$46.18
-0.086%Devon Energy Corporation, an independent energy company, primarily engages in the exploration, development, and production of oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids in the United States. It operates approximately 5,134 gross wells. Devon Energy Corporation was incorporated in 1971 and is headquartered in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma.
Warren Buffett's Owner Earnings DCF analysis for intrinsic value calculation
Base year metrics used for projections
Forecast period and terminal assumptions
Calculation flow from present value to intrinsic value per share
Operating Cash Flow - Maintenance CapEx = Owner Earnings
| Metric | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | Year 6 | Year 7 | Year 8 | Year 9 | Year 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $13.4B | $26.8B | $53.7B | $107.4B | $214.8B | $429.5B | $859.0B | $1,718.0B | $3,436.0B | $6,872.1B |
| Maintenance CapEx | -$1.4B | -$2.9B | -$5.7B | -$11.5B | -$23.0B | -$46.0B | -$92.0B | -$183.9B | -$367.8B | -$735.6B |
| Owner Earnings | $12.0B | $24.0B | $47.9B | $95.9B | $191.8B | $383.5B | $767.1B | $1,534.1B | $3,068.2B | $6,136.4B |
| Discount Factor | 0.926 | 0.857 | 0.794 | 0.735 | 0.681 | 0.630 | 0.583 | 0.540 | 0.500 | 0.463 |
| Present Value | $11.1B | $20.6B | $38.1B | $70.5B | $130.5B | $241.7B | $447.6B | $828.8B | $1,534.9B | $2,842.4B |
Snapshot
Start with context, operating signals, and key market metrics.
Value Model
Stress test fair value across bear, base, and bull assumptions.
Statements
Validate revenue quality, margins, and balance sheet durability.
Earnings Call
Read management commentary and compare it with reported outcomes.
Dividends
Check payout sustainability and long-term distribution behavior.
Analyst Expectations
Review consensus spread and where estimate risk is concentrated.