Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation
$7.36
-5.2%Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation provides location-based entertainment platforms under the AMF, Bowlero, Lucky X Strike, Boomers, and PBA brand names in North America. It also operates bowling, amusements, water parks, and family entertainment centers. The company was formerly known as Bowlero Corp. and changed its name to Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation in December 2024. Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in Mechanicsville, Virginia.
At a Glance
Live SnapshotIntrinsic Alpha Methodology
Thesis Lenses
Signal
Medium confidenceValuation multiple is compressed (P/E -56.6).
Valuation inputs: P/E -56.6, earnings yield N/A, momentum -5.2%.
If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.
Driver
High confidenceReturn profile is soft (ROE +5.9%, ROIC -1.1%).
Profitability stack: net margin -0.8%, ROE +5.9%, ROIC -1.1%.
Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.
Risk
High confidenceDownside profile is elevated and scenario stress-testing is essential.
Risk factors: liabilities/assets +105.4%, momentum -5.2%, net margin -0.8%.
Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.
Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation Market vs Earnings Trajectory
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Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation Fair Value Envelope
Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation Profit Bridge
Profitability Analysis
Gross Margin
Strong gross margins indicate healthy pricing and efficient production or service delivery.
Operating Margin
Acceptable margins but limited operational leverage. Operating expense control is important.
Net Profit Margin
Net losses indicate the company is burning cash. Sustainability depends on path to profitability.
Effective Tax Rate
Higher tax burden may reflect limited tax optimization or operations in high-tax jurisdictions.
Profitability Insight
Non-operating losses: Core business is profitable but other expenses (interest, taxes, one-time items) are driving net losses. Review capital structure and non-operating items.
Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation Cash Conversion Engine
Cash Flow Quality Analysis
FCF Conversion Rate
Negative free cash flow despite positive earnings raises concerns about cash generation ability or heavy capital requirements.
CapEx Intensity
Very high capital intensity consumes most operating cash flow. Limited flexibility for dividends or debt reduction.
FCF Growth Trend
Strong FCF growth demonstrates improving cash generation and business momentum. Positive signal for sustainability.
Working Capital Impact
Working capital inflow boosted cash flow. Efficient management of receivables, inventory, and payables contributing positively.
Cash Flow Quality Insight
Capital-intensive growth: Heavy reinvestment limits current cash available but may drive future returns. Assess whether CapEx supports compelling growth opportunities with adequate ROI.
Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation Funding & Solvency Profile
Financial Health Analysis
Current Ratio
Warning: Liquidity concerns. Current assets may not be sufficient to cover short-term obligations.
Working Capital
Negative working capital indicates short-term liabilities exceed short-term assets—potential liquidity stress.
Asset Composition
Capital-intensive business with significant long-term investments in property, equipment, or intangibles.
Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation Street Expectations Map
Wall Street analysts project that LUCK stock may rise significantly over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 9.60, with estimates ranging from a low of 6.50 to a high of 13.00.
The consensus 1-year price target stands at 9.60, with estimates ranging from a low of 6.50 to a high of 13.00.
Analyst Consensus Analysis
Upside Potential
Substantial upside potential. Analysts see significant value gap, suggesting the stock may be materially undervalued at current levels.
Analyst Agreement
High uncertainty. Very wide target spread indicates significant disagreement among analysts—major valuation uncertainty or transformation underway.
Risk-Reward Profile
Favorable risk-reward. Potential upside significantly exceeds downside risk, offering asymmetric return profile attractive for risk-tolerant investors.
Analyst Conviction
High uncertainty: Wide dispersion indicates analysts struggle to agree on valuation—proceed with caution and independent analysis.
Market Sentiment Insight
High risk, high reward: Substantial upside potential exists, but wide analyst disagreement signals execution risk or unclear catalysts. Thorough due diligence essential before committing capital.
Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation Insider Positioning
During the last 12 months, insiders have purchased $437K and sold $115K worth of LUCK shares, resulting in $322K of net buying activity.
3 Months
246
2.08K
3.0K
25.40K
-23K
-$23K
3-6 Months
19.8K
143.82K
0
0.00
+144K
+$144K
6-9 Months
36.3K
291.08K
10.2K
89.17K
+202K
+$202K
9-12 Months
0
0.00
0
0.00
+0
+$0
Top Buyers
Born Richard Meynard
Director
$243K
Harinstein Jason
Director
$98K
Young John Alan
Director
$87K
Bass Robert J
Director
$4K
Lavan Robert M.
Officer: Chief Financial Officer
$4K
Top Sellers
Lavan Robert M.
Officer: Chief Financial Officer
$61K
Ekster Lev
Other: Former Officer
$54K
Insider Activity Analysis
Net Insider Sentiment
Strong bullish signal with $322K net buying. Insiders are aggressively accumulating shares, suggesting significant confidence in future prospects.
Buy/Sell Ratio
Exceptional buy/sell ratio. Buying dramatically outweighs selling—one of the strongest possible insider signals.
Recent Trend (3 Months)
Heavy recent selling activity. Recent insider sales notably exceed purchases—may warrant investigation into company developments.
Insider Participation
5 insider buyers vs. 2 sellers. Broad-based buying across management team suggests widespread confidence.
Insider Activity Insight
Compelling insider conviction: The combination of strong buy/sell ratio and multiple buyers suggests insiders see attractive risk/reward. Consider this alongside fundamental analysis for confirmation.
luck Dividend History
Learning Layer
Related Guides
Build conviction on LUCK by pairing this stock hub with focused valuation guides.
Research Paths
Snapshot
Start with context, operating signals, and key market metrics.
Value Model
Stress test fair value across bear, base, and bull assumptions.
Statements
Validate revenue quality, margins, and balance sheet durability.
Earnings Call
Read management commentary and compare it with reported outcomes.
Dividends
Check payout sustainability and long-term distribution behavior.
Analyst Expectations
Review consensus spread and where estimate risk is concentrated.