California Water Service Group

California Water Service Group

CWTยทNYSE

$45.24

+1.1%
UtilitiesRegulated Water

California Water Service Group, through its subsidiaries, provides water utility and other related services in California, Washington, New Mexico, Hawaii, and Texas. The company is involved in the production, purchase, storage, treatment, testing, distribution, and sale of water for domestic, industrial, public, and irrigation uses, as well as for fire protection. It offers its services to approximately 494,500 customer connections in 100 California communities; approximately 6,200 water and wastewater customer connections on the islands of Maui and Hawaii; approximately 36,400 customer connections in the Tacoma, Olympia, Graham, Spanaway, Puyallup, and Gig Harbor areas; and approximately 8,600 water and wastewater customer connections in the Belen, Los Lunas, Indian Hills, and Elephant Butte areas in New Mexico. The company also engages in the provision of non-regulated water-related services, including operating of municipally owned water systems, privately owned water, and recycled water distribution systems; water system operation, meter reading, and billing services to private companies and municipalities; leasing of communication antenna sites on its properties to telecommunication companies; and billing of optional third-party insurance programs to its residential customers, as well as provides lab services. In addition, it offers wastewater collection and treatment services. The company was founded in 1926 and is headquartered in San Jose, California.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$2.71B
EPS2.1500
P/E Ratio21.04
Earnings Date07/30/2026

Intrinsic Alpha Methodology

Thesis Lenses

Signal ยท Driver ยท Risk

Signal

High confidence

Valuation multiple is mid-range (P/E 21.0).

Valuation inputs: P/E 21.0, earnings yield +4.8%, momentum +1.1%.

If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.

Driver

High confidence

Return profile is soft (ROE +7.6%, ROIC +2.9%).

Profitability stack: net margin +12.8%, ROE +7.6%, ROIC +2.9%.

Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.

Risk

High confidence

Risk profile is balanced but has notable pressure points to monitor.

Risk factors: liabilities/assets +70.2%, momentum +1.1%, net margin +12.8%.

Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.

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California Water Service Group Market vs Earnings Trajectory

CWT ยท NYSE

Loading price and EPS data...

California Water Service Group

California Water Service Group Fair Value Envelope

CWT ยท NYSE

Our analysis suggests that CWT has a fair value of HIDDEN per share in the Base Case projection. With shares currently trading at $45.24, this represents a potential HIDDEN relative to our calculated worth for California Water Service Group.

Intrinsic Value
Current Price: $45.24
3Y+21.0%
5Y+9.0%
10Y+111.0%
3Y+18.0%
5Y+26.0%
10Y+64.0%
3Y+34.0%
5Y+32.0%
10Y+163.0%
3Y+24.0%
5Y+157.0%
10Y+89.0%
3Y+155.0%
5Y+19.0%
10Y+210.0%
3Y+44.0%
5Y+67.0%
10Y+135.0%
California Water Service Group

California Water Service Group Profit Bridge

CWT ยท NYSE
Revenue1.00B
Cost of Goods Sold (632.71M)
Gross Profit367.43M
Operating Expenses (185.85M)
Operating Income181.59M
Interest Expense (66.70M)
Other Income/Expense-34.63M
Pretax Income146.95M
Income Tax (19.11M)
Net Income128.21M
Net Income
128.21M

Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin

36.7%

Strong gross margins indicate healthy pricing and efficient production or service delivery.

Operating Margin

18.2%

Healthy operating margins demonstrate effective cost control and strong business fundamentals.

Net Profit Margin

12.8%

Strong net margins indicate efficient operations and favorable tax/interest management.

Effective Tax Rate

13.0%

Below-average tax rate suggests effective tax planning, favorable jurisdictions, or tax credits.

Profitability Insight

Room for improvement: Moderate profitability with opportunities to enhance margins through better cost management or pricing strategy.

36.74%
Gross Profit Margin
-61%
3Y-41.0%
5Y-25.0%
10Y-39.0%
18.16%
Operating Profit Margin
-16%
3Y+20.0%
5Y+6.0%
10Y+45.0%
12.82%
Net Profit Margin
-30%
3Y+13.0%
5Y+5.0%
10Y+60.0%
7.58%
Return on Equity
-35%
3Y+4.0%
5Y-28.0%
10Y+3.0%
2.26%
Return on Assets
-39%
3Y-7.0%
5Y-21.0%
10Y+12.0%
2.93%
Return on Invested Capital
-22%
3Y-9.0%
5Y-23.0%
10Y+36.0%
CWT

California Water Service Group Cash Conversion Engine

CWT ยท NYSE
Net Income127.85M
Depreciation & Amortization146.52M
Stock-Based Compensation4.98M
Change in Working Capital-3.68M
Others-11.32M
Capital Expenditures-516.99M
Free Cash Flow-214.43M

Cash Flow Quality Analysis

FCF Conversion Rate

-167.7%

Negative free cash flow despite positive earnings raises concerns about cash generation ability or heavy capital requirements.

CapEx Intensity

170.9%

Very high capital intensity consumes most operating cash flow. Limited flexibility for dividends or debt reduction.

FCF Growth Trend

-19.2%

Significant FCF decline raises concerns. Urgent review needed of operational performance and capital allocation.

Working Capital Impact

-$3.68M

Minimal working capital impact on FCF. Changes in operating assets and liabilities well-managed.

Cash Flow Quality Insight

Cash flow concerns: Despite profitability, the company is burning cash. Review working capital management, CapEx levels, and sustainability of current operations.

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California Water Service Group Funding & Solvency Profile

CWT ยท NYSE
Cash & Cash Equivalents103.74M
Net Receivables218.26M
Inventory19.64M
Other Current Assets33.52M
Total Current Assets375 M
Property, Plant & Equipment4.67B
Goodwill & Intangible Assets37.06M
Long-Term Investments0.00
Other Non-Current Assets702.17M
Total Non-Current Assets5 B
Total Assets
5.78B

Financial Health Analysis

Current Ratio

0.69x

Warning: Liquidity concerns. Current assets may not be sufficient to cover short-term obligations.

Debt-to-Equity Ratio

2.23x

High financial leverage. Heavy reliance on debt may indicate increased financial risk and potential solvency concerns.

Working Capital

-169796000

Negative working capital indicates short-term liabilities exceed short-term assetsโ€”potential liquidity stress.

Asset Composition

6% Current

Capital-intensive business with significant long-term investments in property, equipment, or intangibles.

Financial Health Insight

Financial stress indicators: Both liquidity and leverage metrics raise concerns. The company may face challenges meeting obligations and should focus on strengthening its balance sheet.

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California Water Service Group Street Expectations Map

CWT ยท NYSE

Wall Street analysts project that CWT stock may rise significantly over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 54.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 54.00 to a high of 54.00.

Lowest Target
54.00
19.36%
Consensus Target
54.00
19.36%
Highest Target
54.00
19.36%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 54.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 54.00 to a high of 54.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

+19.4%

Strong upside potential. Consensus indicates attractive return opportunity with favorable risk-reward profile.

Analyst Agreement

0.0% spread

High analyst agreement. Narrow target range indicates strong consensus on valuation, suggesting clear investment thesis and predictable outlook.

Analyst Conviction

Very High

Strong buy conviction: High upside with tight consensus suggests compelling investment opportunity backed by analyst confidence.

Market Sentiment Insight

Monitor and evaluate: Current analyst consensus suggests limited conviction or near-term catalysts. Stay informed on company developments and reassess positioning as new information emerges.

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California Water Service Group Insider Positioning

CWT ยท NYSE

During the last 12 months, insiders have purchased $24K and sold $509K worth of CWT shares, resulting in $485K of net selling activity.

3 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

9.4K

412.77K

Net Activity

-413K

-$413K

3-6 Months

Bought

550

23.54K

Sold

924

40.05K

Net Activity

-17K

-$17K

6-9 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

9-12 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

1.2K

55.81K

Net Activity

-56K

-$56K

Top Buyers

1
LJP

Lynch James Patrick

Officer: Svp Cfo And Treasurer

550 sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$24K

Top Sellers

1
MMSJ

Mares Michael S Jr

Officer: Vice President, Operations

3.9K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$171K

2
KTM

Krummel Thomas M

Director

3.7K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$160K

3
SLA

Snow Lester A

Director

2.3K sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$104K

4
MMR

Mortensen Michelle R

Officer: Vp, Corp Sec &Chief Of Staff

924 sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$40K

5
LMB

Luu Michael B

Officer: Sr. Vp Corp Svcs & Chief Risk

739 sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$33K

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bearish

Strong bearish signal with $485K net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.

Buy/Sell Ratio

0.05:1

Very poor ratio. Heavy selling with minimal buying suggests insiders may be concerned about valuation or outlook.

Recent Trend (3 Months)

$413K

Heavy recent selling activity. Recent insider sales notably exceed purchasesโ€”may warrant investigation into company developments.

Insider Participation

High Selling

5 insider sellers vs. 1 buyers. Widespread selling across multiple insiders may signal concerns.

Insider Activity Insight

Multiple red flags: Heavy selling, numerous sellers, and continued recent selling create a concerning pattern. Investigate fundamental drivers and consider whether company guidance or industry conditions have deteriorated.

0.74%
Dividend Yield
7%
3Y+65.0%
5Y+81.0%
10Y+49.0%
ย 

cwt Dividend History

CWT
10Y CAGR +7%
Latest $0.335
Annual $1.57
5 year growth trend
Last Period: +0%