Dorian LPG Ltd.
$40.77
-1.3%Dorian LPG Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the transportation of liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) through its LPG tankers worldwide. The company owns and operates very large gas carriers (VLGCs). As of May 27, 2022, its fleet consisted of twenty-two VLGCs. The company was incorporated in 2013 and is headquartered in Stamford, Connecticut.
At a Glance
Live SnapshotIntrinsic Alpha Methodology
Thesis Lenses
Signal
High confidenceValuation multiple is compressed (P/E 9.0).
Valuation inputs: P/E 9.0, earnings yield +11.2%, momentum -1.3%.
If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.
Driver
High confidenceReturn profile is soft (ROE 0.0%, ROIC 0.0%).
Profitability stack: net margin +40.2%, ROE 0.0%, ROIC 0.0%.
Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.
Risk
High confidenceDownside profile looks controlled across current risk inputs.
Risk factors: liabilities/assets +41.2%, momentum -1.3%, net margin +40.2%.
Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.
Dorian LPG Ltd. Market vs Earnings Trajectory
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Dorian LPG Ltd. Fair Value Envelope
Dorian LPG Ltd. Profit Bridge
Profitability Analysis
Gross Margin
Exceptional pricing power and cost management. The company retains over half of revenue after direct costs.
Operating Margin
Outstanding operational efficiency. The company generates substantial profit from core operations.
Net Profit Margin
Exceptional profitability. The company converts a significant portion of revenue to bottom-line earnings.
Effective Tax Rate
Below-average tax rate suggests effective tax planning, favorable jurisdictions, or tax credits.
Profitability Insight
Exceptional profitability across all levels: Strong pricing power, efficient operations, and healthy bottom line indicate a high-quality business with sustainable competitive advantages.
Dorian LPG Ltd. Cash Conversion Engine
Cash Flow Quality Analysis
FCF Conversion Rate
Excellent cash generation. The company converts earnings to cash at or above 100%, indicating high-quality earnings.
CapEx Intensity
Asset-light business model. Low capital requirements leave more cash available for shareholders and growth investments.
FCF Growth Trend
Significant FCF decline raises concerns. Urgent review needed of operational performance and capital allocation.
Working Capital Impact
Minimal working capital impact on FCF. Changes in operating assets and liabilities well-managed.
Cash Flow Quality Insight
Asset-light with strong cash conversion: Low capital requirements combined with efficient cash generation creates significant shareholder value through dividends, buybacks, or strategic investments.
Dorian LPG Ltd. Funding & Solvency Profile
Financial Health Analysis
Current Ratio
Excellent liquidity position. The company can easily cover its short-term obligations with substantial cushion.
Debt-to-Equity Ratio
Balanced capital structure with moderate leverage. Equity exceeds debt, suggesting healthy financial stability.
Working Capital
Strong working capital position provides significant operational flexibility and financial cushion.
Asset Composition
Capital-intensive business with significant long-term investments in property, equipment, or intangibles.
Financial Health Insight
Strong financial foundation: Excellent liquidity combined with conservative leverage suggests the company is well-positioned to weather economic uncertainties and fund growth opportunities.
Dorian LPG Ltd. Street Expectations Map
Wall Street analysts project that LPG stock may rise significantly over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 55.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 55.00 to a high of 55.00.
The consensus 1-year price target stands at 55.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 55.00 to a high of 55.00.
Analyst Consensus Analysis
Upside Potential
Substantial upside potential. Analysts see significant value gap, suggesting the stock may be materially undervalued at current levels.
Analyst Agreement
High analyst agreement. Narrow target range indicates strong consensus on valuation, suggesting clear investment thesis and predictable outlook.
Analyst Conviction
Strong buy conviction: High upside with tight consensus suggests compelling investment opportunity backed by analyst confidence.
Market Sentiment Insight
Rare opportunity: Exceptional upside potential with strong analyst consensus creates a compelling setup. The combination of significant price target premium and tight agreement suggests high-conviction undervaluation that may attract institutional capital.
Dorian LPG Ltd. Insider Positioning
During the last 12 months, insiders have purchased $410K and sold $3.67M worth of LPG shares, resulting in $3.26M of net selling activity.
3 Months
0
0.00
25.4K
1.05M
-1.0M
-$1.05M
3-6 Months
15.0K
409.50K
70.0K
2.30M
-1.9M
-$1.89M
6-9 Months
0
0.00
5.0K
161.90K
-162K
-$162K
9-12 Months
0
0.00
5.0K
159.80K
-160K
-$160K
Top Buyers
Hadjipateras John C
Director, 10 Percent Owner, Officer: President And Ceo
$410K
Top Sellers
Hansen Tim Truels
Officer: Chief Commercial Officer
$1.95M
Kalborg Ted
Director
$693K
Lycouris John
Director, Officer: Head Of Energy Transition
$355K
Young Theodore B.
Officer: Chief Financial Officer
$348K
Hadjipateras Alexander C.
Officer: Chief Operating Officer
$322K
Insider Activity Analysis
Net Insider Sentiment
Strong bearish signal with $3.26M net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.
Buy/Sell Ratio
Weak buy/sell ratio. Selling significantly exceeds buyingโmonitor for potential fundamental concerns.
Recent Trend (3 Months)
Heavy recent selling activity. Recent insider sales notably exceed purchasesโmay warrant investigation into company developments.
Insider Participation
5 insider sellers vs. 1 buyers. Widespread selling across multiple insiders may signal concerns.
Insider Activity Insight
Multiple red flags: Heavy selling, numerous sellers, and continued recent selling create a concerning pattern. Investigate fundamental drivers and consider whether company guidance or industry conditions have deteriorated.
lpg Dividend History
Learning Layer
Related Guides
Build conviction on LPG by pairing this stock hub with focused valuation guides.
Research Paths
Snapshot
Start with context, operating signals, and key market metrics.
Value Model
Stress test fair value across bear, base, and bull assumptions.
Statements
Validate revenue quality, margins, and balance sheet durability.
Earnings Call
Read management commentary and compare it with reported outcomes.
Dividends
Check payout sustainability and long-term distribution behavior.
Analyst Expectations
Review consensus spread and where estimate risk is concentrated.