Genesis Energy, L.P.

Genesis Energy, L.P.

GELยทNYSE

$15.19

+0.13%
EnergyOil & Gas Midstream

Genesis Energy, L.P. operates in the midstream segment of the crude oil and natural gas industry. The company's Offshore Pipeline Transportation segment engages in offshore crude oil and natural gas pipeline transportation and handling operations; and in the deepwater pipeline servicing in the southern Keathley Canyon area of the Gulf of Mexico. This segment owns interests in approximately 1,422 miles of crude oil pipelines located offshore in the Gulf of Mexico. Its Sodium Minerals and Sulfur Services segment offers sulfur-extraction services to refining operations; and operates storage and transportation assets. This segment provides services to ten refining operations; and sells sodium hydrosulfide and caustic soda to industrial and commercial companies involved in the mining of base metals. Its Onshore Facilities and Transportation segment offers onshore facilities and transportation services to Gulf Coast crude oil refineries and producers by purchasing, transporting, storing, blending, and marketing crude oil and refined products. It operates trucks, trailers, railcars, and terminals and tankage with 4.2 million barrels of storage capacity in various locations along the Gulf Coast. This segment also transports crude oil. It owns four onshore crude oil pipeline systems with approximately 450 miles of pipe in Alabama, Florida, Louisiana, Mississippi, and Texas; and four operational crude oil rail unloading facilities in Baton Rouge, Raceland, and Louisiana, as well as Walnut Hill, Florida and Natchez, Mississippi. Its Marine Transportation segment offers waterborne transportation of petroleum and crude oil in North America. This segment owns a fleet of 91 barges with a combined transportation capacity of 3.2 million barrels; and 42 push/tow boats. In addition, the company produces natural soda ash. Genesis Energy, LLC serves as a general partner of the company. The company was incorporated in 1996 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$1.86B
EPS-0.7300
P/E Ratio-20.81
Earnings Date07/30/2026

Intrinsic Alpha Methodology

Thesis Lenses

Signal ยท Driver ยท Risk

Signal

Medium confidence

Valuation multiple is compressed (P/E -20.8).

Valuation inputs: P/E -20.8, earnings yield N/A, momentum +0.1%.

If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.

Driver

High confidence

Return profile is soft (ROE -3.5%, ROIC +6.0%).

Profitability stack: net margin -0.5%, ROE -3.5%, ROIC +6.0%.

Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.

Risk

High confidence

Downside profile is elevated and scenario stress-testing is essential.

Risk factors: liabilities/assets +85.4%, momentum +0.1%, net margin -0.5%.

Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.

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Genesis Energy, L.P. Market vs Earnings Trajectory

GEL ยท NYSE

Loading price and EPS data...

Genesis Energy, L.P.

Genesis Energy, L.P. Fair Value Envelope

GEL ยท NYSE

Our analysis suggests that GEL has a fair value of HIDDEN per share in the Base Case projection. With shares currently trading at $15.19, this represents a potential HIDDEN relative to our calculated worth for Genesis Energy, L.P..

Intrinsic Value
Current Price: $15.19
3Y-170.0%
5Y-78.0%
10Y-173.0%
3Y-42.0%
5Y-11.0%
10Y-5.0%
3Y-111.0%
5Y-98.0%
10Y-107.0%
3Y-18.0%
5Y-7.0%
10Y-8.0%
3Y-198.0%
5Y-42.0%
10Y-154.0%
3Y-24.0%
5Y-18.0%
10Y-15.0%
Genesis Energy, L.P.

Genesis Energy, L.P. Profit Bridge

GEL ยท NYSE
Revenue1.63B
Cost of Goods Sold (1.29B)
Gross Profit344.53M
Operating Expenses (86.34M)
Operating Income258.19M
Interest Expense (264.73M)
Other Income/Expense-226.88M
Pretax Income31.31M
Income Tax (806.00K)
Net Income-8.21M
Net Income
-8.21M

Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin

21.1%

Moderate margins typical of competitive industries. Monitor for pricing pressure or rising costs.

Operating Margin

15.8%

Healthy operating margins demonstrate effective cost control and strong business fundamentals.

Net Profit Margin

-0.5%

Net losses indicate the company is burning cash. Sustainability depends on path to profitability.

Effective Tax Rate

2.6%

Below-average tax rate suggests effective tax planning, favorable jurisdictions, or tax credits.

Profitability Insight

Interest or tax burden: Strong operational performance but thin net margins indicate high interest expenses or unfavorable tax position eating into profits.

21.13%
Gross Profit Margin
99%
3Y-8.0%
5Y-6.0%
10Y+44.0%
15.84%
Operating Profit Margin
120%
3Y+40.0%
5Y-217.0%
10Y+31.0%
-0.50%
Net Profit Margin
-77%
3Y-119.0%
5Y-98.0%
10Y-108.0%
-3.45%
Return on Equity
-41%
3Y-167.0%
5Y-87.0%
10Y-101.0%
-0.17%
Return on Assets
-81%
3Y-114.0%
5Y-98.0%
10Y-109.0%
6.05%
Return on Invested Capital
76%
3Y+12.0%
5Y-237.0%
10Y+64.0%
GEL

Genesis Energy, L.P. Cash Conversion Engine

GEL ยท NYSE
Net Income-16.66M
Depreciation & Amortization243.38M
Stock-Based Compensation0.00
Change in Working Capital-89.19M
Others137.11M
Capital Expenditures-186.89M
Free Cash Flow88.33M

Cash Flow Quality Analysis

FCF Conversion Rate

-530.3%

Negative free cash flow despite positive earnings raises concerns about cash generation ability or heavy capital requirements.

CapEx Intensity

67.9%

Very high capital intensity consumes most operating cash flow. Limited flexibility for dividends or debt reduction.

FCF Growth Trend

+145.2%

Strong FCF growth demonstrates improving cash generation and business momentum. Positive signal for sustainability.

Working Capital Impact

-$89.19M

Significant working capital drain. Growth may be consuming cash through inventory buildup or receivables extensionโ€”monitor closely.

Cash Flow Quality Insight

Capital-intensive growth: Heavy reinvestment limits current cash available but may drive future returns. Assess whether CapEx supports compelling growth opportunities with adequate ROI.

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Genesis Energy, L.P. Funding & Solvency Profile

GEL ยท NYSE
Cash & Cash Equivalents4.21M
Net Receivables628.60M
Inventory39.22M
Other Current Assets30.78M
Total Current Assets703 M
Property, Plant & Equipment3.49B
Goodwill & Intangible Assets375.28M
Long-Term Investments0.00
Other Non-Current Assets270.45M
Total Non-Current Assets4 B
Total Assets
4.84B

Financial Health Analysis

Current Ratio

0.98x

Warning: Liquidity concerns. Current assets may not be sufficient to cover short-term obligations.

Debt-to-Equity Ratio

8.03x

High financial leverage. Heavy reliance on debt may indicate increased financial risk and potential solvency concerns.

Working Capital

-17884000

Negative working capital indicates short-term liabilities exceed short-term assetsโ€”potential liquidity stress.

Asset Composition

15% Current

Capital-intensive business with significant long-term investments in property, equipment, or intangibles.

Financial Health Insight

Financial stress indicators: Both liquidity and leverage metrics raise concerns. The company may face challenges meeting obligations and should focus on strengthening its balance sheet.

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Genesis Energy, L.P. Street Expectations Map

GEL ยท NYSE

Wall Street analysts project that GEL stock may experience modest gains over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 16.50, with estimates ranging from a low of 13.00 to a high of 20.00.

Lowest Target
13.00
-14.42%
Consensus Target
16.50
8.62%
Highest Target
20.00
31.67%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 16.50, with estimates ranging from a low of 13.00 to a high of 20.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

+8.6%

Moderate upside. Analysts expect positive returns but with limited margin of safety. Consider entry timing.

Analyst Agreement

42.4% spread

Mixed analyst views. Wide target range suggests differing opinions on key value drivers, growth prospects, or risk factors.

Risk-Reward Profile

2.20x

Favorable risk-reward. Potential upside significantly exceeds downside risk, offering asymmetric return profile attractive for risk-tolerant investors.

Analyst Conviction

Moderate

Neutral sentiment. Fair value pricing with moderate agreement suggests wait-and-see approach or catalyst-driven opportunity.

Market Sentiment Insight

Monitor and evaluate: Current analyst consensus suggests limited conviction or near-term catalysts. Stay informed on company developments and reassess positioning as new information emerges.

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Genesis Energy, L.P. Insider Positioning

GEL ยท NYSE

During the last 12 months, insiders have purchased $202K worth of GEL shares, with no selling activity reported.

3 Months

Bought

12.3K

201.63K

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+202K

+$202K

3-6 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

6-9 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

9-12 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

Top Buyers

1
GGG

Gaspard Garland G

Officer: Senior Vice President

12.3K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$202K

Top Sellers

No selling activity

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bullish

Strong bullish signal with $202K net buying. Insiders are aggressively accumulating shares, suggesting significant confidence in future prospects.

Buy/Sell Ratio

โˆž:1

Perfect buy/sell ratio. Only buying activity with zero sellingโ€”the most bullish possible insider signal.

Recent Trend (3 Months)

$202K

Very strong recent buying momentum. Recent insider purchases significantly outpace sales, suggesting near-term optimism.

Insider Participation

High Buying

1 insider buyers vs. 0 sellers. Broad-based buying across management team suggests widespread confidence.

Insider Activity Insight

Unanimous insider buying: Zero selling combined with active buying is rare and typically very bullish. Insiders appear to see significant upside with limited downside risk.

1.01%
Dividend Yield
-45%
3Y-67.0%
5Y-69.0%
10Y-42.0%
ย 

gel Dividend History

GEL
10Y CAGR 12%
Latest $0.18
Annual $0.855
Stable dividend payments
Last Period: +0%