Boot Barn Holdings, Inc.

Boot Barn Holdings, Inc.

BOOTยทNYSE

$170.69

+1.5%
Consumer CyclicalApparel - Retail

Boot Barn Holdings, Inc., a lifestyle retail chain, operates specialty retail stores in the United States. The company's specialty retail stores offer western and work-related footwear, apparel, and accessories for men, women, and kids. It offers boots, shirts, jackets, hats, belts and belt buckles, handbags, western-style jewelry, rugged footwear, outerwear, overalls, denim, and flame-resistant and high-visibility clothing. The company also provides gifts and home merchandise. As of May 10, 2022, it operated 304 stores in 38 states. The company also sells its products through e-commerce websites, including bootbarn.com; sheplers.com; and countryoutfitter.com. The company was formerly known as WW Top Investment Corporation and changed its name to Boot Barn Holdings, Inc. in June 2014. Boot Barn Holdings, Inc. was founded in 1978 and is based in Irvine, California.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$5.18B
EPS7.4000
P/E Ratio23.07
Earnings Date07/30/2026

Intrinsic Alpha Methodology

Thesis Lenses

Signal ยท Driver ยท Risk

Signal

High confidence

Valuation multiple is mid-range (P/E 23.1).

Valuation inputs: P/E 23.1, earnings yield +4.3%, momentum +1.5%.

If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.

Driver

High confidence

Return profile is acceptable (ROE +17.1%, ROIC +10.5%).

Profitability stack: net margin +10.0%, ROE +17.1%, ROIC +10.5%.

Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.

Risk

High confidence

Downside profile looks controlled across current risk inputs.

Risk factors: liabilities/assets +46.2%, momentum +1.5%, net margin +10.0%.

Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.

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Boot Barn Holdings, Inc. Market vs Earnings Trajectory

BOOT ยท NYSE
Current Price
$170.69
EPS (TTM)
$7.41

Performance Analysis

EPS Growth

+11.1%

Positive earnings growth shows the company is improving its profitability over time.

Price-EPS Relationship

Aligned

Stock price is moving in line with earnings growthโ€”a healthy sign of fundamental-driven valuation.

Stock Price Change

+6.1%

Over the 1Y period, stock price has increased by 6.1%.

P/E Ratio (TTM)

23.1x

Moderate P/E ratio suggests fair market valuation relative to earnings.

Boot Barn Holdings, Inc.

Boot Barn Holdings, Inc. Fair Value Envelope

BOOT ยท NYSE

Our analysis suggests that BOOT has a fair value of HIDDEN per share in the Base Case projection. With shares currently trading at $170.69, this represents a potential HIDDEN relative to our calculated worth for Boot Barn Holdings, Inc..

Intrinsic Value
Current Price: $170.69
3Y+52.0%
5Y+29.0%
10Y+261.0%
3Y+35.0%
5Y+36.0%
10Y+152.0%
3Y+54.0%
5Y+32.0%
10Y+280.0%
3Y+29.0%
5Y+243.0%
10Y+96.0%
3Y+8.0%
5Y-454.0%
10Y-1.0%
3Y+44.0%
5Y+61.0%
10Y+162.0%
Boot Barn Holdings, Inc.

Boot Barn Holdings, Inc. Profit Bridge

BOOT ยท NYSE
Revenue2.25B
Cost of Goods Sold (1.40B)
Gross Profit858.36M
Operating Expenses (559.21M)
Operating Income299.14M
Interest Expense (1.53M)
Other Income/Expense1.44M
Pretax Income300.59M
Income Tax (74.71M)
Net Income225.88M
Net Income
225.88M

Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin

38.1%

Strong gross margins indicate healthy pricing and efficient production or service delivery.

Operating Margin

13.3%

Acceptable margins but limited operational leverage. Operating expense control is important.

Net Profit Margin

10.0%

Strong net margins indicate efficient operations and favorable tax/interest management.

Effective Tax Rate

24.9%

Moderate tax rate typical for most corporations. Represents standard tax burden on profits.

Profitability Insight

Room for improvement: Moderate profitability with opportunities to enhance margins through better cost management or pricing strategy.

38.08%
Gross Profit Margin
2%
3Y+3.0%
5Y+3.0%
10Y+15.0%
13.27%
Operating Profit Margin
6%
3Y+12.0%
5Y-5.0%
10Y+37.0%
10.02%
Net Profit Margin
6%
3Y+14.0%
5Y-3.0%
10Y+51.0%
17.13%
Return on Equity
7%
3Y+10.0%
5Y-22.0%
10Y+14.0%
9.22%
Return on Assets
3%
3Y+7.0%
5Y-18.0%
10Y+45.0%
10.46%
Return on Invested Capital
1%
3Y+3.0%
5Y-25.0%
10Y+18.0%
BOOT

Boot Barn Holdings, Inc. Cash Conversion Engine

BOOT ยท NYSE
Net Income225.88M
Depreciation & Amortization78.65M
Stock-Based Compensation16.10M
Change in Working Capital0.00
Others-28.13M
Capital Expenditures-178.56M
Free Cash Flow126.34M

Cash Flow Quality Analysis

FCF Conversion Rate

55.9%

Weak cash conversion. Significant portion of earnings not converting to cashโ€”review working capital trends and capital intensity.

CapEx Intensity

58.6%

Capital-intensive operations require significant reinvestment. Monitor whether CapEx is maintenance or growth-oriented.

FCF Growth Trend

+16878.5%

Strong FCF growth demonstrates improving cash generation and business momentum. Positive signal for sustainability.

Working Capital Impact

+$0.00

Neutral working capital impact. Changes in current assets and liabilities balanced out.

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Boot Barn Holdings, Inc. Funding & Solvency Profile

BOOT ยท NYSE
Cash & Cash Equivalents141.04M
Net Receivables15.26M
Inventory844.64M
Other Current Assets33.46M
Total Current Assets1 B
Property, Plant & Equipment1.15B
Goodwill & Intangible Assets256.48M
Long-Term Investments0.00
Other Non-Current Assets6.66M
Total Non-Current Assets1 B
Total Assets
2.45B

Financial Health Analysis

Current Ratio

2.65x

Excellent liquidity position. The company can easily cover its short-term obligations with substantial cushion.

Debt-to-Equity Ratio

0.86x

Balanced capital structure with moderate leverage. Equity exceeds debt, suggesting healthy financial stability.

Working Capital

643 M

Strong working capital position provides significant operational flexibility and financial cushion.

Asset Composition

42% Current

Balanced asset mix between current and non-current assets, typical of many stable businesses.

Financial Health Insight

Strong financial foundation: Excellent liquidity combined with conservative leverage suggests the company is well-positioned to weather economic uncertainties and fund growth opportunities.

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Boot Barn Holdings, Inc. Street Expectations Map

BOOT ยท NYSE

Wall Street analysts project that BOOT stock may rise significantly over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 230.71, with estimates ranging from a low of 195.00 to a high of 272.00.

Lowest Target
195.00
14.24%
Consensus Target
230.71
35.16%
Highest Target
272.00
59.35%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 230.71, with estimates ranging from a low of 195.00 to a high of 272.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

+35.2%

Substantial upside potential. Analysts see significant value gap, suggesting the stock may be materially undervalued at current levels.

Analyst Agreement

33.4% spread

Good consensus alignment. Moderate target spread reflects general agreement on value drivers with some variance in assumptions.

Analyst Conviction

High

Positive outlook with reasonable agreement. Analysts generally optimistic about prospects with manageable uncertainty.

Market Sentiment Insight

Monitor and evaluate: Current analyst consensus suggests limited conviction or near-term catalysts. Stay informed on company developments and reassess positioning as new information emerges.

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Boot Barn Holdings, Inc. Insider Positioning

BOOT ยท NYSE

During the last 12 months, insiders have sold $3.24M worth of BOOT shares, with no buying activity reported.

3 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

230

36.87K

Net Activity

-37K

-$37K

3-6 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

1.0K

197.74K

Net Activity

-198K

-$198K

6-9 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

7.7K

1.46M

Net Activity

-1.5M

-$1.46M

9-12 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

9.0K

1.54M

Net Activity

-1.5M

-$1.54M

Top Buyers

No buying activity

Top Sellers

1
GLM

Grijalva Laurie Marie

Officer: Chief Merchandising Officer

7.5K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$1.29M

2
SP

Starrett Peter

Director, Officer: Executive Chairman

6.5K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$1.23M

3
MBI

Morris Brenda I

Director

2.5K sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$453K

4
BGE

Burt Gene Eddie

Director

1.2K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$230K

5
KJD

Kosoff Jonathon David

Officer: Chief Digital Officer

230 sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$37K

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bearish

Strong bearish signal with $3.24M net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.

Buy/Sell Ratio

0.00:1

Very poor ratio. Heavy selling with minimal buying suggests insiders may be concerned about valuation or outlook.

Recent Trend (3 Months)

$37K

Heavy recent selling activity. Recent insider sales notably exceed purchasesโ€”may warrant investigation into company developments.

Insider Participation

High Selling

5 insider sellers vs. 0 buyers. Widespread selling across multiple insiders may signal concerns.

Insider Activity Insight

Multiple red flags: Heavy selling, numerous sellers, and continued recent selling create a concerning pattern. Investigate fundamental drivers and consider whether company guidance or industry conditions have deteriorated.

No Dividend Yield Data

BOOT has not reported any dividend yield values in the available annual periods.

ย 

boot Dividend History

BOOT
10Y CAGR +0%
Latest $0.13
Annual $0.52
Stable dividend payments
Last Period: +0%