$62.20
-1.2%California Resources Corporation operates as an independent oil and natural gas company. The company explores for, produces, gathers, processes, and markets crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids for marketers, California refineries, and other purchasers that have access to transportation and storage facilities. As of December 31, 2021, it had interests in approximately 1.9 million net mineral acres with proved reserves totaled an estimated 480 million barrels of oil equivalent. The company also engages in the generation and sale of electricity to the local utility and the grid. The company was incorporated in 2014 and is based in Santa Clarita, California.
Warren Buffett's Owner Earnings DCF analysis for intrinsic value calculation
Base year metrics used for projections
Forecast period and terminal assumptions
Calculation flow from present value to intrinsic value per share
Operating Cash Flow - Maintenance CapEx = Owner Earnings
| Metric | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | Year 6 | Year 7 | Year 8 | Year 9 | Year 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $1.3B | $2.1B | $3.2B | $5.0B | $7.8B | $12.1B | $18.7B | $29.0B | $45.0B | $69.9B |
| Maintenance CapEx | -$99.9M | -$155.0M | -$240.5M | -$373.1M | -$578.8M | -$898.0M | -$1.4B | -$2.2B | -$3.4B | -$5.2B |
| Owner Earnings | $1.2B | $1.9B | $3.0B | $4.6B | $7.2B | $11.2B | $17.3B | $26.9B | $41.7B | $64.7B |
| Discount Factor | 0.926 | 0.857 | 0.794 | 0.735 | 0.681 | 0.630 | 0.583 | 0.540 | 0.500 | 0.463 |
| Present Value | $1.2B | $1.7B | $2.4B | $3.4B | $4.9B | $7.0B | $10.1B | $14.5B | $20.9B | $30.0B |
Snapshot
Start with context, operating signals, and key market metrics.
Value Model
Stress test fair value across bear, base, and bull assumptions.
Statements
Validate revenue quality, margins, and balance sheet durability.
Earnings Call
Read management commentary and compare it with reported outcomes.
Dividends
Check payout sustainability and long-term distribution behavior.
Analyst Expectations
Review consensus spread and where estimate risk is concentrated.