BellRing Brands, Inc.
$8.86
-2.2%BellRing Brands, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides various nutrition products in the United States and internationally. It offers ready-to-drink shake and powder protein products primarily under the Premier Protein and Dymatize brands. The company sells its products through club, food, drug, mass, eCommerce, specialty, and convenience channels. BellRing Brands, Inc. was incorporated in 2019 and is headquartered in Saint Louis, Missouri.
At a Glance
Live SnapshotIntrinsic Alpha Methodology
Thesis Lenses
Signal
High confidenceValuation multiple is compressed (P/E 5.2).
Valuation inputs: P/E 5.2, earnings yield +19.2%, momentum -2.2%.
If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.
Driver
High confidenceReturn profile is soft (ROE -47.6%, ROIC +40.5%).
Profitability stack: net margin +9.3%, ROE -47.6%, ROIC +40.5%.
Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.
Risk
High confidenceDownside profile is elevated and scenario stress-testing is essential.
Risk factors: liabilities/assets +148.2%, momentum -2.2%, net margin +9.3%.
Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.
BellRing Brands, Inc. Market vs Earnings Trajectory
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BellRing Brands, Inc. Fair Value Envelope
BellRing Brands, Inc. Profit Bridge
Profitability Analysis
Gross Margin
Moderate margins typical of competitive industries. Monitor for pricing pressure or rising costs.
Operating Margin
Healthy operating margins demonstrate effective cost control and strong business fundamentals.
Net Profit Margin
Moderate profitability with room for improvement. Monitor interest expenses and tax efficiency.
Effective Tax Rate
Higher tax burden may reflect limited tax optimization or operations in high-tax jurisdictions.
Profitability Insight
Room for improvement: Moderate profitability with opportunities to enhance margins through better cost management or pricing strategy.
BellRing Brands, Inc. Cash Conversion Engine
Cash Flow Quality Analysis
FCF Conversion Rate
Excellent cash generation. The company converts earnings to cash at or above 100%, indicating high-quality earnings.
CapEx Intensity
Asset-light business model. Low capital requirements leave more cash available for shareholders and growth investments.
FCF Growth Trend
Strong FCF growth demonstrates improving cash generation and business momentum. Positive signal for sustainability.
Working Capital Impact
Working capital inflow boosted cash flow. Efficient management of receivables, inventory, and payables contributing positively.
Cash Flow Quality Insight
Exceptional cash generation: High-quality earnings converting to growing free cash flow. The company demonstrates strong pricing power, efficient operations, and disciplined capital allocation.
BellRing Brands, Inc. Funding & Solvency Profile
Financial Health Analysis
Current Ratio
Excellent liquidity position. The company can easily cover its short-term obligations with substantial cushion.
Working Capital
Strong working capital position provides significant operational flexibility and financial cushion.
Asset Composition
Asset-light business model with high liquidity. Majority of assets are easily convertible to cash.
BellRing Brands, Inc. Street Expectations Map
Wall Street analysts project that BRBR stock may rise significantly over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 18.75, with estimates ranging from a low of 11.00 to a high of 32.00.
The consensus 1-year price target stands at 18.75, with estimates ranging from a low of 11.00 to a high of 32.00.
Analyst Consensus Analysis
Upside Potential
Substantial upside potential. Analysts see significant value gap, suggesting the stock may be materially undervalued at current levels.
Analyst Agreement
High uncertainty. Very wide target spread indicates significant disagreement among analysts—major valuation uncertainty or transformation underway.
Analyst Conviction
High uncertainty: Wide dispersion indicates analysts struggle to agree on valuation—proceed with caution and independent analysis.
Market Sentiment Insight
High risk, high reward: Substantial upside potential exists, but wide analyst disagreement signals execution risk or unclear catalysts. Thorough due diligence essential before committing capital.
BellRing Brands, Inc. Insider Positioning
During the last 12 months, insiders have purchased $66.22M and sold $804K worth of BRBR shares, resulting in $65.41M of net buying activity.
3 Months
4.0K
36.94K
0
0.00
+37K
+$37K
3-6 Months
2.0K
35.50K
0
0.00
+36K
+$36K
6-9 Months
0
0.00
4.3K
131.72K
-132K
-$132K
9-12 Months
10.6K
66.15M
12.8K
671.90K
+65.5M
+$65.47M
Top Buyers
Conway Shawn
Director
$65.95M
Stein Elliot Jr
Director
$100K
Rosenthal Craig L
Officer: Clo & Secretary
$97K
Finkelstein David Isaiah
Director
$72K
Top Sellers
Davenport Darcy Horn
Officer: Pres. And Ceo
$505K
Cornille Douglas J
Officer: Chief Growth Officer
$290K
Rode Paul A
Officer: Cfo & Treasurer
$9K
Insider Activity Analysis
Net Insider Sentiment
Strong bullish signal with $65.41M net buying. Insiders are aggressively accumulating shares, suggesting significant confidence in future prospects.
Buy/Sell Ratio
Exceptional buy/sell ratio. Buying dramatically outweighs selling—one of the strongest possible insider signals.
Recent Trend (3 Months)
Very strong recent buying momentum. Recent insider purchases significantly outpace sales, suggesting near-term optimism.
Insider Participation
4 insider buyers vs. 3 sellers. More insiders buying than selling indicates positive sentiment.
Insider Activity Insight
Strong confluence of bullish signals: High buy/sell ratio, multiple insiders participating, and recent buying momentum all point to significant insider confidence. This level of coordinated buying often precedes positive developments.
brbr Dividend History
Learning Layer
Related Guides
Build conviction on BRBR by pairing this stock hub with focused valuation guides.
Research Paths
Snapshot
Start with context, operating signals, and key market metrics.
Value Model
Stress test fair value across bear, base, and bull assumptions.
Statements
Validate revenue quality, margins, and balance sheet durability.
Earnings Call
Read management commentary and compare it with reported outcomes.
Dividends
Check payout sustainability and long-term distribution behavior.
Analyst Expectations
Review consensus spread and where estimate risk is concentrated.