Douglas Elliman Inc.

Douglas Elliman Inc.

DOUGยทNYSE

$1.70

-0.29%
Real EstateReal Estate - Services

Douglas Elliman Inc. engages in the real estate services and property technology investment business in the United States. It operates in two segments, Real Estate Brokerage, and Corporate and Other. The company conducts residential real estate brokerage operations. It has approximately 100 offices with approximately 6,500 real estate agents in the New York metropolitan areas, as well as in Florida, California, Connecticut, Massachusetts, Colorado, New Jersey, and Texas. Douglas Elliman Inc. was founded in 1911 and is headquartered in Miami, Florida. Douglas Elliman Inc.(NYSE:DOUG) operates independently of Vector Group Ltd. as of December 29, 2021.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$154.54M
EPS0.1700
P/E Ratio10.00
Earnings Date07/30/2026

Intrinsic Alpha Methodology

Thesis Lenses

Signal ยท Driver ยท Risk

Signal

High confidence

Valuation multiple is compressed (P/E 10.0).

Valuation inputs: P/E 10.0, earnings yield +10.0%, momentum -0.3%.

If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.

Driver

High confidence

Return profile is soft (ROE +8.3%, ROIC -13.3%).

Profitability stack: net margin +1.5%, ROE +8.3%, ROIC -13.3%.

Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.

Risk

High confidence

Risk profile is balanced but has notable pressure points to monitor.

Risk factors: liabilities/assets +58.8%, momentum -0.3%, net margin +1.5%.

Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.

doug

Douglas Elliman Inc. Market vs Earnings Trajectory

DOUG ยท NYSE

Loading price and EPS data...

Douglas Elliman Inc.

Douglas Elliman Inc. Fair Value Envelope

DOUG ยท NYSE

Our analysis suggests that DOUG has a fair value of HIDDEN per share in the Base Case projection. With shares currently trading at $1.7, this represents a potential HIDDEN relative to our calculated worth for Douglas Elliman Inc..

Intrinsic Value
Current Price: $1.7
3Y-323.0%
5Y-131.0%
10Y+278.0%
3Y-10.0%
5Y+33.0%
10Y+37.0%
3Y-371.0%
5Y-133.0%
10Y+315.0%
3Y-6.0%
5Y-144.0%
10Y-205.0%
3Y-26.0%
5Y-167.0%
10Y-7076.0%
3Y-19.0%
5Y-2.0%
10Y-9.0%
Douglas Elliman Inc.

Douglas Elliman Inc. Profit Bridge

DOUG ยท NYSE
Revenue1.03B
Cost of Goods Sold (859.45M)
Gross Profit173.61M
Operating Expenses (234.35M)
Operating Income-60.74M
Interest Expense (5.07M)
Other Income/Expense78.61M
Pretax Income17.87M
Income Tax (3.56M)
Net Income15.22M
Net Income
15.22M

Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin

16.8%

Thin margins leave little room for error. Cost management and pricing strategy are critical.

Operating Margin

-5.9%

Operating losses indicate the core business is unprofitable. Requires restructuring or revenue growth.

Net Profit Margin

1.5%

Minimal profitability after all expenses. Limited financial flexibility for reinvestment or shareholder returns.

Effective Tax Rate

19.9%

Moderate tax rate typical for most corporations. Represents standard tax burden on profits.

16.81%
Gross Profit Margin
-34%
3Y-39.0%
5Y-83.0%
10Y-50.0%
-5.88%
Operating Profit Margin
-15%
3Y+1393.0%
5Y-8.0%
10Y-1218.0%
1.47%
Net Profit Margin
-119%
3Y-402.0%
5Y-125.0%
10Y+203.0%
8.27%
Return on Equity
-118%
3Y-496.0%
5Y-129.0%
10Y-
3.42%
Return on Assets
-122%
3Y-435.0%
5Y-134.0%
10Y-
-13.28%
Return on Invested Capital
-18%
3Y-123.0%
5Y+5.0%
10Y-
DOUG

Douglas Elliman Inc. Cash Conversion Engine

DOUG ยท NYSE
Net Income14.31M
Depreciation & Amortization8.38M
Stock-Based Compensation8.58M
Change in Working Capital-19.34M
Others-25.80M
Capital Expenditures-3.35M
Free Cash Flow-17.23M

Cash Flow Quality Analysis

FCF Conversion Rate

-120.4%

Negative free cash flow despite positive earnings raises concerns about cash generation ability or heavy capital requirements.

CapEx Intensity

-24.2%

Asset-light business model. Low capital requirements leave more cash available for shareholders and growth investments.

FCF Growth Trend

+45.3%

Strong FCF growth demonstrates improving cash generation and business momentum. Positive signal for sustainability.

Working Capital Impact

-$19.34M

Significant working capital drain. Growth may be consuming cash through inventory buildup or receivables extensionโ€”monitor closely.

Cash Flow Quality Insight

Cash flow concerns: Despite profitability, the company is burning cash. Review working capital management, CapEx levels, and sustainability of current operations.

doug

Douglas Elliman Inc. Funding & Solvency Profile

DOUG ยท NYSE
Cash & Cash Equivalents120.23M
Net Receivables66.64M
Inventory0.00
Other Current Assets-25.57M
Total Current Assets161 M
Property, Plant & Equipment113.46M
Goodwill & Intangible Assets103.88M
Long-Term Investments10.55M
Other Non-Current Assets55.22M
Total Non-Current Assets179 M
Total Assets
444.41M

Financial Health Analysis

Current Ratio

1.63x

Strong liquidity. The company has adequate resources to meet short-term liabilities.

Debt-to-Equity Ratio

1.42x

Elevated leverage. Debt exceeds equity, which amplifies both gains and risks. Monitor debt servicing ability.

Working Capital

63 M

Strong working capital position provides significant operational flexibility and financial cushion.

Asset Composition

36% Current

Capital-intensive business with significant long-term investments in property, equipment, or intangibles.

doug

Douglas Elliman Inc. Street Expectations Map

DOUG ยท NYSE

No Target Data

No analyst price targets available for doug.

doug

Douglas Elliman Inc. Insider Positioning

DOUG ยท NYSE

During the last 12 months, there has been no insider trading activity reported for DOUG.

3 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

3-6 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

6-9 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

9-12 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

Top Buyers

No buying activity

Top Sellers

No selling activity

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Neutral

No insider trading activity reported. This could indicate blackout periods, lack of conviction, or regulatory restrictions.

Insider Participation

No Activity

No insider trading activity reported from any insiders in the past year.

0.00%
Dividend Yield
3Y-100.0%
5Y-
10Y-
ย 

doug Dividend History

DOUG
10Y CAGR +0%
Latest $0.048
Annual $0.190476
Stable dividend payments
Last Period: +0%