Dell Technologies Inc.

Dell Technologies Inc.

DELLยทNYSE

$421.25

-9.6%
TechnologyComputer Hardware

Dell Technologies Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, markets, sells, and supports information technology (IT) solutions, products, and services worldwide. The company operates through three segments: Infrastructure Solutions Group (ISG), Client Solutions Group (CSG), and VMware. The ISG segment provides traditional and next-generation storage solutions; and rack, blade, tower, and hyperscale servers. This segment also offers networking products and services that help its business customers to transform and modernize their infrastructure, mobilize and enrich end-user experiences, and accelerate business applications and processes; attached software and peripherals; and support and deployment, configuration, and extended warranty services. The CSG segment provides desktops, workstations, and notebooks; displays and projectors; attached and third-party software and peripherals, as well as support and deployment, configuration, and extended warranty services. The VMware segment supports customers in the areas of hybrid and multi-cloud, modern applications, networking, security, and digital workspaces, helping customers to manage IT resource across private clouds and complex multi-cloud, multi-device environments. Dell Technologies Inc. also provides information security; and cloud software and infrastructure-as-a-service solutions that enable customers to migrate, run, and manage mission-critical applications in cloud-based IT environments. The company was formerly known as Denali Holding Inc. and changed its name to Dell Technologies Inc. in August 2016. Dell Technologies Inc. was founded in 1984 and is headquartered in Round Rock, Texas.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$279.82B
EPS8.9600
P/E Ratio47.01
Earnings Date06/04/2026

Intrinsic Alpha Methodology

Thesis Lenses

Signal ยท Driver ยท Risk

Signal

High confidence

Valuation multiple is elevated (P/E 47.0).

Valuation inputs: P/E 47.0, earnings yield +2.1%, momentum -9.6%.

If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.

Driver

High confidence

Return profile is soft (ROE -2.4%, ROIC +15.0%).

Profitability stack: net margin +5.2%, ROE -2.4%, ROIC +15.0%.

Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.

Risk

High confidence

Downside profile is elevated and scenario stress-testing is essential.

Risk factors: liabilities/assets +102.4%, momentum -9.6%, net margin +5.2%.

Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.

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Dell Technologies Inc. Market vs Earnings Trajectory

DELL ยท NYSE
Current Price
$421.25
EPS (TTM)
$12.80

Performance Analysis

EPS Growth

+85.0%

Strong earnings growth indicates robust business expansion and improving profitability.

Price-EPS Relationship

Aligned

Stock price is moving in line with earnings growthโ€”a healthy sign of fundamental-driven valuation.

Stock Price Change

+289.1%

Over the 1Y period, stock price has increased by 289.1%.

P/E Ratio (TTM)

47.0x

Very high P/E suggests premium valuation or high growth expectations.

Key Insight

Stock price (+289.1%) is outpacing earnings growth (+85.0%), suggesting the market may be pricing in future growth. Monitor if earnings can catch up to justify the valuation.

Dell Technologies Inc.

Dell Technologies Inc. Fair Value Envelope

DELL ยท NYSE

Our analysis suggests that DELL has a fair value of HIDDEN per share in the Base Case projection. With shares currently trading at $421.25, this represents a potential HIDDEN relative to our calculated worth for Dell Technologies Inc..

Intrinsic Value
Current Price: $421.25
3Y+90.0%
5Y+169.0%
10Y+40.0%
3Y+28.0%
5Y+11.0%
10Y+34.0%
3Y+75.0%
5Y+143.0%
10Y+29.0%
3Y+29.0%
5Y+214.0%
10Y+20.0%
3Y+44.0%
5Y+1422.0%
10Y+28.0%
3Y+23.0%
5Y+13.0%
10Y-15.0%
Dell Technologies Inc.

Dell Technologies Inc. Profit Bridge

DELL ยท NYSE
Revenue113.54B
Cost of Goods Sold (90.83B)
Gross Profit22.71B
Operating Expenses (14.26B)
Operating Income8.45B
Interest Expense (1.56B)
Other Income/Expense-1.18B
Pretax Income7.26B
Income Tax (1.33B)
Net Income5.94B
Net Income
5.94B

Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin

20.0%

Thin margins leave little room for error. Cost management and pricing strategy are critical.

Operating Margin

7.4%

Acceptable margins but limited operational leverage. Operating expense control is important.

Net Profit Margin

5.2%

Moderate profitability with room for improvement. Monitor interest expenses and tax efficiency.

Effective Tax Rate

18.3%

Moderate tax rate typical for most corporations. Represents standard tax burden on profits.

Profitability Insight

Efficient profit conversion: Minimal margin compression from gross to net indicates lean operations and favorable tax/interest environment.

20.00%
Gross Profit Margin
-10%
3Y-16.0%
5Y-10.0%
10Y-18.0%
7.44%
Operating Profit Margin
14%
3Y+22.0%
5Y+32.0%
10Y+167.0%
5.23%
Net Profit Margin
9%
3Y+36.0%
5Y+119.0%
10Y-4.0%
-240.32%
Return on Equity
-22%
3Y+58.0%
5Y+207.0%
10Y-51.0%
5.86%
Return on Assets
2%
3Y+42.0%
5Y+115.0%
10Y+51.0%
15.00%
Return on Invested Capital
2%
3Y+37.0%
5Y+54.0%
10Y-146.0%
DELL

Dell Technologies Inc. Cash Conversion Engine

DELL ยท NYSE
Net Income5.94B
Depreciation & Amortization3.03B
Stock-Based Compensation723.00M
Change in Working Capital843.00M
Others714.00M
Capital Expenditures-2.63B
Free Cash Flow8.55B

Cash Flow Quality Analysis

FCF Conversion Rate

144.1%

Excellent cash generation. The company converts earnings to cash at or above 100%, indicating high-quality earnings.

CapEx Intensity

23.5%

Moderate capital requirements typical of many stable businesses. Healthy balance between reinvestment and cash generation.

FCF Growth Trend

+357.6%

Strong FCF growth demonstrates improving cash generation and business momentum. Positive signal for sustainability.

Working Capital Impact

+$843.00M

Working capital inflow boosted cash flow. Efficient management of receivables, inventory, and payables contributing positively.

Cash Flow Quality Insight

Exceptional cash generation: High-quality earnings converting to growing free cash flow. The company demonstrates strong pricing power, efficient operations, and disciplined capital allocation.

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Dell Technologies Inc. Funding & Solvency Profile

DELL ยท NYSE
Cash & Cash Equivalents11.58B
Net Receivables25.85B
Inventory15.05B
Other Current Assets18.12B
Total Current Assets71 B
Property, Plant & Equipment6.95B
Goodwill & Intangible Assets23.94B
Long-Term Investments2.48B
Other Non-Current Assets10.93B
Total Non-Current Assets20 B
Total Assets
114.91B

Financial Health Analysis

Current Ratio

0.95x

Warning: Liquidity concerns. Current assets may not be sufficient to cover short-term obligations.

Working Capital

-3991000000

Negative working capital indicates short-term liabilities exceed short-term assetsโ€”potential liquidity stress.

Asset Composition

61% Current

Asset-light business model with high liquidity. Majority of assets are easily convertible to cash.

dell

Dell Technologies Inc. Street Expectations Map

DELL ยท NYSE

Wall Street analysts project that DELL stock may experience modest gains over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 449.54, with estimates ranging from a low of 205.00 to a high of 700.00.

Lowest Target
205.00
-51.34%
Consensus Target
449.54
6.72%
Highest Target
700.00
66.17%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 449.54, with estimates ranging from a low of 205.00 to a high of 700.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

+6.7%

Moderate upside. Analysts expect positive returns but with limited margin of safety. Consider entry timing.

Analyst Agreement

110.1% spread

High uncertainty. Very wide target spread indicates significant disagreement among analystsโ€”major valuation uncertainty or transformation underway.

Risk-Reward Profile

1.29x

Balanced risk-reward. Upside and downside potential relatively symmetric. Suitable for moderate risk tolerance with conviction in thesis.

Analyst Conviction

Low

High uncertainty: Wide dispersion indicates analysts struggle to agree on valuationโ€”proceed with caution and independent analysis.

Market Sentiment Insight

Extreme uncertainty: Massive dispersion in price targets reflects fundamental disagreement on business trajectory. This could signal transformation, disruption, or complex valuationโ€”requires deep sector expertise and contrarian mindset.

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Dell Technologies Inc. Insider Positioning

DELL ยท NYSE

During the last 12 months, insiders have sold $2.40B worth of DELL shares, with no buying activity reported.

3 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

421.8K

69.74M

Net Activity

-69.7M

-$69.74M

3-6 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

214.5K

31.12M

Net Activity

-31.1M

-$31.12M

6-9 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

6.5M

1.04B

Net Activity

-1.0B

-$1.04B

9-12 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

10.3M

1.26B

Net Activity

-1.3B

-$1.26B

Top Buyers

No buying activity

Top Sellers

1
DMS

Dell Michael S

Director, 10 Percent Owner, Officer: Chief Executive Officer

16.3M sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$2.22B

2
SV(L

Slta V (Gp), L.L.C.

Director, 10 Percent Owner:

332.6K sharesโ€ข25 transactions

$53.27M

3
GWD

Green William D

Director

272.7K sharesโ€ข6 transactions

$39.70M

4
SWF

Scannell William F

Officer: Chief Customer Officer

234.3K sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$34.41M

5
KEJ

Kullman Ellen Jamison

Director

136.9K sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$20.51M

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bearish

Strong bearish signal with $2.40B net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.

Buy/Sell Ratio

0.00:1

Very poor ratio. Heavy selling with minimal buying suggests insiders may be concerned about valuation or outlook.

Recent Trend (3 Months)

$69.74M

Heavy recent selling activity. Recent insider sales notably exceed purchasesโ€”may warrant investigation into company developments.

Insider Participation

High Selling

5 insider sellers vs. 0 buyers. Widespread selling across multiple insiders may signal concerns.

Insider Activity Insight

Multiple red flags: Heavy selling, numerous sellers, and continued recent selling create a concerning pattern. Investigate fundamental drivers and consider whether company guidance or industry conditions have deteriorated.

0.34%
Dividend Yield
-27%
3Y-59.0%
5Y-
10Y-
ย 

dell Dividend History

DELL
10Y CAGR +7%
Latest $0.63
Annual $2.73
5 year growth trend
Last Period: +20%