Green Brick Partners, Inc.

Green Brick Partners, Inc.

GRBKยทNYSE

$68.65

+0.50%
Consumer CyclicalResidential Construction

Green Brick Partners, Inc. operates as a homebuilding and land development company in the United States. It operates through Builder operations Central, Builder operations Southeast, and Land development segments. The company is involved in the land acquisition and development, entitlements, design, construction, title and mortgage services, marketing, and sale of townhomes, patio homes, single family homes, and luxury homes in residential neighborhoods, and master planned communities. As of December 31,2021, the company owns or controls approximately 28,600 home sites in Dallas-Forth Worth, Atlanta metropolitan areas, and the Treasure Coast, Florida market. The company sells its homes through sales representatives and independent realtors. Green Brick Partners, Inc. was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Plano, Texas.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$2.96B
EPS7.0900
P/E Ratio9.68
Earnings Date07/29/2026

Intrinsic Alpha Methodology

Thesis Lenses

Signal ยท Driver ยท Risk

Signal

High confidence

Valuation multiple is compressed (P/E 9.7).

Valuation inputs: P/E 9.7, earnings yield +10.3%, momentum +0.5%.

If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.

Driver

High confidence

Return profile is strong (ROE +16.9%, ROIC +14.2%).

Profitability stack: net margin +14.9%, ROE +16.9%, ROIC +14.2%.

Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.

Risk

High confidence

Downside profile looks controlled across current risk inputs.

Risk factors: liabilities/assets +23.8%, momentum +0.5%, net margin +14.9%.

Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.

grbk

Green Brick Partners, Inc. Market vs Earnings Trajectory

GRBK ยท NYSE

Loading price and EPS data...

Green Brick Partners, Inc.

Green Brick Partners, Inc. Fair Value Envelope

GRBK ยท NYSE

Our analysis suggests that GRBK has a fair value of HIDDEN per share in the Base Case projection. With shares currently trading at $68.65, this represents a potential HIDDEN relative to our calculated worth for Green Brick Partners, Inc..

Intrinsic Value
Current Price: $68.65
3Y+17.0%
5Y+215.0%
10Y+1347.0%
3Y+19.0%
5Y+115.0%
10Y+452.0%
3Y+7.0%
5Y+176.0%
10Y+1219.0%
3Y+135.0%
5Y+507.0%
10Y-3123.0%
3Y+135.0%
5Y+547.0%
10Y-2874.0%
3Y+53.0%
5Y+157.0%
10Y+369.0%
Green Brick Partners, Inc.

Green Brick Partners, Inc. Profit Bridge

GRBK ยท NYSE
Revenue2.10B
Cost of Goods Sold (1.46B)
Gross Profit635.70M
Operating Expenses (226.25M)
Operating Income409.44M
Interest Expense (0.00)
Other Income/Expense28.73M
Pretax Income438.18M
Income Tax (94.67M)
Net Income313.23M
Net Income
313.23M

Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin

30.3%

Moderate margins typical of competitive industries. Monitor for pricing pressure or rising costs.

Operating Margin

19.5%

Healthy operating margins demonstrate effective cost control and strong business fundamentals.

Net Profit Margin

14.9%

Strong net margins indicate efficient operations and favorable tax/interest management.

Effective Tax Rate

21.6%

Moderate tax rate typical for most corporations. Represents standard tax burden on profits.

Profitability Insight

Efficient profit conversion: Minimal margin compression from gross to net indicates lean operations and favorable tax/interest environment.

30.29%
Gross Profit Margin
-10%
3Y+2.0%
5Y+26.0%
10Y+33.0%
19.51%
Operating Profit Margin
-14%
3Y-4.0%
5Y+51.0%
10Y+55.0%
14.93%
Net Profit Margin
-18%
3Y-10.0%
5Y+28.0%
10Y+139.0%
16.85%
Return on Equity
-28%
3Y-39.0%
5Y-5.0%
10Y+173.0%
12.35%
Return on Assets
-27%
3Y-30.0%
5Y+7.0%
10Y+181.0%
14.18%
Return on Invested Capital
-25%
3Y-26.0%
5Y+21.0%
10Y+103.0%
GRBK

Green Brick Partners, Inc. Cash Conversion Engine

GRBK ยท NYSE
Net Income313.23M
Depreciation & Amortization5.11M
Stock-Based Compensation12.32M
Change in Working Capital-159.36M
Others41.95M
Capital Expenditures-4.80M
Free Cash Flow208.45M

Cash Flow Quality Analysis

FCF Conversion Rate

66.5%

Moderate conversion rate. Some gap between earnings and cash flow may warrant investigation into working capital or non-cash items.

CapEx Intensity

2.3%

Asset-light business model. Low capital requirements leave more cash available for shareholders and growth investments.

FCF Growth Trend

+867.4%

Strong FCF growth demonstrates improving cash generation and business momentum. Positive signal for sustainability.

Working Capital Impact

-$159.36M

Significant working capital drain. Growth may be consuming cash through inventory buildup or receivables extensionโ€”monitor closely.

Cash Flow Quality Insight

Working capital strain: Significant cash tied up in operations. Monitor receivables collection, inventory turns, and payment terms to optimize cash conversion cycle.

grbk

Green Brick Partners, Inc. Funding & Solvency Profile

GRBK ยท NYSE
Cash & Cash Equivalents190.99M
Net Receivables39.98M
Inventory2.10B
Other Current Assets0.00
Total Current Assets2 B
Property, Plant & Equipment13.79M
Goodwill & Intangible Assets877.00K
Long-Term Investments93.05M
Other Non-Current Assets85.63M
Total Non-Current Assets192 M
Total Assets
2.54B

Financial Health Analysis

Current Ratio

8.47x

Excellent liquidity position. The company can easily cover its short-term obligations with substantial cushion.

Debt-to-Equity Ratio

0.31x

Conservative capital structure. The company relies primarily on equity financing, indicating low financial risk.

Working Capital

2 B

Strong working capital position provides significant operational flexibility and financial cushion.

Asset Composition

92% Current

Asset-light business model with high liquidity. Majority of assets are easily convertible to cash.

Financial Health Insight

Strong financial foundation: Excellent liquidity combined with conservative leverage suggests the company is well-positioned to weather economic uncertainties and fund growth opportunities.

grbk

Green Brick Partners, Inc. Street Expectations Map

GRBK ยท NYSE

No Target Data

No analyst price targets available for grbk.

grbk

Green Brick Partners, Inc. Insider Positioning

GRBK ยท NYSE

During the last 12 months, insiders have sold $2.97M worth of GRBK shares, with no buying activity reported.

3 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

3-6 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

2.5K

180.05K

Net Activity

-180K

-$180K

6-9 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

9-12 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

41.0K

2.79M

Net Activity

-2.8M

-$2.79M

Top Buyers

No buying activity

Top Sellers

1
DJ

Dolson Jed

Officer: President And Coo

35.0K sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$2.37M

2
PRS

Press Richard S

Director

8.5K sharesโ€ข3 transactions

$600K

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bearish

Strong bearish signal with $2.97M net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.

Buy/Sell Ratio

0.00:1

Very poor ratio. Heavy selling with minimal buying suggests insiders may be concerned about valuation or outlook.

Insider Participation

High Selling

2 insider sellers vs. 0 buyers. Widespread selling across multiple insiders may signal concerns.

0.00%
Dividend Yield
-100%
3Y-100.0%
5Y-
10Y-100.0%
ย 

grbk Dividend History

GRBK
10Y CAGR +0%
Latest $0
Annual $0
Stable dividend payments
Last Period: +0%