LSB Industries, Inc.

LSB Industries, Inc.

LXUยทNYSE

$12.89

-1.3%
Basic MaterialsChemicals

LSB Industries, Inc. engages in the manufacture, marketing, and sale of chemical products. The company provides nitrogen-based fertilizers, such as ammonia, fertilizer grade ammonium nitrate (HDAN), and urea ammonia nitrate for fertilizer and fertilizer blends for corn and other crops, and NPK fertilizer blends applications. It also offers high purity and commercial grade ammonia, high purity ammonium nitrate, sulfuric acids, mixed nitrating acids, carbon dioxide, and diesel exhaust fluids, as well as concentrated, and blended and regular nitric acids for various applications, including semi-conductor and polyurethane intermediates; pulp and paper, alum, water treatment, metals, and vanadium processing; power plant emissions abatement, water treatment, refrigerants, and metals processing; exhaust stream additive, and horticulture/greenhouse applications; and refrigeration. In addition, the company provides industrial grade ammonium nitrate, ammonium nitrate, and HDAN solutions for ammonium nitrate fuel oil and specialty emulsions for mining, surface mining, quarries, and construction applications. It sells its products through distributors, as well as directly to end customers in the United States, Mexico, and Canada. The company serves to the agricultural, industrial, and mining markets. LSB Industries, Inc. was founded in 1968 and is headquartered in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$927.08M
EPS0.3400
P/E Ratio37.91
Earnings Date07/28/2026

Intrinsic Alpha Methodology

Thesis Lenses

Signal ยท Driver ยท Risk

Signal

High confidence

Valuation multiple is elevated (P/E 37.9).

Valuation inputs: P/E 37.9, earnings yield +2.6%, momentum -1.3%.

If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.

Driver

High confidence

Return profile is soft (ROE +4.7%, ROIC +4.4%).

Profitability stack: net margin +4.0%, ROE +4.7%, ROIC +4.4%.

Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.

Risk

High confidence

Risk profile is balanced but has notable pressure points to monitor.

Risk factors: liabilities/assets +55.7%, momentum -1.3%, net margin +4.0%.

Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.

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LSB Industries, Inc. Market vs Earnings Trajectory

LXU ยท NYSE

Loading price and EPS data...

LSB Industries, Inc.

LSB Industries, Inc. Fair Value Envelope

LXU ยท NYSE

Our analysis suggests that LXU has a fair value of HIDDEN per share in the Base Case projection. With shares currently trading at $12.89, this represents a potential HIDDEN relative to our calculated worth for LSB Industries, Inc..

Intrinsic Value
Current Price: $12.89
3Y-88.0%
5Y-113.0%
10Y-105.0%
3Y-32.0%
5Y+75.0%
10Y+64.0%
3Y-89.0%
5Y-140.0%
10Y-78.0%
3Y-72.0%
5Y-3901.0%
10Y-500.0%
3Y-94.0%
5Y-155.0%
10Y-108.0%
3Y-18.0%
5Y+11.0%
10Y-8.0%
LSB Industries, Inc.

LSB Industries, Inc. Profit Bridge

LXU ยท NYSE
Revenue615.21M
Cost of Goods Sold (510.91M)
Gross Profit104.30M
Operating Expenses (41.51M)
Operating Income62.80M
Interest Expense (30.66M)
Other Income/Expense-30.25M
Pretax Income32.55M
Income Tax (7.94M)
Net Income24.61M
Net Income
24.61M

Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin

17.0%

Thin margins leave little room for error. Cost management and pricing strategy are critical.

Operating Margin

10.2%

Acceptable margins but limited operational leverage. Operating expense control is important.

Net Profit Margin

4.0%

Minimal profitability after all expenses. Limited financial flexibility for reinvestment or shareholder returns.

Effective Tax Rate

24.4%

Moderate tax rate typical for most corporations. Represents standard tax burden on profits.

Profitability Insight

Efficient profit conversion: Minimal margin compression from gross to net indicates lean operations and favorable tax/interest environment.

16.95%
Gross Profit Margin
85%
3Y-56.0%
5Y+249.0%
10Y-229.0%
10.21%
Operating Profit Margin
-1069%
3Y-70.0%
5Y-331.0%
10Y-142.0%
4.00%
Net Profit Margin
-208%
3Y-84.0%
5Y-123.0%
10Y-87.0%
4.73%
Return on Equity
-220%
3Y-89.0%
5Y-132.0%
10Y-73.0%
2.10%
Return on Assets
-229%
3Y-87.0%
5Y-136.0%
10Y-76.0%
4.40%
Return on Invested Capital
-1261%
3Y-78.0%
5Y-398.0%
10Y-184.0%
LXU

LSB Industries, Inc. Cash Conversion Engine

LXU ยท NYSE
Net Income24.61M
Depreciation & Amortization81.93M
Stock-Based Compensation7.37M
Change in Working Capital-35.10M
Others9.06M
Capital Expenditures-77.46M
Free Cash Flow18.06M

Cash Flow Quality Analysis

FCF Conversion Rate

73.4%

Moderate conversion rate. Some gap between earnings and cash flow may warrant investigation into working capital or non-cash items.

CapEx Intensity

81.1%

Very high capital intensity consumes most operating cash flow. Limited flexibility for dividends or debt reduction.

FCF Growth Trend

+415.9%

Strong FCF growth demonstrates improving cash generation and business momentum. Positive signal for sustainability.

Working Capital Impact

-$35.10M

Significant working capital drain. Growth may be consuming cash through inventory buildup or receivables extensionโ€”monitor closely.

Cash Flow Quality Insight

Capital-intensive growth: Heavy reinvestment limits current cash available but may drive future returns. Assess whether CapEx supports compelling growth opportunities with adequate ROI.

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LSB Industries, Inc. Funding & Solvency Profile

LXU ยท NYSE
Cash & Cash Equivalents20.64M
Net Receivables52.50M
Inventory73.11M
Other Current Assets5.05M
Total Current Assets321 M
Property, Plant & Equipment868.99M
Goodwill & Intangible Assets0.00
Long-Term Investments0.00
Other Non-Current Assets1.07M
Total Non-Current Assets870 M
Total Assets
1.19B

Financial Health Analysis

Current Ratio

3.07x

Excellent liquidity position. The company can easily cover its short-term obligations with substantial cushion.

Debt-to-Equity Ratio

1.19x

Elevated leverage. Debt exceeds equity, which amplifies both gains and risks. Monitor debt servicing ability.

Working Capital

217 M

Strong working capital position provides significant operational flexibility and financial cushion.

Asset Composition

27% Current

Capital-intensive business with significant long-term investments in property, equipment, or intangibles.

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LSB Industries, Inc. Street Expectations Map

LXU ยท NYSE

Wall Street analysts project that LXU stock may rise significantly over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 15.50, with estimates ranging from a low of 15.00 to a high of 16.00.

Lowest Target
15.00
16.37%
Consensus Target
15.50
20.25%
Highest Target
16.00
24.13%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 15.50, with estimates ranging from a low of 15.00 to a high of 16.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

+20.3%

Strong upside potential. Consensus indicates attractive return opportunity with favorable risk-reward profile.

Analyst Agreement

6.5% spread

High analyst agreement. Narrow target range indicates strong consensus on valuation, suggesting clear investment thesis and predictable outlook.

Analyst Conviction

Very High

Strong buy conviction: High upside with tight consensus suggests compelling investment opportunity backed by analyst confidence.

Market Sentiment Insight

Rare opportunity: Exceptional upside potential with strong analyst consensus creates a compelling setup. The combination of significant price target premium and tight agreement suggests high-conviction undervaluation that may attract institutional capital.

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LSB Industries, Inc. Insider Positioning

LXU ยท NYSE

During the last 12 months, insiders have sold $78.22M worth of LXU shares, with no buying activity reported.

3 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

4.9M

72.60M

Net Activity

-72.6M

-$72.60M

3-6 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

466.8K

4.97M

Net Activity

-5.0M

-$4.97M

6-9 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

70.0K

640.83K

Net Activity

-641K

-$641K

9-12 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

Top Buyers

No buying activity

Top Sellers

1
BTL

Boehly Todd L

10 Percent Owner

4.9M sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$72.60M

2
BMT

Behrman Mark T

Director, Officer: President And Ceo

250.0K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$2.94M

3
GBH

Golsen Barry H

Director

249.3K sharesโ€ข14 transactions

$2.33M

4
FMJ

Foster Michael J.

Officer: Evp, General Counsel And Sec

30.0K sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$272K

5
MC

Maguire Cheryl

Officer: Evp And Cfo

5.4K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$53K

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bearish

Strong bearish signal with $78.22M net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.

Buy/Sell Ratio

0.00:1

Very poor ratio. Heavy selling with minimal buying suggests insiders may be concerned about valuation or outlook.

Recent Trend (3 Months)

$72.60M

Heavy recent selling activity. Recent insider sales notably exceed purchasesโ€”may warrant investigation into company developments.

Insider Participation

High Selling

5 insider sellers vs. 0 buyers. Widespread selling across multiple insiders may signal concerns.

Insider Activity Insight

Multiple red flags: Heavy selling, numerous sellers, and continued recent selling create a concerning pattern. Investigate fundamental drivers and consider whether company guidance or industry conditions have deteriorated.

0.00%
Dividend Yield
3Y-
5Y-
10Y-
ย 

lxu Dividend History

LXU
10Y CAGR +0%
Latest $0
Annual $0
Stable dividend payments
Last Period: +0%