Greif, Inc.
$63.11
+1.1%Greif, Inc. engages in the production and sale of industrial packaging products and services worldwide. It operates in three segments: Global Industrial Packaging; Paper Packaging & Services; and Land Management. The Global Industrial Packaging segment produces and sells industrial packaging products, including steel, fiber, and plastic drums; rigid and flexible intermediate bulk containers; closure systems for industrial packaging products; transit protection products; water bottles, and remanufactured and reconditioned industrial containers; and various services, such as container life cycle management, filling, logistics, warehousing, and other packaging services to chemicals, paints and pigments, food and beverage, petroleum, industrial coatings, agriculture, pharmaceuticals, mineral product, and other industries. This segment also offers flexible intermediate bulk containers and related services to the agriculture, construction, and food industries. The Paper Packaging & Services segment produces and sells containerboards, corrugated sheets and containers, and other corrugated and specialty products to customers in the packaging, automotive, food, and building products markets; and produces and sells coated and uncoated recycled paperboard, and recycled fiber. This segment's corrugated container products are used to ship various products, such as home appliances, small machinery, grocery products, automotive components, books, and furniture, as well as various other applications. The Land Management segment engages in harvesting and regeneration of timber properties; and sale of timberland and special use properties. As of October 31, 2021, this segment owned approximately 175,000 acres of timber properties in the southeastern United States. The company was formerly known as Greif Bros. Corporation and changed its name to Greif, Inc. in 2001. Greif, Inc. was founded in 1877 and is headquartered in Delaware, Ohio.
At a Glance
Live SnapshotIntrinsic Alpha Methodology
Thesis Lenses
Signal
High confidenceValuation multiple is compressed (P/E 4.2).
Valuation inputs: P/E 4.2, earnings yield +23.9%, momentum +1.1%.
If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.
Driver
High confidenceReturn profile is strong (ROE +28.8%, ROIC +2.2%).
Profitability stack: net margin +19.6%, ROE +28.8%, ROIC +2.2%.
Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.
Risk
High confidenceDownside profile looks controlled across current risk inputs.
Risk factors: liabilities/assets +47.2%, momentum +1.1%, net margin +19.6%.
Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.
Greif, Inc. Market vs Earnings Trajectory
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Greif, Inc. Fair Value Envelope
Greif, Inc. Profit Bridge
Profitability Analysis
Gross Margin
Moderate margins typical of competitive industries. Monitor for pricing pressure or rising costs.
Operating Margin
Acceptable margins but limited operational leverage. Operating expense control is important.
Net Profit Margin
Strong net margins indicate efficient operations and favorable tax/interest management.
Effective Tax Rate
Higher tax burden may reflect limited tax optimization or operations in high-tax jurisdictions.
Profitability Insight
Efficient profit conversion: Minimal margin compression from gross to net indicates lean operations and favorable tax/interest environment.
Greif, Inc. Cash Conversion Engine
Cash Flow Quality Analysis
FCF Conversion Rate
Negative free cash flow despite positive earnings raises concerns about cash generation ability or heavy capital requirements.
CapEx Intensity
Very high capital intensity consumes most operating cash flow. Limited flexibility for dividends or debt reduction.
FCF Growth Trend
Significant FCF decline raises concerns. Urgent review needed of operational performance and capital allocation.
Working Capital Impact
Minimal working capital impact on FCF. Changes in operating assets and liabilities well-managed.
Cash Flow Quality Insight
Cash flow concerns: Despite profitability, the company is burning cash. Review working capital management, CapEx levels, and sustainability of current operations.
Greif, Inc. Funding & Solvency Profile
Financial Health Analysis
Current Ratio
Acceptable liquidity, but monitor closely. Current assets just barely cover current liabilities.
Debt-to-Equity Ratio
Balanced capital structure with moderate leverage. Equity exceeds debt, suggesting healthy financial stability.
Working Capital
Positive working capital, but relatively tight. The company should monitor cash flow carefully.
Asset Composition
Capital-intensive business with significant long-term investments in property, equipment, or intangibles.
Greif, Inc. Street Expectations Map
Wall Street analysts project that GEF stock may rise significantly over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 75.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 72.00 to a high of 78.00.
The consensus 1-year price target stands at 75.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 72.00 to a high of 78.00.
Analyst Consensus Analysis
Upside Potential
Strong upside potential. Consensus indicates attractive return opportunity with favorable risk-reward profile.
Analyst Agreement
High analyst agreement. Narrow target range indicates strong consensus on valuation, suggesting clear investment thesis and predictable outlook.
Analyst Conviction
Strong buy conviction: High upside with tight consensus suggests compelling investment opportunity backed by analyst confidence.
Market Sentiment Insight
Monitor and evaluate: Current analyst consensus suggests limited conviction or near-term catalysts. Stay informed on company developments and reassess positioning as new information emerges.
Greif, Inc. Insider Positioning
During the last 12 months, insiders have purchased $915K and sold $11.79M worth of GEF shares, resulting in $10.87M of net selling activity.
3 Months
0
0.00
6.0K
411.14K
-411K
-$411K
3-6 Months
2.4K
212.26K
55.7K
3.99M
-3.8M
-$3.78M
6-9 Months
10.6K
694.58K
49.4K
2.95M
-2.3M
-$2.26M
9-12 Months
109
7.79K
64.2K
4.43M
-4.4M
-$4.42M
Top Buyers
Hilsheimer Lawrence A.
Officer: Evp And Cfo
$491K
Sathyanarayanan Bala
Officer: Evp, Chief Human Resources Off
$220K
Martz Gary R
Officer: Evp & General Counsel
$191K
Hoffman Leonard Dennis Jr
Officer: Senior Vp, General Counsel
$13K
Top Sellers
Rosgaard Ole G
Director, Officer: President And Ceo
$2.68M
Sathyanarayanan Bala
Officer: Evp, Chief Human Resources Off
$2.53M
Hilsheimer Lawrence A.
Officer: Evp And Cfo
$2.36M
Martz Gary R
Officer: Evp & General Counsel
$2.30M
Bergwall Timothy
Officer: Svp, Chief Commercial Officer
$1.46M
Insider Activity Analysis
Net Insider Sentiment
Strong bearish signal with $10.87M net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.
Buy/Sell Ratio
Very poor ratio. Heavy selling with minimal buying suggests insiders may be concerned about valuation or outlook.
Recent Trend (3 Months)
Heavy recent selling activity. Recent insider sales notably exceed purchases—may warrant investigation into company developments.
Insider Participation
5 insider sellers vs. 4 buyers. More insiders selling than buying suggests cautious or negative sentiment.
Insider Activity Insight
Multiple red flags: Heavy selling, numerous sellers, and continued recent selling create a concerning pattern. Investigate fundamental drivers and consider whether company guidance or industry conditions have deteriorated.
gef Dividend History
Learning Layer
Related Guides
Build conviction on GEF by pairing this stock hub with focused valuation guides.
Research Paths
Snapshot
Start with context, operating signals, and key market metrics.
Value Model
Stress test fair value across bear, base, and bull assumptions.
Statements
Validate revenue quality, margins, and balance sheet durability.
Earnings Call
Read management commentary and compare it with reported outcomes.
Dividends
Check payout sustainability and long-term distribution behavior.
Analyst Expectations
Review consensus spread and where estimate risk is concentrated.