Chewy, Inc.

Chewy, Inc.

CHWYยทNYSE

$21.04

-2.2%
Consumer CyclicalSpecialty Retail

Chewy, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the pure play e-commerce business in the United States. The company provides pet food and treats, pet supplies and pet medications, and other pet-health products, as well as pet services for dogs, cats, fish, birds, small pets, horses, and reptiles through its www.chewy.com retail Website, as well as its mobile applications. It offers approximately 100,000 products from 3,000 partner brands. The company was founded in 2010 and is headquartered in Dania Beach, Florida.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$8.71B
EPS0.5300
P/E Ratio39.70
Earnings Date06/10/2026

Intrinsic Alpha Methodology

Thesis Lenses

Signal ยท Driver ยท Risk

Signal

High confidence

Valuation multiple is elevated (P/E 39.7).

Valuation inputs: P/E 39.7, earnings yield +2.5%, momentum -2.2%.

If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.

Driver

High confidence

Return profile is strong (ROE +44.8%, ROIC +16.2%).

Profitability stack: net margin +1.8%, ROE +44.8%, ROIC +16.2%.

Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.

Risk

High confidence

Downside profile is elevated and scenario stress-testing is essential.

Risk factors: liabilities/assets +86.1%, momentum -2.2%, net margin +1.8%.

Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.

chwy

Chewy, Inc. Market vs Earnings Trajectory

CHWY ยท NYSE

Loading price and EPS data...

Chewy, Inc.

Chewy, Inc. Fair Value Envelope

CHWY ยท NYSE

Our analysis suggests that CHWY has a fair value of HIDDEN per share in the Base Case projection. With shares currently trading at $21.04, this represents a potential HIDDEN relative to our calculated worth for Chewy, Inc..

Intrinsic Value
Current Price: $21.04
3Y+475.0%
5Y+342.0%
10Y-330.0%
3Y+13.0%
5Y+25.0%
10Y+76.0%
3Y+463.0%
5Y+347.0%
10Y-341.0%
3Y+98.0%
5Y+421.0%
10Y+9437.0%
3Y+371.0%
5Y+27852.0%
10Y-3844.0%
3Y+43.0%
5Y+106.0%
10Y+1042.0%
Chewy, Inc.

Chewy, Inc. Profit Bridge

CHWY ยท NYSE
Revenue12.60B
Cost of Goods Sold (8.85B)
Gross Profit3.75B
Operating Expenses (3.50B)
Operating Income254.30M
Interest Expense (4.60M)
Other Income/Expense9.00M
Pretax Income263.30M
Income Tax (40.50M)
Net Income222.80M
Net Income
222.80M

Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin

29.8%

Moderate margins typical of competitive industries. Monitor for pricing pressure or rising costs.

Operating Margin

2.0%

Minimal operating profit suggests high operating costs or pricing challenges. Scalability is concerning.

Net Profit Margin

1.8%

Minimal profitability after all expenses. Limited financial flexibility for reinvestment or shareholder returns.

Effective Tax Rate

15.4%

Moderate tax rate typical for most corporations. Represents standard tax burden on profits.

Profitability Insight

Room for improvement: Moderate profitability with opportunities to enhance margins through better cost management or pricing strategy.

29.79%
Gross Profit Margin
2%
3Y+6.0%
5Y+17.0%
10Y+79.0%
2.02%
Operating Profit Margin
113%
3Y+262.0%
5Y-259.0%
10Y-117.0%
1.77%
Net Profit Margin
-47%
3Y+259.0%
5Y-237.0%
10Y-115.0%
44.75%
Return on Equity
-70%
3Y+44.0%
5Y-99.0%
10Y-129.0%
6.20%
Return on Assets
-52%
3Y+213.0%
5Y-217.0%
10Y-118.0%
16.18%
Return on Invested Capital
16%
3Y+109.0%
5Y-164.0%
10Y-111.0%
CHWY

Chewy, Inc. Cash Conversion Engine

CHWY ยท NYSE
Net Income222.80M
Depreciation & Amortization128.90M
Stock-Based Compensation0.00
Change in Working Capital-35.10M
Others346.40M
Capital Expenditures-129.20M
Free Cash Flow562.40M

Cash Flow Quality Analysis

FCF Conversion Rate

252.4%

Excellent cash generation. The company converts earnings to cash at or above 100%, indicating high-quality earnings.

CapEx Intensity

18.7%

Asset-light business model. Low capital requirements leave more cash available for shareholders and growth investments.

FCF Growth Trend

+24.3%

Strong FCF growth demonstrates improving cash generation and business momentum. Positive signal for sustainability.

Working Capital Impact

-$35.10M

Minimal working capital impact on FCF. Changes in operating assets and liabilities well-managed.

Cash Flow Quality Insight

Exceptional cash generation: High-quality earnings converting to growing free cash flow. The company demonstrates strong pricing power, efficient operations, and disciplined capital allocation.

chwy

Chewy, Inc. Funding & Solvency Profile

CHWY ยท NYSE
Cash & Cash Equivalents860.10M
Net Receivables222.20M
Inventory864.80M
Other Current Assets70.00M
Total Current Assets2 B
Property, Plant & Equipment1.02B
Goodwill & Intangible Assets52.80M
Long-Term Investments18.90M
Other Non-Current Assets6.50M
Total Non-Current Assets1 B
Total Assets
3.59B

Financial Health Analysis

Current Ratio

0.88x

Warning: Liquidity concerns. Current assets may not be sufficient to cover short-term obligations.

Debt-to-Equity Ratio

6.22x

High financial leverage. Heavy reliance on debt may indicate increased financial risk and potential solvency concerns.

Working Capital

-265800000

Negative working capital indicates short-term liabilities exceed short-term assetsโ€”potential liquidity stress.

Asset Composition

57% Current

Balanced asset mix between current and non-current assets, typical of many stable businesses.

Financial Health Insight

Financial stress indicators: Both liquidity and leverage metrics raise concerns. The company may face challenges meeting obligations and should focus on strengthening its balance sheet.

chwy

Chewy, Inc. Street Expectations Map

CHWY ยท NYSE

Wall Street analysts project that CHWY stock may rise significantly over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 39.29, with estimates ranging from a low of 28.00 to a high of 52.00.

Lowest Target
28.00
33.08%
Consensus Target
39.29
86.74%
Highest Target
52.00
147.15%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 39.29, with estimates ranging from a low of 28.00 to a high of 52.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

+86.7%

Substantial upside potential. Analysts see significant value gap, suggesting the stock may be materially undervalued at current levels.

Analyst Agreement

61.1% spread

High uncertainty. Very wide target spread indicates significant disagreement among analystsโ€”major valuation uncertainty or transformation underway.

Analyst Conviction

Low

High uncertainty: Wide dispersion indicates analysts struggle to agree on valuationโ€”proceed with caution and independent analysis.

Market Sentiment Insight

High risk, high reward: Substantial upside potential exists, but wide analyst disagreement signals execution risk or unclear catalysts. Thorough due diligence essential before committing capital.

chwy

Chewy, Inc. Insider Positioning

CHWY ยท NYSE

During the last 12 months, insiders have sold $608.07M worth of CHWY shares, with no buying activity reported.

3 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

91.5K

2.35M

Net Activity

-2.4M

-$2.35M

3-6 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

16.1K

459.01K

Net Activity

-459K

-$459K

6-9 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

13.4M

503.87M

Net Activity

-503.9M

-$503.87M

9-12 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

2.4M

101.39M

Net Activity

-101.4M

-$101.39M

Top Buyers

No buying activity

Top Sellers

1
AHGL

Argos Holdings Gp Llc

10 Percent Owner

15.7M sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$600.00M

2
SS

Singh Sumit

Director, Officer: Chief Executive Officer

130.6K sharesโ€ข4 transactions

$3.74M

3
MS

Mehta Satish

Officer: Chief Technology Officer

97.3K sharesโ€ข8 transactions

$3.29M

4
BWG

Billings William G.

Officer: Chief Accounting Officer

21.3K sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$753K

5
HD

Hu Da-Wai

Officer: General Counsel & Secretary

8.1K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$219K

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bearish

Strong bearish signal with $608.07M net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.

Buy/Sell Ratio

0.00:1

Very poor ratio. Heavy selling with minimal buying suggests insiders may be concerned about valuation or outlook.

Recent Trend (3 Months)

$2.35M

Heavy recent selling activity. Recent insider sales notably exceed purchasesโ€”may warrant investigation into company developments.

Insider Participation

High Selling

5 insider sellers vs. 0 buyers. Widespread selling across multiple insiders may signal concerns.

Insider Activity Insight

Multiple red flags: Heavy selling, numerous sellers, and continued recent selling create a concerning pattern. Investigate fundamental drivers and consider whether company guidance or industry conditions have deteriorated.

No Dividend Yield Data

CHWY has not reported any dividend yield values in the available annual periods.

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chwy Dividend History

CHWY
10Y CAGR +0%
Latest $0
Annual $0
Stable dividend payments
Last Period: +0%