$5.12
-1.2%Janus International Group, Inc. manufacturers, supplies, and provides turn-key self-storage, and commercial and industrial building solutions in North America and internationally. It offers roll up and swing doors, hallway systems, relocatable storage units, and facility and door automation technologies. The company also provides Noke smart entry system. Janus International Group, Inc. was founded in 2002 and is headquartered in Temple, Georgia.
Warren Buffett's Owner Earnings DCF analysis for intrinsic value calculation
Base year metrics used for projections
Forecast period and terminal assumptions
Calculation flow from present value to intrinsic value per share
Operating Cash Flow - Maintenance CapEx = Owner Earnings
| Metric | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | Year 6 | Year 7 | Year 8 | Year 9 | Year 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $118.8M | $101.1M | $86.1M | $73.3M | $62.4M | $53.1M | $45.2M | $38.5M | $32.8M | $27.9M |
| Maintenance CapEx | -$4.3M | -$3.7M | -$3.1M | -$2.7M | -$2.3M | -$1.9M | -$1.7M | -$1.4M | -$1.2M | -$1.0M |
| Owner Earnings | $114.4M | $97.4M | $82.9M | $70.6M | $60.1M | $51.2M | $43.6M | $37.1M | $31.6M | $26.9M |
| Discount Factor | 0.926 | 0.857 | 0.794 | 0.735 | 0.681 | 0.630 | 0.583 | 0.540 | 0.500 | 0.463 |
| Present Value | $105.9M | $83.5M | $65.8M | $51.9M | $40.9M | $32.3M | $25.4M | $20.0M | $15.8M | $12.5M |
Snapshot
Start with context, operating signals, and key market metrics.
Value Model
Stress test fair value across bear, base, and bull assumptions.
Statements
Validate revenue quality, margins, and balance sheet durability.
Earnings Call
Read management commentary and compare it with reported outcomes.
Dividends
Check payout sustainability and long-term distribution behavior.
Analyst Expectations
Review consensus spread and where estimate risk is concentrated.