$5.34
-6.2%Empire State Realty Trust, Inc. (NYSE: ESRT), a leading real estate investment trust (REIT), owns, manages, operates, acquires and repositions office and retail properties in Manhattan and the greater New York metropolitan area, including the Empire State Building, the World's Most Famous Building. Headquartered in New York, New York, the Company's office and retail portfolio covers 10.1 million rentable square feet, as of September 30, 2020, consisting of 9.4 million rentable square feet in 14 office properties, including nine in Manhattan, three in Fairfield County, Connecticut, and two in Westchester County, New York; and approximately 700,000 rentable square feet in the retail portfolio. Long the leader in energy efficiency retrofits and Indoor Environmental Quality, Empire State Realty Trust is the first commercial real estate portfolio in the U.S. to achieve the WELL Health-Safety Rating.
Warren Buffett's Owner Earnings DCF analysis for intrinsic value calculation
Base year metrics used for projections
Forecast period and terminal assumptions
Calculation flow from present value to intrinsic value per share
Operating Cash Flow - Maintenance CapEx = Owner Earnings
| Metric | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | Year 6 | Year 7 | Year 8 | Year 9 | Year 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $124.5M | $62.3M | $31.1M | $15.6M | $7.8M | $3.9M | $1.9M | $972.9K | $486.4K | $243.2K |
| Maintenance CapEx | -$19.8M | -$9.9M | -$5.0M | -$2.5M | -$1.2M | -$620.3K | -$310.2K | -$155.1K | -$77.5K | -$38.8K |
| Owner Earnings | $104.7M | $52.3M | $26.2M | $13.1M | $6.5M | $3.3M | $1.6M | $817.8K | $408.9K | $204.4K |
| Discount Factor | 0.926 | 0.857 | 0.794 | 0.735 | 0.681 | 0.630 | 0.583 | 0.540 | 0.500 | 0.463 |
| Present Value | $96.9M | $44.9M | $20.8M | $9.6M | $4.5M | $2.1M | $954.3K | $441.8K | $204.5K | $94.7K |
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Value Model
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Statements
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Earnings Call
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Analyst Expectations
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