Dorian LPG Ltd.

Dorian LPG Ltd.

LPGยทNYSE

$40.63

-0.33%
EnergyOil & Gas Midstream

Dorian LPG Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the transportation of liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) through its LPG tankers worldwide. The company owns and operates very large gas carriers (VLGCs). As of May 27, 2022, its fleet consisted of twenty-two VLGCs. The company was incorporated in 2013 and is headquartered in Stamford, Connecticut.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$1.74B
EPS4.5500
P/E Ratio8.93
Earnings Date07/31/2026

Intrinsic Alpha Methodology

Thesis Lenses

Signal ยท Driver ยท Risk

Signal

High confidence

Valuation multiple is compressed (P/E 8.9).

Valuation inputs: P/E 8.9, earnings yield +11.2%, momentum -0.3%.

If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.

Driver

High confidence

Return profile is soft (ROE 0.0%, ROIC 0.0%).

Profitability stack: net margin +40.2%, ROE 0.0%, ROIC 0.0%.

Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.

Risk

High confidence

Downside profile looks controlled across current risk inputs.

Risk factors: liabilities/assets +41.2%, momentum -0.3%, net margin +40.2%.

Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.

lpg

Dorian LPG Ltd. Market vs Earnings Trajectory

LPG ยท NYSE

Loading price and EPS data...

Dorian LPG Ltd.

Dorian LPG Ltd. Fair Value Envelope

LPG ยท NYSE

Our analysis suggests that LPG has a fair value of HIDDEN per share in the Base Case projection. With shares currently trading at $40.635, this represents a potential HIDDEN relative to our calculated worth for Dorian LPG Ltd..

Intrinsic Value
Current Price: $40.635
3Y+6.0%
5Y+145.0%
10Y-15267.0%
3Y+24.0%
5Y+52.0%
10Y+188.0%
3Y+12.0%
5Y+109.0%
10Y-13532.0%
3Y+46.0%
5Y+1848.0%
10Y+15.0%
3Y+61.0%
5Y+3068.0%
10Y-121.0%
3Y+11.0%
5Y+6.0%
10Y-3.0%
Dorian LPG Ltd.

Dorian LPG Ltd. Profit Bridge

LPG ยท NYSE
Revenue481.51M
Cost of Goods Sold (66.49M)
Gross Profit415.02M
Operating Expenses (53.02M)
Operating Income210.18M
Interest Expense (0.00)
Other Income/Expense-16.51M
Pretax Income193.67M
Income Tax (0.00)
Net Income193.67M
Net Income
193.67M

Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin

86.2%

Exceptional pricing power and cost management. The company retains over half of revenue after direct costs.

Operating Margin

43.6%

Outstanding operational efficiency. The company generates substantial profit from core operations.

Net Profit Margin

40.2%

Exceptional profitability. The company converts a significant portion of revenue to bottom-line earnings.

Effective Tax Rate

0.0%

Below-average tax rate suggests effective tax planning, favorable jurisdictions, or tax credits.

Profitability Insight

Exceptional profitability across all levels: Strong pricing power, efficient operations, and healthy bottom line indicate a high-quality business with sustainable competitive advantages.

86.19%
Gross Profit Margin
99%
3Y+47.0%
5Y+84.0%
10Y+333.0%
43.65%
Operating Profit Margin
37%
3Y-14.0%
5Y+19.0%
10Y+422.0%
40.22%
Net Profit Margin
58%
3Y-9.0%
5Y+37.0%
10Y-4771.0%
0.00%
Return on Equity
-100%
3Y-100.0%
5Y-100.0%
10Y-100.0%
0.00%
Return on Assets
-100%
3Y-100.0%
5Y-100.0%
10Y-100.0%
0.00%
Return on Invested Capital
-100%
3Y-100.0%
5Y-100.0%
10Y-100.0%
LPG

Dorian LPG Ltd. Cash Conversion Engine

LPG ยท NYSE
Net Income90.17M
Depreciation & Amortization69.60M
Stock-Based Compensation10.42M
Change in Working Capital-28.98M
Others31.80M
Capital Expenditures-18.95M
Free Cash Flow154.06M

Cash Flow Quality Analysis

FCF Conversion Rate

170.9%

Excellent cash generation. The company converts earnings to cash at or above 100%, indicating high-quality earnings.

CapEx Intensity

11.0%

Asset-light business model. Low capital requirements leave more cash available for shareholders and growth investments.

FCF Growth Trend

-56.7%

Significant FCF decline raises concerns. Urgent review needed of operational performance and capital allocation.

Working Capital Impact

-$28.98M

Minimal working capital impact on FCF. Changes in operating assets and liabilities well-managed.

Cash Flow Quality Insight

Asset-light with strong cash conversion: Low capital requirements combined with efficient cash generation creates significant shareholder value through dividends, buybacks, or strategic investments.

lpg

Dorian LPG Ltd. Funding & Solvency Profile

LPG ยท NYSE
Cash & Cash Equivalents294.49M
Net Receivables73.35M
Inventory2.25M
Other Current Assets0.00
Total Current Assets392 M
Property, Plant & Equipment1.33B
Goodwill & Intangible Assets0.00
Long-Term Investments29.34M
Other Non-Current Assets28.08M
Total Non-Current Assets1 B
Total Assets
1.78B

Financial Health Analysis

Current Ratio

2.41x

Excellent liquidity position. The company can easily cover its short-term obligations with substantial cushion.

Debt-to-Equity Ratio

0.64x

Balanced capital structure with moderate leverage. Equity exceeds debt, suggesting healthy financial stability.

Working Capital

230 M

Strong working capital position provides significant operational flexibility and financial cushion.

Asset Composition

22% Current

Capital-intensive business with significant long-term investments in property, equipment, or intangibles.

Financial Health Insight

Strong financial foundation: Excellent liquidity combined with conservative leverage suggests the company is well-positioned to weather economic uncertainties and fund growth opportunities.

lpg

Dorian LPG Ltd. Street Expectations Map

LPG ยท NYSE

Wall Street analysts project that LPG stock may rise significantly over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 55.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 55.00 to a high of 55.00.

Lowest Target
55.00
35.35%
Consensus Target
55.00
35.35%
Highest Target
55.00
35.35%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 55.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 55.00 to a high of 55.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

+35.4%

Substantial upside potential. Analysts see significant value gap, suggesting the stock may be materially undervalued at current levels.

Analyst Agreement

0.0% spread

High analyst agreement. Narrow target range indicates strong consensus on valuation, suggesting clear investment thesis and predictable outlook.

Analyst Conviction

Very High

Strong buy conviction: High upside with tight consensus suggests compelling investment opportunity backed by analyst confidence.

Market Sentiment Insight

Rare opportunity: Exceptional upside potential with strong analyst consensus creates a compelling setup. The combination of significant price target premium and tight agreement suggests high-conviction undervaluation that may attract institutional capital.

lpg

Dorian LPG Ltd. Insider Positioning

LPG ยท NYSE

During the last 12 months, insiders have purchased $410K and sold $3.67M worth of LPG shares, resulting in $3.26M of net selling activity.

3 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

25.4K

1.05M

Net Activity

-1.0M

-$1.05M

3-6 Months

Bought

15.0K

409.50K

Sold

70.0K

2.30M

Net Activity

-1.9M

-$1.89M

6-9 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

5.0K

161.90K

Net Activity

-162K

-$162K

9-12 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

5.0K

159.80K

Net Activity

-160K

-$160K

Top Buyers

1
HJC

Hadjipateras John C

Director, 10 Percent Owner, Officer: President And Ceo

15.0K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$410K

Top Sellers

1
HTT

Hansen Tim Truels

Officer: Chief Commercial Officer

60.0K sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$1.95M

2
KT

Kalborg Ted

Director

15.4K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$693K

3
LJ

Lycouris John

Director, Officer: Head Of Energy Transition

10.0K sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$355K

4
YTB

Young Theodore B.

Officer: Chief Financial Officer

10.0K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$348K

5
HAC

Hadjipateras Alexander C.

Officer: Chief Operating Officer

10.0K sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$322K

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bearish

Strong bearish signal with $3.26M net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.

Buy/Sell Ratio

0.11:1

Weak buy/sell ratio. Selling significantly exceeds buyingโ€”monitor for potential fundamental concerns.

Recent Trend (3 Months)

$1.05M

Heavy recent selling activity. Recent insider sales notably exceed purchasesโ€”may warrant investigation into company developments.

Insider Participation

High Selling

5 insider sellers vs. 1 buyers. Widespread selling across multiple insiders may signal concerns.

Insider Activity Insight

Multiple red flags: Heavy selling, numerous sellers, and continued recent selling create a concerning pattern. Investigate fundamental drivers and consider whether company guidance or industry conditions have deteriorated.

0.00%
Dividend Yield
-100%
3Y-100.0%
5Y-
10Y-
ย 

lpg Dividend History

LPG
10Y CAGR +0%
Latest $1
Annual $2.95
Dividend growth trend
Last Period: +43%