Emergent BioSolutions Inc.

Emergent BioSolutions Inc.

EBSยทNYSE

$7.93

-3.4%
HealthcareBiotechnology

Emergent BioSolutions Inc., a life sciences company, focuses on the provision of preparedness and response solutions that address accidental, deliberate, and naturally occurring public health threats (PHTs) in the United States. The company's products address PHTs, which include chemical, biological, radiological, nuclear, and explosives; emerging infectious diseases; travel health; and emerging health crises and acute/emergency care. It offers BioThrax, an anthrax vaccine; ACAM2000, a smallpox vaccine; Botulism Antitoxin Heptavalent to treat botulinum disease; vaccinia immune globulin intravenous that addresses complications from smallpox vaccine; raxibacumab for the treatment and prophylaxis of inhalational anthrax; Anthrasil to for inhalational anthrax; reactive skin decontamination lotion kits; and Trobigard, a combination drug-device auto injector product candidate; and Trobigard, a combination drug-device auto injector product candidate. The company also provides NARCAN, a nasal spray for the emergency treatment of known or suspected opioid overdose; Vivotif, an oral vaccine for typhoid fever; and Vaxchora, a single-dose oral vaccine to treat cholera. In addition, it is developing AP003, a Naloxone multidose nasal spray; AP007, a sustained release Nalmefene injection for treatment of opioid use disorder; AV7909, an anthrax vaccine; CGRD-001, a pralidoxime chloride/atropine auto-injector; CHIKV VLP, a chikungunya virus VLP vaccine; COVID-HIG for the treatment of SARS-CoV2; EGRD-001, a diazepam auto-injector; SIAN, an antidote for the initial treatment of acute poisoning of cyanide; and UniFlu, a universal influenza vaccine. Further, the company provides contract development and manufacturing services comprising drug substance and product manufacturing, and packaging, as well as technology transfer, process, and analytical development services. The company was incorporated in 1998 and is headquartered in Gaithersburg, Maryland.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$409.16M
EPS0.9800
P/E Ratio8.09
Earnings Date08/05/2026

Intrinsic Alpha Methodology

Thesis Lenses

Signal ยท Driver ยท Risk

Signal

High confidence

Valuation multiple is compressed (P/E 8.1).

Valuation inputs: P/E 8.1, earnings yield +12.4%, momentum -3.4%.

If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.

Driver

High confidence

Return profile is soft (ROE +10.1%, ROIC +5.9%).

Profitability stack: net margin +7.1%, ROE +10.1%, ROIC +5.9%.

Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.

Risk

High confidence

Risk profile is balanced but has notable pressure points to monitor.

Risk factors: liabilities/assets +60.4%, momentum -3.4%, net margin +7.1%.

Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.

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Emergent BioSolutions Inc. Market vs Earnings Trajectory

EBS ยท NYSE

Loading price and EPS data...

Emergent BioSolutions Inc.

Emergent BioSolutions Inc. Fair Value Envelope

EBS ยท NYSE

Our analysis suggests that EBS has a fair value of HIDDEN per share in the Base Case projection. With shares currently trading at $7.93, this represents a potential HIDDEN relative to our calculated worth for Emergent BioSolutions Inc..

Intrinsic Value
Current Price: $7.93
3Y-123.0%
5Y-83.0%
10Y-24.0%
3Y-34.0%
5Y-53.0%
10Y+52.0%
3Y-125.0%
5Y-83.0%
10Y+2.0%
3Y-600.0%
5Y-68.0%
10Y+219.0%
3Y-205.0%
5Y-60.0%
10Y-789.0%
3Y-58.0%
5Y-54.0%
10Y+36.0%
Emergent BioSolutions Inc.

Emergent BioSolutions Inc. Profit Bridge

EBS ยท NYSE
Revenue742.90M
Cost of Goods Sold (392.30M)
Gross Profit350.60M
Operating Expenses (240.40M)
Operating Income110.20M
Interest Expense (59.30M)
Other Income/Expense-27.40M
Pretax Income82.80M
Income Tax (30.20M)
Net Income52.60M
Net Income
52.60M

Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin

47.2%

Strong gross margins indicate healthy pricing and efficient production or service delivery.

Operating Margin

14.8%

Acceptable margins but limited operational leverage. Operating expense control is important.

Net Profit Margin

7.1%

Moderate profitability with room for improvement. Monitor interest expenses and tax efficiency.

Effective Tax Rate

36.5%

Higher tax burden may reflect limited tax optimization or operations in high-tax jurisdictions.

Profitability Insight

High margin compression: Large gap between gross and net margins suggests operational inefficiencies or heavy debt burden. Focus on expense management and deleveraging.

47.19%
Gross Profit Margin
31%
3Y+11.0%
5Y-14.0%
10Y-6.0%
14.83%
Operating Profit Margin
-242%
3Y-198.0%
5Y-47.0%
10Y-31.0%
7.08%
Net Profit Margin
-139%
3Y-137.0%
5Y-63.0%
10Y-33.0%
10.07%
Return on Equity
-125%
3Y-166.0%
5Y-52.0%
10Y+16.0%
3.99%
Return on Assets
-129%
3Y-160.0%
5Y-62.0%
10Y-25.0%
5.90%
Return on Invested Capital
-167%
3Y-204.0%
5Y-54.0%
10Y-22.0%
EBS

Emergent BioSolutions Inc. Cash Conversion Engine

EBS ยท NYSE
Net Income52.60M
Depreciation & Amortization95.80M
Stock-Based Compensation16.20M
Change in Working Capital-22.40M
Others32.40M
Capital Expenditures-13.80M
Free Cash Flow156.80M

Cash Flow Quality Analysis

FCF Conversion Rate

298.1%

Excellent cash generation. The company converts earnings to cash at or above 100%, indicating high-quality earnings.

CapEx Intensity

8.1%

Asset-light business model. Low capital requirements leave more cash available for shareholders and growth investments.

FCF Growth Trend

+338.0%

Strong FCF growth demonstrates improving cash generation and business momentum. Positive signal for sustainability.

Working Capital Impact

-$22.40M

Minimal working capital impact on FCF. Changes in operating assets and liabilities well-managed.

Cash Flow Quality Insight

Exceptional cash generation: High-quality earnings converting to growing free cash flow. The company demonstrates strong pricing power, efficient operations, and disciplined capital allocation.

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Emergent BioSolutions Inc. Funding & Solvency Profile

EBS ยท NYSE
Cash & Cash Equivalents160.30M
Net Receivables121.60M
Inventory327.60M
Other Current Assets28.10M
Total Current Assets638 M
Property, Plant & Equipment199.40M
Goodwill & Intangible Assets470.40M
Long-Term Investments0.00
Other Non-Current Assets13.00M
Total Non-Current Assets212 M
Total Assets
1.32B

Financial Health Analysis

Current Ratio

4.29x

Excellent liquidity position. The company can easily cover its short-term obligations with substantial cushion.

Debt-to-Equity Ratio

1.52x

Elevated leverage. Debt exceeds equity, which amplifies both gains and risks. Monitor debt servicing ability.

Working Capital

489 M

Strong working capital position provides significant operational flexibility and financial cushion.

Asset Composition

48% Current

Balanced asset mix between current and non-current assets, typical of many stable businesses.

Financial Health Insight

Mixed signals: Strong short-term liquidity provides comfort, but high overall leverage requires careful monitoring of debt servicing capabilities and refinancing risk.

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Emergent BioSolutions Inc. Street Expectations Map

EBS ยท NYSE

Wall Street analysts project that EBS stock may rise significantly over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 12.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 12.00 to a high of 12.00.

Lowest Target
12.00
51.32%
Consensus Target
12.00
51.32%
Highest Target
12.00
51.32%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 12.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 12.00 to a high of 12.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

+51.3%

Substantial upside potential. Analysts see significant value gap, suggesting the stock may be materially undervalued at current levels.

Analyst Agreement

0.0% spread

High analyst agreement. Narrow target range indicates strong consensus on valuation, suggesting clear investment thesis and predictable outlook.

Analyst Conviction

Very High

Strong buy conviction: High upside with tight consensus suggests compelling investment opportunity backed by analyst confidence.

Market Sentiment Insight

Rare opportunity: Exceptional upside potential with strong analyst consensus creates a compelling setup. The combination of significant price target premium and tight agreement suggests high-conviction undervaluation that may attract institutional capital.

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Emergent BioSolutions Inc. Insider Positioning

EBS ยท NYSE

During the last 12 months, insiders have sold $1.05M worth of EBS shares, with no buying activity reported.

3 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

16.8K

140.61K

Net Activity

-141K

-$141K

3-6 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

6-9 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

69.1K

713.16K

Net Activity

-713K

-$713K

9-12 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

24.8K

199.27K

Net Activity

-199K

-$199K

Top Buyers

No buying activity

Top Sellers

1
GC

Glessner Coleen

Officer: Evp, Quality & Ethics, And Cpl

31.9K sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$314K

2
DDW

Degolyer Donald W

Director

25.6K sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$255K

3
DST

Dayal Sujata Tyagi

Director

21.3K sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$192K

4
RR

Richard Ronald

Director

7.1K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$86K

5
LRS

Lindahl Richard S

Officer: Evp, Chief Financial Officer

7.7K sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$66K

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bearish

Strong bearish signal with $1.05M net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.

Buy/Sell Ratio

0.00:1

Very poor ratio. Heavy selling with minimal buying suggests insiders may be concerned about valuation or outlook.

Recent Trend (3 Months)

$141K

Heavy recent selling activity. Recent insider sales notably exceed purchasesโ€”may warrant investigation into company developments.

Insider Participation

High Selling

5 insider sellers vs. 0 buyers. Widespread selling across multiple insiders may signal concerns.

Insider Activity Insight

Multiple red flags: Heavy selling, numerous sellers, and continued recent selling create a concerning pattern. Investigate fundamental drivers and consider whether company guidance or industry conditions have deteriorated.

No Dividend Yield Data

EBS has not reported any dividend yield values in the available annual periods.

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ebs Dividend History

EBS
10Y CAGR +0%
Latest $0
Annual $0
Stable dividend payments
Last Period: +0%