s more focused on debt yield. And prevailing debt yields dependent upon their desire leverage level of the developer or borrower, are generally in the low teens range. But sometimes they may range up into the high teens if somebody wants to limit the leverage and produce the most efficient cost of capital. So, we have seen them trend all the way down to 11% over the last, I would say two months worth of mall executions.
Craig Mailman
That’s helpful. And then just on the $66 million, could you just talk about kind of the capital needs to be spent there relative to what’s in the redevelopment pipeline and then maybe what has to be spent on. So , we are trying to get sense of kind of current liquidity relative to your inflation, or your current capital needs relative to in-place liquidity to get SNO pipeline fully up and running and kind of what that leaves you for future deployments and just kind of from a liquidity standpoint, where you guys want to be?
Scott Kingsmore
So, Craig, I would say and I think this is consistent with what we had mentioned previously, in regard to [ph] development spin will range between 150 and 175 over the next few years. It will start to ramp up as we get into more of the mixed use projects. But to Tom’s point, a lot of those mixed use projects will be financed through our land position. So, our equity outlay will be relatively minimal in those.
Craig Mailman
Thank you.
Operator
Please stand by for our next question. The next question comes from Ronald Kamdem with Morgan Stanley. Your line is open.
Ronald Kamdem
Hey, just two quick ones, staying on the balance sheet. Apologies if I missed this. Have you touched on the Fashion Outlets of Niagara and Tysons Corner sort of those refinancings are coming along and what indications are looking like? Thanks.
Scott Kingsmore
Sure. Yes, that was – somebody had mentioned that previously. We are not going to speak in detail about each transaction, but I will say that we are actively working on both. We are actively working on more transactions than just those two. And it’s really a function of the environment is getting a little bit better. Liquidity is coming back into the market. Deals are getting done. We see, unfortunately, treasury yields have gapped out a little bit, but credit spreads have come back in. So, more and more mall deals are getting done. I would say over the last two months, we have seen probably $1.5 billion or so of those deals. And so it’s getting much more beneficial to transact in today’s environment, which again was a function of us getting extensions to get to a better environment. So, I can’t get into details specifically. One question was asked on Tysons as to whether or not we could borrow excess capital, and I have said it’s very possible, given the conditions of that asset. But that’s where we stand on that.
Ronald Kamdem
Great. And then, just the last one on the guidance. Number one, just anything for ‘23 that’s non-recurring that we should be thinking about as we are looking at ‘24. And then number two, is there a way to just quantify how much the benefits for better NOI was offset by either interest costs or anything else for ‘23 would be helpful. Thanks.
Scott Kingsmore
Yes, there is always one-off things in any given year. That’s just a constant in our business and probably most businesses. If I was to think top of mind, Linda asked about termination fees. And certainly, we are probably not going to hit that $10 million mark, which is why we have guided down to $10 million. And that seems like a relatively low point, and so that could certainly change next year. I think of our investment valuations, and that was one of the reasons for the decline in FFO this year. Those are hard to predict, but it’s certainly a headwind we are facing this year that could flip and become positive in 2024. Like I have said, though, Ron, I mean there is – every year there is something that you could say is non-recurring. That’s a constant in our business.
Ronald Kamdem
Helpful. That’s it for me. Thanks so much.
Operator
Please stand by for the next question. The next question comes from Greg McGinnis with Scotiabank. Your line is open.
Greg McGinnis
Hey. Thanks for taking the second question. Just had two quick ones. First is on the $2.3 million of signed-not-open occupancy. First question on that is, is that net new space that’s currently unoccupied? And two, is there an average rent or NOI that we can attribute to that pipeline?
Scott Kingsmore
Yes. Greg, so we do provide a disclosure each and every quarter within our investor deck, and it shows you the timing of when we expect that space to come online. So, I would refer back to the first quarter disclosure, which in aggregate was $63 million. That represents incremental rent over and above the existing uses if there are any in the spaces that those new stores will open in. And so the space could be vacant or the space could be – have an existing use, and that measures the incremental rent each year. So, I would refer back to that. We will certainly update the disclosure to factor in the few million dollars of additional growth in the pipeline. But look back at the first quarter. It can give you a sense for how that’s coming online.
Greg McGinnis
Okay. Thank you.
Transcript from August 8, 2023

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