CareTrust REIT, Inc.

CareTrust REIT, Inc.

CTREยทNYSE

$38.03

-1.9%
Real EstateREIT - Healthcare Facilities

CareTrust REIT, Inc. is a self-administered, publicly-traded real estate investment trust engaged in the ownership, acquisition, development and leasing of skilled nursing, seniors housing and other healthcare-related properties. With a nationwide portfolio of long-term net-leased properties, and a growing portfolio of quality operators leasing them, CareTrust REIT is pursuing both external and organic growth opportunities across the United States.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$8.98B
EPS1.5700
P/E Ratio22.97
Earnings Date08/05/2026

Intrinsic Alpha Methodology

Thesis Lenses

Signal ยท Driver ยท Risk

Signal

High confidence

Valuation multiple is mid-range (P/E 23.0).

Valuation inputs: P/E 23.0, earnings yield +4.4%, momentum -1.9%.

If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.

Driver

High confidence

Return profile is soft (ROE +7.9%, ROIC +6.4%).

Profitability stack: net margin +67.3%, ROE +7.9%, ROIC +6.4%.

Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.

Risk

High confidence

Downside profile looks controlled across current risk inputs.

Risk factors: liabilities/assets +21.2%, momentum -1.9%, net margin +67.3%.

Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.

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CareTrust REIT, Inc. Market vs Earnings Trajectory

CTRE ยท NYSE

Loading price and EPS data...

CareTrust REIT, Inc.

CareTrust REIT, Inc. Fair Value Envelope

CTRE ยท NYSE

Our analysis suggests that CTRE has a fair value of HIDDEN per share in the Base Case projection. With shares currently trading at $38.03, this represents a potential HIDDEN relative to our calculated worth for CareTrust REIT, Inc..

Intrinsic Value
Current Price: $38.03
3Y+257.0%
5Y+162.0%
10Y+202.0%
3Y+154.0%
5Y+171.0%
10Y+359.0%
3Y-4370.0%
5Y+296.0%
10Y+992.0%
3Y+173.0%
5Y+170.0%
10Y+512.0%
3Y+176.0%
5Y+176.0%
10Y-276.0%
3Y+218.0%
5Y+242.0%
10Y+456.0%
CareTrust REIT, Inc.

CareTrust REIT, Inc. Profit Bridge

CTRE ยท NYSE
Revenue476.59M
Cost of Goods Sold (194.80M)
Gross Profit281.79M
Operating Expenses (-38.35M)
Operating Income320.14M
Interest Expense (43.71M)
Other Income/Expense5.15M
Pretax Income325.29M
Income Tax (5.00M)
Net Income320.54M
Net Income
320.54M

Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin

59.1%

Exceptional pricing power and cost management. The company retains over half of revenue after direct costs.

Operating Margin

67.2%

Outstanding operational efficiency. The company generates substantial profit from core operations.

Net Profit Margin

67.3%

Exceptional profitability. The company converts a significant portion of revenue to bottom-line earnings.

Effective Tax Rate

1.5%

Below-average tax rate suggests effective tax planning, favorable jurisdictions, or tax credits.

Profitability Insight

Exceptional profitability across all levels: Strong pricing power, efficient operations, and healthy bottom line indicate a high-quality business with sustainable competitive advantages.

59.13%
Gross Profit Margin
-37%
3Y-38.0%
5Y-39.0%
10Y-34.0%
67.17%
Operating Profit Margin
24%
3Y+21.0%
5Y+16.0%
10Y+34.0%
67.26%
Net Profit Margin
23%
3Y-1780.0%
5Y+46.0%
10Y+138.0%
7.94%
Return on Equity
85%
3Y-999.0%
5Y-10.0%
10Y+22.0%
6.23%
Return on Assets
71%
3Y-1444.0%
5Y+16.0%
10Y+96.0%
6.36%
Return on Invested Capital
71%
3Y-4.0%
5Y-9.0%
10Y+369.0%
CTRE

CareTrust REIT, Inc. Cash Conversion Engine

CTRE ยท NYSE
Net Income320.29M
Depreciation & Amortization86.44M
Stock-Based Compensation11.90M
Change in Working Capital26.07M
Others-50.67M
Capital Expenditures-14.99M
Free Cash Flow379.04M

Cash Flow Quality Analysis

FCF Conversion Rate

118.3%

Excellent cash generation. The company converts earnings to cash at or above 100%, indicating high-quality earnings.

CapEx Intensity

3.8%

Asset-light business model. Low capital requirements leave more cash available for shareholders and growth investments.

FCF Growth Trend

+60.5%

Strong FCF growth demonstrates improving cash generation and business momentum. Positive signal for sustainability.

Working Capital Impact

+$26.07M

Working capital inflow boosted cash flow. Efficient management of receivables, inventory, and payables contributing positively.

Cash Flow Quality Insight

Exceptional cash generation: High-quality earnings converting to growing free cash flow. The company demonstrates strong pricing power, efficient operations, and disciplined capital allocation.

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CareTrust REIT, Inc. Funding & Solvency Profile

CTRE ยท NYSE
Cash & Cash Equivalents223.21M
Net Receivables107.01M
Inventory0.00
Other Current Assets0.00
Total Current Assets330 M
Property, Plant & Equipment0.00
Goodwill & Intangible Assets0.00
Long-Term Investments0.00
Other Non-Current Assets0.00
Total Non-Current Assets0
Total Assets
5.24B

Financial Health Analysis

Debt-to-Equity Ratio

0.26x

Conservative capital structure. The company relies primarily on equity financing, indicating low financial risk.

Working Capital

330 M

Strong working capital position provides significant operational flexibility and financial cushion.

Asset Composition

6% Current

Capital-intensive business with significant long-term investments in property, equipment, or intangibles.

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CareTrust REIT, Inc. Street Expectations Map

CTRE ยท NYSE

Wall Street analysts project that CTRE stock may rise significantly over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 43.75, with estimates ranging from a low of 42.00 to a high of 46.00.

Lowest Target
42.00
10.44%
Consensus Target
43.75
15.04%
Highest Target
46.00
20.96%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 43.75, with estimates ranging from a low of 42.00 to a high of 46.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

+15.0%

Strong upside potential. Consensus indicates attractive return opportunity with favorable risk-reward profile.

Analyst Agreement

9.1% spread

High analyst agreement. Narrow target range indicates strong consensus on valuation, suggesting clear investment thesis and predictable outlook.

Analyst Conviction

Very High

Strong buy conviction: High upside with tight consensus suggests compelling investment opportunity backed by analyst confidence.

Market Sentiment Insight

Monitor and evaluate: Current analyst consensus suggests limited conviction or near-term catalysts. Stay informed on company developments and reassess positioning as new information emerges.

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CareTrust REIT, Inc. Insider Positioning

CTRE ยท NYSE

During the last 12 months, there has been no insider trading activity reported for CTRE.

3 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

3-6 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

6-9 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

9-12 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

Top Buyers

No buying activity

Top Sellers

No selling activity

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Neutral

No insider trading activity reported. This could indicate blackout periods, lack of conviction, or regulatory restrictions.

Insider Participation

No Activity

No insider trading activity reported from any insiders in the past year.

0.92%
Dividend Yield
-1%
3Y-35.0%
5Y-15.0%
10Y-26.0%
ย 

ctre Dividend History

CTRE
10Y CAGR +9%
Latest $0.39
Annual $1.73
5 year growth trend
Last Period: +16%