Kosmos Energy Ltd.
$2.99
+0.67%Kosmos Energy Ltd., a deep-water independent oil and gas exploration and production company, focuses along the Atlantic Margins. The company's primary assets include production offshore Ghana, Equatorial Guinea, and the U.S. Gulf of Mexico, as well as a gas development offshore Mauritania and Senegal. It also maintains a proven basin exploration program. The company was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Dallas, Texas.
At a Glance
Live SnapshotIntrinsic Alpha Methodology
Thesis Lenses
Signal
Medium confidenceValuation multiple is compressed (P/E -2.0).
Valuation inputs: P/E -2.0, earnings yield N/A, momentum +0.7%.
If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.
Driver
High confidenceReturn profile is soft (ROE -1.3%, ROIC -6.4%).
Profitability stack: net margin -53.9%, ROE -1.3%, ROIC -6.4%.
Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.
Risk
High confidenceDownside profile is elevated and scenario stress-testing is essential.
Risk factors: liabilities/assets +88.7%, momentum +0.7%, net margin -53.9%.
Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.
Kosmos Energy Ltd. Market vs Earnings Trajectory
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Kosmos Energy Ltd. Fair Value Envelope
Kosmos Energy Ltd. Profit Bridge
Profitability Analysis
Gross Margin
Negative gross margin indicates the company is losing money on each sale—unsustainable long-term.
Operating Margin
Operating losses indicate the core business is unprofitable. Requires restructuring or revenue growth.
Net Profit Margin
Net losses indicate the company is burning cash. Sustainability depends on path to profitability.
Profitability Insight
Critical situation: Negative gross margins indicate fundamental business model issues. The company loses money on every sale—immediate strategic changes required.
Kosmos Energy Ltd. Cash Conversion Engine
Cash Flow Quality Analysis
FCF Conversion Rate
Weak cash conversion. Significant portion of earnings not converting to cash—review working capital trends and capital intensity.
CapEx Intensity
Very high capital intensity consumes most operating cash flow. Limited flexibility for dividends or debt reduction.
FCF Growth Trend
Strong FCF growth demonstrates improving cash generation and business momentum. Positive signal for sustainability.
Working Capital Impact
Neutral working capital impact. Changes in current assets and liabilities balanced out.
Kosmos Energy Ltd. Funding & Solvency Profile
Financial Health Analysis
Current Ratio
Warning: Liquidity concerns. Current assets may not be sufficient to cover short-term obligations.
Debt-to-Equity Ratio
High financial leverage. Heavy reliance on debt may indicate increased financial risk and potential solvency concerns.
Working Capital
Negative working capital indicates short-term liabilities exceed short-term assets—potential liquidity stress.
Asset Composition
Capital-intensive business with significant long-term investments in property, equipment, or intangibles.
Financial Health Insight
Financial stress indicators: Both liquidity and leverage metrics raise concerns. The company may face challenges meeting obligations and should focus on strengthening its balance sheet.
Kosmos Energy Ltd. Street Expectations Map
Wall Street analysts project that KOS stock may see slight declines over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 2.85, with estimates ranging from a low of 2.40 to a high of 3.50.
The consensus 1-year price target stands at 2.85, with estimates ranging from a low of 2.40 to a high of 3.50.
Analyst Consensus Analysis
Upside Potential
Fair value territory. Stock trading near consensus target suggests limited near-term catalysts. Focus on fundamental developments.
Analyst Agreement
Good consensus alignment. Moderate target spread reflects general agreement on value drivers with some variance in assumptions.
Risk-Reward Profile
Unfavorable risk-reward. Downside risk exceeds upside potential. Consider defensive positioning or alternative opportunities.
Analyst Conviction
Neutral sentiment. Fair value pricing with moderate agreement suggests wait-and-see approach or catalyst-driven opportunity.
Market Sentiment Insight
Monitor and evaluate: Current analyst consensus suggests limited conviction or near-term catalysts. Stay informed on company developments and reassess positioning as new information emerges.
Kosmos Energy Ltd. Insider Positioning
During the last 12 months, insiders have purchased $7.34M and sold $721K worth of KOS shares, resulting in $6.62M of net buying activity.
3 Months
3.7M
7.00M
125.6K
342.80K
+6.7M
+$6.66M
3-6 Months
0
0.00
272.8K
377.59K
-378K
-$378K
6-9 Months
0
0.00
0
0.00
+0
+$0
9-12 Months
193.2K
340.00K
574
1.04K
+339K
+$339K
Top Buyers
Ogunlesi Adebayo O.
Director
$6.00M
Inglis Andrew G
Director, Officer: Chairman And Ceo
$600K
Shah Nealesh D.
Officer: Svp And Cfo
$300K
Franklin Roy A.
Director
$170K
Grant John Douglas Kelso
Director
$170K
Top Sellers
Inglis Andrew G
Director, Officer: Chairman And Ceo
$205K
Franklin Roy A.
Director
$119K
Grant John Douglas Kelso
Director
$119K
Shah Nealesh D.
Officer: Svp And Cfo
$110K
Sterin Steven
Director
$105K
Insider Activity Analysis
Net Insider Sentiment
Strong bullish signal with $6.62M net buying. Insiders are aggressively accumulating shares, suggesting significant confidence in future prospects.
Buy/Sell Ratio
Exceptional buy/sell ratio. Buying dramatically outweighs selling—one of the strongest possible insider signals.
Recent Trend (3 Months)
Very strong recent buying momentum. Recent insider purchases significantly outpace sales, suggesting near-term optimism.
Insider Participation
5 insider buyers and 5 sellers. Equal participation suggests mixed or neutral insider views.
Insider Activity Insight
Strong confluence of bullish signals: High buy/sell ratio, multiple insiders participating, and recent buying momentum all point to significant insider confidence. This level of coordinated buying often precedes positive developments.
kos Dividend History
Learning Layer
Related Guides
Build conviction on KOS by pairing this stock hub with focused valuation guides.
Research Paths
Snapshot
Start with context, operating signals, and key market metrics.
Value Model
Stress test fair value across bear, base, and bull assumptions.
Statements
Validate revenue quality, margins, and balance sheet durability.
Earnings Call
Read management commentary and compare it with reported outcomes.
Dividends
Check payout sustainability and long-term distribution behavior.
Analyst Expectations
Review consensus spread and where estimate risk is concentrated.