Blackstone Inc.

Blackstone Inc.

BXยทNYSE

$110.30

-4.0%
Financial ServicesAsset Management

Blackstone Inc. is an alternative asset management firm specializing in real estate, private equity, hedge fund solutions, credit, secondary funds of funds, public debt and equity and multi-asset class strategies. The firm typically invests in early-stage companies. It also provide capital markets services. The real estate segment specializes in opportunistic, core+ investments as well as debt investment opportunities collateralized by commercial real estate, and stabilized income-oriented commercial real estate across North America, Europe and Asia. The firm's corporate private equity business pursues transactions throughout the world across a variety of transaction types, including large buyouts,special situations, distressed mortgage loans, mid-cap buyouts, buy and build platforms, which involves multiple acquisitions behind a single management team and platform, and growth equity/development projects involving significant majority stakes in portfolio companies and minority investments in operating companies, shipping, real estate, corporate or consumer loans, and alternative energy greenfield development projects in energy and power, property, dislocated markets, shipping opportunities, financial institution breakups, re-insurance, and improving freight mobility, financial services, healthcare, life sciences, enterprise tech and consumer, as well as consumer technologies. The firm considers investment in Asia and Latin America. It has a three year investment period. Its hedge fund business manages a broad range of commingled and customized fund solutions and its credit business focuses on loans, and securities of non-investment grade companies spread across the capital structure including senior debt, subordinated debt, preferred stock and common equity. Blackstone Inc. was founded in 1985 and is headquartered in New York, New York with additional offices across Asia, Europe and North America.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$132.50B
EPS3.8800
P/E Ratio28.43
Earnings Date07/23/2026

Intrinsic Alpha Methodology

Thesis Lenses

Signal ยท Driver ยท Risk

Signal

High confidence

Valuation multiple is elevated (P/E 28.4).

Valuation inputs: P/E 28.4, earnings yield +3.5%, momentum -4.0%.

If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.

Driver

High confidence

Return profile is strong (ROE +34.8%, ROIC +13.6%).

Profitability stack: net margin +21.8%, ROE +34.8%, ROIC +13.6%.

Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.

Risk

High confidence

Downside profile looks controlled across current risk inputs.

Risk factors: liabilities/assets +54.1%, momentum -4.0%, net margin +21.8%.

Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.

bx

Blackstone Inc. Market vs Earnings Trajectory

BX ยท NYSE
Current Price
$110.30
EPS (TTM)
$3.91

Performance Analysis

EPS Growth

+5.1%

Positive earnings growth shows the company is improving its profitability over time.

Price-EPS Relationship

Divergent

Earnings are growing but price is fallingโ€”potential undervaluation opportunity if growth continues.

Stock Price Change

-20.5%

Over the 1Y period, stock price has decreased by 20.5%.

P/E Ratio (TTM)

28.4x

Elevated P/E indicates investors expect strong future growth.

Blackstone Inc.

Blackstone Inc. Fair Value Envelope

BX ยท NYSE

Our analysis suggests that BX has a fair value of HIDDEN per share in the Base Case projection. With shares currently trading at $110.3, this represents a potential HIDDEN relative to our calculated worth for Blackstone Inc..

Intrinsic Value
Current Price: $110.3
3Y+64.0%
5Y+159.0%
10Y+142.0%
3Y+86.0%
5Y+156.0%
10Y+210.0%
3Y+73.0%
5Y+189.0%
10Y+191.0%
3Y-71.0%
5Y-4.0%
10Y-2200.0%
3Y-71.0%
5Y-4.0%
10Y-1680.0%
3Y+12.0%
5Y+82.0%
10Y+81.0%
Blackstone Inc.

Blackstone Inc. Profit Bridge

BX ยท NYSE
Revenue13.83B
Cost of Goods Sold (1.93B)
Gross Profit11.90B
Operating Expenses (4.72B)
Operating Income7.18B
Interest Expense (508.31M)
Other Income/Expense-6.64M
Pretax Income7.17B
Income Tax (1.13B)
Net Income3.02B
Net Income
3.02B

Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin

86.0%

Exceptional pricing power and cost management. The company retains over half of revenue after direct costs.

Operating Margin

51.9%

Outstanding operational efficiency. The company generates substantial profit from core operations.

Net Profit Margin

21.8%

Exceptional profitability. The company converts a significant portion of revenue to bottom-line earnings.

Effective Tax Rate

15.7%

Moderate tax rate typical for most corporations. Represents standard tax burden on profits.

Profitability Insight

Exceptional profitability across all levels: Strong pricing power, efficient operations, and healthy bottom line indicate a high-quality business with sustainable competitive advantages.

86.05%
Gross Profit Margin
-10%
3Y-10.0%
5Y-11.0%
10Y-11.0%
51.91%
Operating Profit Margin
-9%
3Y+12.0%
5Y+7.0%
10Y-3.0%
21.83%
Net Profit Margin
-11%
3Y-7.0%
5Y+13.0%
10Y-6.0%
34.84%
Return on Equity
3%
3Y+53.0%
5Y+122.0%
10Y+117.0%
6.33%
Return on Assets
-1%
3Y+54.0%
5Y+59.0%
10Y+61.0%
13.61%
Return on Invested Capital
2%
3Y+84.0%
5Y+54.0%
10Y+53.0%
BX

Blackstone Inc. Cash Conversion Engine

BX ยท NYSE
Net Income3.02B
Depreciation & Amortization36.02M
Stock-Based Compensation1.95B
Change in Working Capital-1.67B
Others-1.47B
Capital Expenditures-115.70M
Free Cash Flow1.74B

Cash Flow Quality Analysis

FCF Conversion Rate

57.8%

Weak cash conversion. Significant portion of earnings not converting to cashโ€”review working capital trends and capital intensity.

CapEx Intensity

6.2%

Asset-light business model. Low capital requirements leave more cash available for shareholders and growth investments.

FCF Growth Trend

-49.0%

Significant FCF decline raises concerns. Urgent review needed of operational performance and capital allocation.

Working Capital Impact

-$1.67B

Significant working capital drain. Growth may be consuming cash through inventory buildup or receivables extensionโ€”monitor closely.

Cash Flow Quality Insight

Deteriorating cash generation: Both declining FCF and weak conversion rate signal fundamental challenges. Investigate margin pressure, rising costs, or working capital issues.

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Blackstone Inc. Funding & Solvency Profile

BX ยท NYSE
Cash & Cash Equivalents2.71B
Net Receivables6.97B
Inventory0.00
Other Current Assets0.00
Total Current Assets10 B
Property, Plant & Equipment786.28M
Goodwill & Intangible Assets2.01B
Long-Term Investments0.00
Other Non-Current Assets33.78B
Total Non-Current Assets35 B
Total Assets
48.33B

Financial Health Analysis

Debt-to-Equity Ratio

1.26x

Elevated leverage. Debt exceeds equity, which amplifies both gains and risks. Monitor debt servicing ability.

Working Capital

10 B

Strong working capital position provides significant operational flexibility and financial cushion.

Asset Composition

20% Current

Capital-intensive business with significant long-term investments in property, equipment, or intangibles.

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Blackstone Inc. Street Expectations Map

BX ยท NYSE

Wall Street analysts project that BX stock may rise significantly over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 156.29, with estimates ranging from a low of 130.00 to a high of 184.00.

Lowest Target
130.00
17.86%
Consensus Target
156.29
41.70%
Highest Target
184.00
66.82%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 156.29, with estimates ranging from a low of 130.00 to a high of 184.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

+41.7%

Substantial upside potential. Analysts see significant value gap, suggesting the stock may be materially undervalued at current levels.

Analyst Agreement

34.6% spread

Good consensus alignment. Moderate target spread reflects general agreement on value drivers with some variance in assumptions.

Analyst Conviction

High

Positive outlook with reasonable agreement. Analysts generally optimistic about prospects with manageable uncertainty.

Market Sentiment Insight

Monitor and evaluate: Current analyst consensus suggests limited conviction or near-term catalysts. Stay informed on company developments and reassess positioning as new information emerges.

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Blackstone Inc. Insider Positioning

BX ยท NYSE

During the last 12 months, insiders have purchased $2.60M and sold $14.01M worth of BX shares, resulting in $11.40M of net selling activity.

3 Months

Bought

229

28.21K

Sold

17.0K

2.13M

Net Activity

-2.1M

-$2.10M

3-6 Months

Bought

275

35.83K

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+36K

+$36K

6-9 Months

Bought

16.9K

2.53M

Sold

25.3K

4.36M

Net Activity

-1.8M

-$1.82M

9-12 Months

Bought

52

8.82K

Sold

44.4K

7.52M

Net Activity

-7.5M

-$7.51M

Top Buyers

1
BJ

Breyer James

Director

16.9K sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$2.52M

2
PR

Porat Ruth

Director

634 sharesโ€ข4 transactions

$84K

Top Sellers

1
BJ

Baratta Joseph

Director

30.7K sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$5.19M

2
FJG

Finley John G

Officer: Chief Legal Officer

21.5K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$3.69M

3
SV

Sawhney Vikrant

Officer: Chief Administrative Officer

25.0K sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$3.53M

4
PD

Payne David

Officer: Chief Accounting Officer

9.4K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$1.60M

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bearish

Strong bearish signal with $11.40M net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.

Buy/Sell Ratio

0.19:1

Weak buy/sell ratio. Selling significantly exceeds buyingโ€”monitor for potential fundamental concerns.

Recent Trend (3 Months)

$2.10M

Heavy recent selling activity. Recent insider sales notably exceed purchasesโ€”may warrant investigation into company developments.

Insider Participation

Moderate Selling

4 insider sellers vs. 2 buyers. More insiders selling than buying suggests cautious or negative sentiment.

Insider Activity Insight

Multiple red flags: Heavy selling, numerous sellers, and continued recent selling create a concerning pattern. Investigate fundamental drivers and consider whether company guidance or industry conditions have deteriorated.

1.30%
Dividend Yield
-2%
3Y-25.0%
5Y-45.0%
10Y-38.0%
ย 

bx Dividend History

BX
10Y CAGR +15%
Latest $1.16
Annual $4.97
5 year growth trend
Last Period: 22%