BC

BKV Corporation

BKVยทNYSE

$26.92

+1.4%
EnergyOil & Gas Exploration & Production

BKV Corporation engages in the acquisition, operation, and development of natural gas and NGL properties. It is also involved in the gathering, processing, and transportation of natural gas. The company was founded in 2015 and is based in Denver, Colorado with additional offices in Tunkhannock, Pennsylvania and Fort Worth, Texas. BKV Corporation, LLC operates as a subsidiary of Banpu North America Corporation.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$2.94B
EPS1.9600
P/E Ratio13.73
Earnings Date08/11/2026

Intrinsic Alpha Methodology

Thesis Lenses

Signal ยท Driver ยท Risk

Signal

High confidence

Valuation multiple is compressed (P/E 13.7).

Valuation inputs: P/E 13.7, earnings yield +7.3%, momentum +1.4%.

If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.

Driver

High confidence

Return profile is soft (ROE +8.5%, ROIC +4.5%).

Profitability stack: net margin +19.3%, ROE +8.5%, ROIC +4.5%.

Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.

Risk

High confidence

Downside profile looks controlled across current risk inputs.

Risk factors: liabilities/assets +34.0%, momentum +1.4%, net margin +19.3%.

Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.

b

BKV Corporation Market vs Earnings Trajectory

BKV ยท NYSE
Current Price
$26.92
EPS (TTM)
$3.31

Performance Analysis

EPS Growth

+1045.7%

Strong earnings growth indicates robust business expansion and improving profitability.

Price-EPS Relationship

Aligned

Stock price is moving in line with earnings growthโ€”a healthy sign of fundamental-driven valuation.

Stock Price Change

+22.4%

Over the 1Y period, stock price has increased by 22.4%.

P/E Ratio (TTM)

13.7x

Relatively low P/E may indicate undervaluation or lower growth expectations.

Key Insight

Strong earnings growth (+1045.7%) is outpacing price appreciation (+22.4%), potentially indicating an attractive entry point as the market may not have fully recognized the improving fundamentals.

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BKV Corporation Fair Value Envelope

BKV ยท NYSE

Our analysis suggests that BKV has a fair value of HIDDEN per share in the Base Case projection. With shares currently trading at $26.92, this represents a potential HIDDEN relative to our calculated worth for BKV Corporation.

Intrinsic Value
Current Price: $26.92
3Y-60.0%
5Y-477.0%
10Y-477.0%
3Y-46.0%
5Y+631.0%
10Y+631.0%
3Y-58.0%
5Y-499.0%
10Y-499.0%
3Y-30.0%
5Y-3378.0%
10Y-3378.0%
3Y-157.0%
5Y-89.0%
10Y-89.0%
3Y+16.0%
5Y+133.0%
10Y+133.0%
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BKV Corporation Profit Bridge

BKV ยท NYSE
Revenue895.64M
Cost of Goods Sold (611.95M)
Gross Profit283.70M
Operating Expenses (124.36M)
Operating Income159.34M
Interest Expense (42.78M)
Other Income/Expense50.93M
Pretax Income210.28M
Income Tax (35.43M)
Net Income173.13M
Net Income
173.13M

Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin

31.7%

Moderate margins typical of competitive industries. Monitor for pricing pressure or rising costs.

Operating Margin

17.8%

Healthy operating margins demonstrate effective cost control and strong business fundamentals.

Net Profit Margin

19.3%

Strong net margins indicate efficient operations and favorable tax/interest management.

Effective Tax Rate

16.8%

Moderate tax rate typical for most corporations. Represents standard tax burden on profits.

Profitability Insight

Efficient profit conversion: Minimal margin compression from gross to net indicates lean operations and favorable tax/interest environment.

31.68%
Gross Profit Margin
-51%
3Y-66.0%
5Y+10.0%
10Y+10.0%
17.79%
Operating Profit Margin
-169%
3Y-3.0%
5Y-320.0%
10Y-320.0%
19.33%
Net Profit Margin
-182%
3Y-22.0%
5Y-155.0%
10Y-155.0%
8.49%
Return on Equity
-193%
3Y-77.0%
5Y-285.0%
10Y-285.0%
5.53%
Return on Assets
-186%
3Y-64.0%
5Y-271.0%
10Y-271.0%
4.55%
Return on Invested Capital
-179%
3Y-62.0%
5Y-708.0%
10Y-708.0%
B

BKV Corporation Cash Conversion Engine

BKV ยท NYSE
Net Income173.13M
Depreciation & Amortization158.95M
Stock-Based Compensation12.85M
Change in Working Capital12.76M
Others-151.41M
Capital Expenditures-300.17M
Free Cash Flow-57.46M

Cash Flow Quality Analysis

FCF Conversion Rate

-33.2%

Negative free cash flow despite positive earnings raises concerns about cash generation ability or heavy capital requirements.

CapEx Intensity

123.7%

Very high capital intensity consumes most operating cash flow. Limited flexibility for dividends or debt reduction.

FCF Growth Trend

-426.1%

Significant FCF decline raises concerns. Urgent review needed of operational performance and capital allocation.

Working Capital Impact

+$12.76M

Working capital inflow boosted cash flow. Efficient management of receivables, inventory, and payables contributing positively.

Cash Flow Quality Insight

Cash flow concerns: Despite profitability, the company is burning cash. Review working capital management, CapEx levels, and sustainability of current operations.

b

BKV Corporation Funding & Solvency Profile

BKV ยท NYSE
Cash & Cash Equivalents288.54M
Net Receivables141.72M
Inventory18.76M
Other Current Assets118.97M
Total Current Assets568 M
Property, Plant & Equipment1.06B
Goodwill & Intangible Assets18.42M
Long-Term Investments0.00
Other Non-Current Assets2.53B
Total Non-Current Assets4 B
Total Assets
4.17B

Financial Health Analysis

Current Ratio

1.31x

Acceptable liquidity, but monitor closely. Current assets just barely cover current liabilities.

Debt-to-Equity Ratio

0.81x

Balanced capital structure with moderate leverage. Equity exceeds debt, suggesting healthy financial stability.

Working Capital

135 M

Positive working capital, but relatively tight. The company should monitor cash flow carefully.

Asset Composition

14% Current

Capital-intensive business with significant long-term investments in property, equipment, or intangibles.

b

BKV Corporation Street Expectations Map

BKV ยท NYSE

Wall Street analysts project that BKV stock may rise significantly over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 34.25, with estimates ranging from a low of 32.00 to a high of 36.00.

Lowest Target
32.00
18.87%
Consensus Target
34.25
27.23%
Highest Target
36.00
33.73%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 34.25, with estimates ranging from a low of 32.00 to a high of 36.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

+27.2%

Substantial upside potential. Analysts see significant value gap, suggesting the stock may be materially undervalued at current levels.

Analyst Agreement

11.7% spread

High analyst agreement. Narrow target range indicates strong consensus on valuation, suggesting clear investment thesis and predictable outlook.

Analyst Conviction

Very High

Strong buy conviction: High upside with tight consensus suggests compelling investment opportunity backed by analyst confidence.

Market Sentiment Insight

Rare opportunity: Exceptional upside potential with strong analyst consensus creates a compelling setup. The combination of significant price target premium and tight agreement suggests high-conviction undervaluation that may attract institutional capital.

b

BKV Corporation Insider Positioning

BKV ยท NYSE

During the last 12 months, insiders have sold $14.11M worth of BKV shares, with no buying activity reported.

3 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

157.3K

4.67M

Net Activity

-4.7M

-$4.67M

3-6 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

6-9 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

354.0K

9.44M

Net Activity

-9.4M

-$9.44M

9-12 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

Top Buyers

No buying activity

Top Sellers

1
KCP

Kalnin Christopher P

Director, Officer: Chief Executive Officer

400.0K sharesโ€ข5 transactions

$11.14M

2
JES

Jacobsen Eric S

Officer: President, Upstream

50.0K sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$1.45M

3
LLB

Larrick Lindsay B

Officer: Chief Legal And Admin Officer

54.0K sharesโ€ข4 transactions

$1.31M

4
TD

Tameron David

Officer: Chief Financial Officer

7.3K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$217K

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bearish

Strong bearish signal with $14.11M net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.

Buy/Sell Ratio

0.00:1

Very poor ratio. Heavy selling with minimal buying suggests insiders may be concerned about valuation or outlook.

Recent Trend (3 Months)

$4.67M

Heavy recent selling activity. Recent insider sales notably exceed purchasesโ€”may warrant investigation into company developments.

Insider Participation

High Selling

4 insider sellers vs. 0 buyers. Widespread selling across multiple insiders may signal concerns.

Insider Activity Insight

Multiple red flags: Heavy selling, numerous sellers, and continued recent selling create a concerning pattern. Investigate fundamental drivers and consider whether company guidance or industry conditions have deteriorated.

No Dividend Yield Data

BKV has not reported any dividend yield values in the available annual periods.

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bkv Dividend History

BKV
10Y CAGR +0%
Latest $0
Annual $0
Stable dividend payments
Last Period: +0%