Group 1 Automotive, Inc.

Group 1 Automotive, Inc.

GPIยทNYSE

$305.75

-1.1%
Consumer CyclicalAuto - Dealerships

Group 1 Automotive, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates in the automotive retail industry. The company sells new and used cars, light trucks, and vehicle parts, as well as service and insurance contracts; arranges related vehicle financing; and offers automotive maintenance and repair services. It operates primarily in 17 states in the United States; and 35 towns in the United Kingdom. As of July 11, 2022, the company owned and operated 204 automotive dealerships, 273 franchises, and 47 collision centers that offer 35 brands of automobiles. Group 1 Automotive, Inc. was incorporated in 1995 and is based in Houston, Texas.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$3.64B
EPS25.1700
P/E Ratio12.15
Earnings Date07/23/2026

Intrinsic Alpha Methodology

Thesis Lenses

Signal ยท Driver ยท Risk

Signal

High confidence

Valuation multiple is compressed (P/E 12.2).

Valuation inputs: P/E 12.2, earnings yield +8.2%, momentum -1.1%.

If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.

Driver

High confidence

Return profile is acceptable (ROE +11.6%, ROIC +7.5%).

Profitability stack: net margin +1.4%, ROE +11.6%, ROIC +7.5%.

Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.

Risk

High confidence

Downside profile is elevated and scenario stress-testing is essential.

Risk factors: liabilities/assets +73.1%, momentum -1.1%, net margin +1.4%.

Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.

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Group 1 Automotive, Inc. Market vs Earnings Trajectory

GPI ยท NYSE

Loading price and EPS data...

Group 1 Automotive, Inc.

Group 1 Automotive, Inc. Fair Value Envelope

GPI ยท NYSE

Our analysis suggests that GPI has a fair value of HIDDEN per share in the Base Case projection. With shares currently trading at $305.75, this represents a potential HIDDEN relative to our calculated worth for Group 1 Automotive, Inc..

Intrinsic Value
Current Price: $305.75
3Y-47.0%
5Y+62.0%
10Y+277.0%
3Y+39.0%
5Y+113.0%
10Y+107.0%
3Y-57.0%
5Y+13.0%
10Y+120.0%
3Y+19.0%
5Y-14.0%
10Y+80.0%
3Y-1.0%
5Y-40.0%
10Y+86.0%
3Y+54.0%
5Y+103.0%
10Y+132.0%
Group 1 Automotive, Inc.

Group 1 Automotive, Inc. Profit Bridge

GPI ยท NYSE
Revenue22.57B
Cost of Goods Sold (19.07B)
Gross Profit3.50B
Operating Expenses (2.55B)
Operating Income948.70M
Interest Expense (310.90M)
Other Income/Expense-498.80M
Pretax Income449.90M
Income Tax (126.20M)
Net Income323.70M
Net Income
323.70M

Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin

15.5%

Thin margins leave little room for error. Cost management and pricing strategy are critical.

Operating Margin

4.2%

Minimal operating profit suggests high operating costs or pricing challenges. Scalability is concerning.

Net Profit Margin

1.4%

Minimal profitability after all expenses. Limited financial flexibility for reinvestment or shareholder returns.

Effective Tax Rate

28.1%

Higher tax burden may reflect limited tax optimization or operations in high-tax jurisdictions.

Profitability Insight

Efficient profit conversion: Minimal margin compression from gross to net indicates lean operations and favorable tax/interest environment.

15.51%
Gross Profit Margin
-5%
3Y-15.0%
5Y-5.0%
10Y+6.0%
4.20%
Operating Profit Margin
-8%
3Y-38.0%
5Y-10.0%
10Y+34.0%
1.43%
Net Profit Margin
-43%
3Y-69.0%
5Y-47.0%
10Y+6.0%
11.61%
Return on Equity
-31%
3Y-65.0%
5Y-41.0%
10Y-27.0%
3.13%
Return on Assets
-38%
3Y-72.0%
5Y-44.0%
10Y-5.0%
7.46%
Return on Invested Capital
-6%
3Y-47.0%
5Y-15.0%
10Y+33.0%
GPI

Group 1 Automotive, Inc. Cash Conversion Engine

GPI ยท NYSE
Net Income325.20M
Depreciation & Amortization0.00
Stock-Based Compensation0.00
Change in Working Capital-72.90M
Others442.20M
Capital Expenditures-270.00M
Free Cash Flow424.50M

Cash Flow Quality Analysis

FCF Conversion Rate

130.5%

Excellent cash generation. The company converts earnings to cash at or above 100%, indicating high-quality earnings.

CapEx Intensity

38.9%

Moderate capital requirements typical of many stable businesses. Healthy balance between reinvestment and cash generation.

FCF Growth Trend

+24.4%

Strong FCF growth demonstrates improving cash generation and business momentum. Positive signal for sustainability.

Working Capital Impact

-$72.90M

Minimal working capital impact on FCF. Changes in operating assets and liabilities well-managed.

Cash Flow Quality Insight

Exceptional cash generation: High-quality earnings converting to growing free cash flow. The company demonstrates strong pricing power, efficient operations, and disciplined capital allocation.

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Group 1 Automotive, Inc. Funding & Solvency Profile

GPI ยท NYSE
Cash & Cash Equivalents41.70M
Net Receivables679.00M
Inventory2.73B
Other Current Assets58.80M
Total Current Assets4 B
Property, Plant & Equipment0.00
Goodwill & Intangible Assets3.04B
Long-Term Investments39.30M
Other Non-Current Assets3.47B
Total Non-Current Assets4 B
Total Assets
10.06B

Financial Health Analysis

Current Ratio

0.95x

Warning: Liquidity concerns. Current assets may not be sufficient to cover short-term obligations.

Debt-to-Equity Ratio

-0.01x

Conservative capital structure. The company relies primarily on equity financing, indicating low financial risk.

Working Capital

-193800000

Negative working capital indicates short-term liabilities exceed short-term assetsโ€”potential liquidity stress.

Asset Composition

35% Current

Capital-intensive business with significant long-term investments in property, equipment, or intangibles.

Financial Health Insight

Conservative with tight liquidity: Low debt is positive, but current ratio warrants attention. Consider whether the company is efficiently deploying its equity capital.

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Group 1 Automotive, Inc. Street Expectations Map

GPI ยท NYSE

Wall Street analysts project that GPI stock may rise significantly over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 442.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 338.00 to a high of 500.00.

Lowest Target
338.00
10.55%
Consensus Target
442.00
44.56%
Highest Target
500.00
63.53%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 442.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 338.00 to a high of 500.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

+44.6%

Substantial upside potential. Analysts see significant value gap, suggesting the stock may be materially undervalued at current levels.

Analyst Agreement

36.7% spread

Good consensus alignment. Moderate target spread reflects general agreement on value drivers with some variance in assumptions.

Analyst Conviction

High

Positive outlook with reasonable agreement. Analysts generally optimistic about prospects with manageable uncertainty.

Market Sentiment Insight

Monitor and evaluate: Current analyst consensus suggests limited conviction or near-term catalysts. Stay informed on company developments and reassess positioning as new information emerges.

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Group 1 Automotive, Inc. Insider Positioning

GPI ยท NYSE

During the last 12 months, insiders have sold $3.83M worth of GPI shares, with no buying activity reported.

3 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

3-6 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

6-9 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

9-12 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

8.3K

3.83M

Net Activity

-3.8M

-$3.83M

Top Buyers

No buying activity

Top Sellers

1
PL

Pereira Lincoln

Director

7.0K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$3.29M

2
MDJ

Mchenry Daniel James

Officer: Svp & Cfo

735 sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$326K

3
MS

Mizell Steven

Director

525 sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$219K

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bearish

Strong bearish signal with $3.83M net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.

Buy/Sell Ratio

0.00:1

Very poor ratio. Heavy selling with minimal buying suggests insiders may be concerned about valuation or outlook.

Insider Participation

High Selling

3 insider sellers vs. 0 buyers. Widespread selling across multiple insiders may signal concerns.

0.17%
Dividend Yield
29%
3Y-18.0%
5Y-17.0%
10Y-64.0%
ย 

gpi Dividend History

GPI
10Y CAGR +10%
Latest $0.55
Annual $2.6
5 year growth trend
Last Period: +0%