BlackSky Technology Inc.
$37.48
-12%BlackSky Technology Inc. provides geospatial intelligence, imagery and related data analytic products and services, and mission systems that include the development, integration, and operations of satellite and ground systems to commercial and government customers worldwide. The company processes a range of observations from its constellation, as well as various space, internet-of-things, and terrestrial based sensors and data feeds. Its products are used in government defense and intelligence; commercial, construction, and industrial; and catastrophe, climate, and environment applications. The company was incorporated in 2014 and is headquartered in Herndon, Virginia.
At a Glance
Live SnapshotIntrinsic Alpha Methodology
Thesis Lenses
Signal
Medium confidenceValuation multiple is compressed (P/E -17.9).
Valuation inputs: P/E -17.9, earnings yield N/A, momentum -11.6%.
If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.
Driver
High confidenceReturn profile is soft (ROE -74.1%, ROIC -14.0%).
Profitability stack: net margin -65.9%, ROE -74.1%, ROIC -14.0%.
Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.
Risk
High confidenceDownside profile is elevated and scenario stress-testing is essential.
Risk factors: liabilities/assets +75.5%, momentum -11.6%, net margin -65.9%.
Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.
BlackSky Technology Inc. Market vs Earnings Trajectory
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BlackSky Technology Inc. Fair Value Envelope
BlackSky Technology Inc. Profit Bridge
Profitability Analysis
Gross Margin
Strong gross margins indicate healthy pricing and efficient production or service delivery.
Operating Margin
Operating losses indicate the core business is unprofitable. Requires restructuring or revenue growth.
Net Profit Margin
Net losses indicate the company is burning cash. Sustainability depends on path to profitability.
Profitability Insight
Margin squeeze alert: Healthy gross margins but weak operating margins suggest excessive operating expenses. Cost optimization could unlock significant value.
BlackSky Technology Inc. Cash Conversion Engine
Cash Flow Quality Analysis
FCF Conversion Rate
Moderate conversion rate. Some gap between earnings and cash flow may warrant investigation into working capital or non-cash items.
CapEx Intensity
Asset-light business model. Low capital requirements leave more cash available for shareholders and growth investments.
FCF Growth Trend
Significant FCF decline raises concerns. Urgent review needed of operational performance and capital allocation.
Working Capital Impact
Working capital inflow boosted cash flow. Efficient management of receivables, inventory, and payables contributing positively.
BlackSky Technology Inc. Funding & Solvency Profile
Financial Health Analysis
Current Ratio
Excellent liquidity position. The company can easily cover its short-term obligations with substantial cushion.
Debt-to-Equity Ratio
High financial leverage. Heavy reliance on debt may indicate increased financial risk and potential solvency concerns.
Working Capital
Strong working capital position provides significant operational flexibility and financial cushion.
Asset Composition
Balanced asset mix between current and non-current assets, typical of many stable businesses.
Financial Health Insight
Mixed signals: Strong short-term liquidity provides comfort, but high overall leverage requires careful monitoring of debt servicing capabilities and refinancing risk.
BlackSky Technology Inc. Street Expectations Map
Wall Street analysts project that BKSY stock may experience modest gains over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 40.88, with estimates ranging from a low of 35.00 to a high of 50.00.
The consensus 1-year price target stands at 40.88, with estimates ranging from a low of 35.00 to a high of 50.00.
Analyst Consensus Analysis
Upside Potential
Moderate upside. Analysts expect positive returns but with limited margin of safety. Consider entry timing.
Analyst Agreement
Good consensus alignment. Moderate target spread reflects general agreement on value drivers with some variance in assumptions.
Risk-Reward Profile
Favorable risk-reward. Potential upside significantly exceeds downside risk, offering asymmetric return profile attractive for risk-tolerant investors.
Analyst Conviction
Positive outlook with reasonable agreement. Analysts generally optimistic about prospects with manageable uncertainty.
Market Sentiment Insight
Monitor and evaluate: Current analyst consensus suggests limited conviction or near-term catalysts. Stay informed on company developments and reassess positioning as new information emerges.
BlackSky Technology Inc. Insider Positioning
During the last 12 months, insiders have purchased $58K and sold $3.77M worth of BKSY shares, resulting in $3.71M of net selling activity.
3 Months
0
0.00
0
0.00
+0
+$0
3-6 Months
0
0.00
37.4K
721.00K
-721K
-$721K
6-9 Months
0
0.00
174.6K
3.05M
-3.0M
-$3.05M
9-12 Months
5.0K
57.94K
0
0.00
+58K
+$58K
Top Buyers
Ward Tracy
Officer: Svp & Controller
$58K
Top Sellers
O'Toole Brian E
Director, Officer: Ceo And President
$1.39M
Dubois Henry Edward
Officer: Chief Financial Officer
$1.32M
Lin Christiana L
Officer: General Counsel & Cao
$1.02M
Ward Tracy
Officer: Svp & Controller
$38K
Insider Activity Analysis
Net Insider Sentiment
Strong bearish signal with $3.71M net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.
Buy/Sell Ratio
Very poor ratio. Heavy selling with minimal buying suggests insiders may be concerned about valuation or outlook.
Insider Participation
4 insider sellers vs. 1 buyers. Widespread selling across multiple insiders may signal concerns.
bksy Dividend History
Learning Layer
Related Guides
Build conviction on BKSY by pairing this stock hub with focused valuation guides.
Research Paths
Snapshot
Start with context, operating signals, and key market metrics.
Value Model
Stress test fair value across bear, base, and bull assumptions.
Statements
Validate revenue quality, margins, and balance sheet durability.
Earnings Call
Read management commentary and compare it with reported outcomes.
Dividends
Check payout sustainability and long-term distribution behavior.
Analyst Expectations
Review consensus spread and where estimate risk is concentrated.