The Buckle, Inc.

The Buckle, Inc.

BKEยทNYSE

$43.52

-0.37%
Consumer CyclicalApparel - Retail

The Buckle, Inc. operates as a retailer of casual apparel, footwear, and accessories for young men and women in the United States. It markets a selection of brand name casual apparel, including denims, other casual bottoms, tops, sportswear, outerwear, accessories, and footwear, as well as private label merchandise primarily comprising BKE, Buckle Black, Salvage, Red by BKE, Daytrip, Gimmicks, Gilded Intent, FITZ + EDDI, Willow & Root, Outpost Makers, Departwest, Reclaim, BKE Vintage, Nova Industries, J.B. Holt, and Veece. The company also provides services, such as hemming, gift-packaging, layaways, guest loyalty program, the Buckle private label credit card, and personalized stylist services, as well as special order system that allows stores to obtain requested merchandise from other company stores or its online order fulfillment center. As of March 11, 2022, it operated 440 retail stores in 42 states under the Buckle and The Buckle names. The Buckle, Inc. also sells its products through its website, buckle.com. The company was formerly known as Mills Clothing, Inc. and changed its name to The Buckle, Inc. in April 1991. The Buckle, Inc. was incorporated in 1948 and is headquartered in Kearney, Nebraska.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$2.24B
EPS4.1700
P/E Ratio10.44
Earnings Date08/14/2026

Intrinsic Alpha Methodology

Thesis Lenses

Signal ยท Driver ยท Risk

Signal

High confidence

Valuation multiple is compressed (P/E 10.4).

Valuation inputs: P/E 10.4, earnings yield +9.6%, momentum -0.4%.

If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.

Driver

High confidence

Return profile is strong (ROE +49.4%, ROIC +23.6%).

Profitability stack: net margin +16.2%, ROE +49.4%, ROIC +23.6%.

Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.

Risk

High confidence

Downside profile looks controlled across current risk inputs.

Risk factors: liabilities/assets +57.2%, momentum -0.4%, net margin +16.2%.

Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.

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The Buckle, Inc. Market vs Earnings Trajectory

BKE ยท NYSE

Loading price and EPS data...

The Buckle, Inc.

The Buckle, Inc. Fair Value Envelope

BKE ยท NYSE

Our analysis suggests that BKE has a fair value of HIDDEN per share in the Base Case projection. With shares currently trading at $43.52, this represents a potential HIDDEN relative to our calculated worth for The Buckle, Inc..

Intrinsic Value
Current Price: $43.52
3Y-6.0%
5Y-19.0%
10Y+56.0%
3Y+3.0%
5Y-4.0%
10Y+44.0%
3Y-5.0%
5Y-18.0%
10Y+61.0%
3Y-1.0%
5Y+4.0%
10Y+10.0%
3Y-5.0%
5Y-3.0%
10Y-6.0%
3Y+11.0%
5Y+18.0%
10Y+17.0%
The Buckle, Inc.

The Buckle, Inc. Profit Bridge

BKE ยท NYSE
Revenue1.30B
Cost of Goods Sold (661.98M)
Gross Profit635.86M
Operating Expenses (374.41M)
Operating Income261.44M
Interest Expense (0.00)
Other Income/Expense14.68M
Pretax Income276.12M
Income Tax (66.38M)
Net Income209.74M
Net Income
209.74M

Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin

49.0%

Strong gross margins indicate healthy pricing and efficient production or service delivery.

Operating Margin

20.1%

Healthy operating margins demonstrate effective cost control and strong business fundamentals.

Net Profit Margin

16.2%

Strong net margins indicate efficient operations and favorable tax/interest management.

Effective Tax Rate

24.0%

Moderate tax rate typical for most corporations. Represents standard tax burden on profits.

Profitability Insight

Exceptional profitability across all levels: Strong pricing power, efficient operations, and healthy bottom line indicate a high-quality business with sustainable competitive advantages.

48.99%
Gross Profit Margin
1%
3Y-
5Y-3.0%
10Y+10.0%
20.14%
Operating Profit Margin
2%
3Y-6.0%
5Y-17.0%
10Y+8.0%
16.16%
Net Profit Margin
1%
3Y-7.0%
5Y-15.0%
10Y+12.0%
49.39%
Return on Equity
7%
3Y-7.0%
5Y-27.0%
10Y+51.0%
21.16%
Return on Assets
-1%
3Y-14.0%
5Y-30.0%
10Y+38.0%
23.63%
Return on Invested Capital
3Y-4.0%
5Y-25.0%
10Y+48.0%
BKE

The Buckle, Inc. Cash Conversion Engine

BKE ยท NYSE
Net Income209.74M
Depreciation & Amortization25.42M
Stock-Based Compensation8.24M
Change in Working Capital-1.25M
Others7.53M
Capital Expenditures-45.36M
Free Cash Flow205.78M

Cash Flow Quality Analysis

FCF Conversion Rate

98.1%

Strong cash conversion. Most reported earnings translate into actual cash flow, suggesting solid fundamentals.

CapEx Intensity

18.1%

Asset-light business model. Low capital requirements leave more cash available for shareholders and growth investments.

FCF Growth Trend

+3.0%

Flat FCF growth. Stable but not expandingโ€”monitor for signs of business maturity or temporary headwinds.

Working Capital Impact

-$1.25M

Minimal working capital impact on FCF. Changes in operating assets and liabilities well-managed.

Cash Flow Quality Insight

Asset-light with strong cash conversion: Low capital requirements combined with efficient cash generation creates significant shareholder value through dividends, buybacks, or strategic investments.

bke

The Buckle, Inc. Funding & Solvency Profile

BKE ยท NYSE
Cash & Cash Equivalents266.16M
Net Receivables7.28M
Inventory150.20M
Other Current Assets23.51M
Total Current Assets471 M
Property, Plant & Equipment898.03M
Goodwill & Intangible Assets0.00
Long-Term Investments33.81M
Other Non-Current Assets-354.02M
Total Non-Current Assets578 M
Total Assets
1.05B

Financial Health Analysis

Current Ratio

2.04x

Excellent liquidity position. The company can easily cover its short-term obligations with substantial cushion.

Debt-to-Equity Ratio

1.29x

Elevated leverage. Debt exceeds equity, which amplifies both gains and risks. Monitor debt servicing ability.

Working Capital

240 M

Strong working capital position provides significant operational flexibility and financial cushion.

Asset Composition

45% Current

Balanced asset mix between current and non-current assets, typical of many stable businesses.

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The Buckle, Inc. Street Expectations Map

BKE ยท NYSE

Wall Street analysts project that BKE stock may experience modest gains over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 47.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 47.00 to a high of 47.00.

Lowest Target
47.00
8.00%
Consensus Target
47.00
8.00%
Highest Target
47.00
8.00%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 47.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 47.00 to a high of 47.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

+8.0%

Moderate upside. Analysts expect positive returns but with limited margin of safety. Consider entry timing.

Analyst Agreement

0.0% spread

High analyst agreement. Narrow target range indicates strong consensus on valuation, suggesting clear investment thesis and predictable outlook.

Analyst Conviction

High

Positive outlook with reasonable agreement. Analysts generally optimistic about prospects with manageable uncertainty.

Market Sentiment Insight

Monitor and evaluate: Current analyst consensus suggests limited conviction or near-term catalysts. Stay informed on company developments and reassess positioning as new information emerges.

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The Buckle, Inc. Insider Positioning

BKE ยท NYSE

During the last 12 months, insiders have sold $13.41M worth of BKE shares, with no buying activity reported.

3 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

126.2K

6.52M

Net Activity

-6.5M

-$6.52M

3-6 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

6-9 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

9-12 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

127.0K

6.89M

Net Activity

-6.9M

-$6.89M

Top Buyers

No buying activity

Top Sellers

1
SKG

Smith Kari G

Director, Officer: Evp Stores

100.0K sharesโ€ข4 transactions

$5.34M

2
HM

Hoffman Michelle

Officer: Svp Sales

65.2K sharesโ€ข4 transactions

$3.42M

3
SJE

Shada James E

Director

40.0K sharesโ€ข3 transactions

$2.19M

4
RKB

Rhoads Karen B

Director

20.0K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$1.12M

5
NDH

Nelson Dennis H

Director, Officer: President & Ceo

20.5K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$890K

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bearish

Strong bearish signal with $13.41M net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.

Buy/Sell Ratio

0.00:1

Very poor ratio. Heavy selling with minimal buying suggests insiders may be concerned about valuation or outlook.

Recent Trend (3 Months)

$6.52M

Heavy recent selling activity. Recent insider sales notably exceed purchasesโ€”may warrant investigation into company developments.

Insider Participation

High Selling

5 insider sellers vs. 0 buyers. Widespread selling across multiple insiders may signal concerns.

Insider Activity Insight

Multiple red flags: Heavy selling, numerous sellers, and continued recent selling create a concerning pattern. Investigate fundamental drivers and consider whether company guidance or industry conditions have deteriorated.

0.63%
Dividend Yield
-91%
3Y-41.0%
5Y-21.0%
10Y-87.0%
ย 

bke Dividend History

BKE
10Y CAGR 12%
Latest $0.35
Annual $4.75
Stable dividend payments
Last Period: +0%