The Brink's Company

The Brink's Company

BCOยทNYSE

$100.88

+0.24%
IndustrialsSecurity & Protection Services

The Brink's Company provides secure transportation, cash management, and other security-related services in North America, Latin America, Europe, and internationally. The company offers armored vehicle transportation of valuables; automated teller machine (ATM) management services, such as cash replenishment, replenishment forecasting, cash optimization, ATM remote monitoring, service call dispatching, transaction processing, installation, and first and second line maintenance services; network infrastructure; and cash-in-transit services. It also provides transportation services for diamonds, jewelry, precious metals, securities, bank notes, currency, high-tech devices, electronics, and pharmaceuticals; vault outsourcing and money processing services; and services related to deploying and servicing intelligent safes and safe control devices, as well as cashier balancing, counterfeit detection, account consolidation, electronic reporting, check imaging, and reconciliation services. In addition, the company offers technology applications, including online cash tracking, cash inventory management, and other web-based tools. Further, it provides bill payment and collection services; prepaid cards and corporate debit cards; and security system design and installation services that include alarms, motion detectors, closed-circuit televisions, and digital video recorders, as well as access control systems comprising card and biometric readers, electronic locks, and turnstiles. Additionally, the company offers monitoring services; and security and guarding services to protect airports, offices, warehouses, stores, and public venues. It serves banks and financial institutions, retailers, government agencies, mints, jewelers, and other commercial operations. The company was formerly known as The Pittston Company and changed its name to The Brink's Company in May 2003. The Brink's Company was founded in 1859 and is headquartered in Richmond, Virginia.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$4.15B
EPS4.7400
P/E Ratio21.28
Earnings Date08/05/2026

Intrinsic Alpha Methodology

Thesis Lenses

Signal ยท Driver ยท Risk

Signal

High confidence

Valuation multiple is mid-range (P/E 21.3).

Valuation inputs: P/E 21.3, earnings yield +4.7%, momentum +0.2%.

If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.

Driver

High confidence

Return profile is strong (ROE +71.9%, ROIC +6.3%).

Profitability stack: net margin +3.8%, ROE +71.9%, ROIC +6.3%.

Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.

Risk

High confidence

Downside profile is elevated and scenario stress-testing is essential.

Risk factors: liabilities/assets +94.5%, momentum +0.2%, net margin +3.8%.

Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.

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The Brink's Company Market vs Earnings Trajectory

BCO ยท NYSE

Loading price and EPS data...

The Brink's Company

The Brink's Company Fair Value Envelope

BCO ยท NYSE

Our analysis suggests that BCO has a fair value of HIDDEN per share in the Base Case projection. With shares currently trading at $100.88, this represents a potential HIDDEN relative to our calculated worth for The Brink's Company.

Intrinsic Value
Current Price: $100.88
3Y+31.0%
5Y+953.0%
10Y+587.0%
3Y+16.0%
5Y+43.0%
10Y+74.0%
3Y+17.0%
5Y+1148.0%
10Y+479.0%
3Y+33.0%
5Y+101.0%
10Y+282.0%
3Y+47.0%
5Y+119.0%
10Y+689.0%
3Y+15.0%
5Y+43.0%
10Y+268.0%
The Brink's Company

The Brink's Company Profit Bridge

BCO ยท NYSE
Revenue5.26B
Cost of Goods Sold (3.90B)
Gross Profit1.36B
Operating Expenses (762.40M)
Operating Income595.60M
Interest Expense (245.50M)
Other Income/Expense-241.70M
Pretax Income353.90M
Income Tax (143.30M)
Net Income199.70M
Net Income
199.70M

Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin

25.8%

Moderate margins typical of competitive industries. Monitor for pricing pressure or rising costs.

Operating Margin

11.3%

Acceptable margins but limited operational leverage. Operating expense control is important.

Net Profit Margin

3.8%

Minimal profitability after all expenses. Limited financial flexibility for reinvestment or shareholder returns.

Effective Tax Rate

40.5%

Higher tax burden may reflect limited tax optimization or operations in high-tax jurisdictions.

Profitability Insight

Room for improvement: Moderate profitability with opportunities to enhance margins through better cost management or pricing strategy.

25.81%
Gross Profit Margin
2%
3Y+9.0%
5Y+17.0%
10Y+31.0%
11.32%
Operating Profit Margin
25%
3Y+42.0%
5Y+96.0%
10Y+137.0%
3.80%
Net Profit Margin
17%
3Y+1.0%
5Y+776.0%
10Y+232.0%
71.91%
Return on Equity
-18%
3Y+88.0%
5Y+479.0%
10Y+603.0%
2.72%
Return on Assets
11%
3Y+2.0%
5Y+773.0%
10Y+57.0%
6.29%
Return on Invested Capital
8%
3Y+4.0%
5Y+314.0%
10Y+68.0%
BCO

The Brink's Company Cash Conversion Engine

BCO ยท NYSE
Net Income210.20M
Depreciation & Amortization290.80M
Stock-Based Compensation26.00M
Change in Working Capital57.90M
Others33.30M
Capital Expenditures-203.10M
Free Cash Flow436.40M

Cash Flow Quality Analysis

FCF Conversion Rate

207.6%

Excellent cash generation. The company converts earnings to cash at or above 100%, indicating high-quality earnings.

CapEx Intensity

31.8%

Moderate capital requirements typical of many stable businesses. Healthy balance between reinvestment and cash generation.

FCF Growth Trend

+114.4%

Strong FCF growth demonstrates improving cash generation and business momentum. Positive signal for sustainability.

Working Capital Impact

+$57.90M

Working capital inflow boosted cash flow. Efficient management of receivables, inventory, and payables contributing positively.

Cash Flow Quality Insight

Exceptional cash generation: High-quality earnings converting to growing free cash flow. The company demonstrates strong pricing power, efficient operations, and disciplined capital allocation.

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The Brink's Company Funding & Solvency Profile

BCO ยท NYSE
Cash & Cash Equivalents1.55B
Net Receivables833.30M
Inventory0.00
Other Current Assets894.30M
Total Current Assets3 B
Property, Plant & Equipment1.51B
Goodwill & Intangible Assets1.88B
Long-Term Investments0.00
Other Non-Current Assets374.30M
Total Non-Current Assets2 B
Total Assets
7.28B

Financial Health Analysis

Current Ratio

1.53x

Strong liquidity. The company has adequate resources to meet short-term liabilities.

Debt-to-Equity Ratio

17.51x

High financial leverage. Heavy reliance on debt may indicate increased financial risk and potential solvency concerns.

Working Capital

1 B

Strong working capital position provides significant operational flexibility and financial cushion.

Asset Composition

45% Current

Balanced asset mix between current and non-current assets, typical of many stable businesses.

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The Brink's Company Street Expectations Map

BCO ยท NYSE

Wall Street analysts project that BCO stock may rise significantly over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 163.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 163.00 to a high of 163.00.

Lowest Target
163.00
61.58%
Consensus Target
163.00
61.58%
Highest Target
163.00
61.58%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 163.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 163.00 to a high of 163.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

+61.6%

Substantial upside potential. Analysts see significant value gap, suggesting the stock may be materially undervalued at current levels.

Analyst Agreement

0.0% spread

High analyst agreement. Narrow target range indicates strong consensus on valuation, suggesting clear investment thesis and predictable outlook.

Analyst Conviction

Very High

Strong buy conviction: High upside with tight consensus suggests compelling investment opportunity backed by analyst confidence.

Market Sentiment Insight

Rare opportunity: Exceptional upside potential with strong analyst consensus creates a compelling setup. The combination of significant price target premium and tight agreement suggests high-conviction undervaluation that may attract institutional capital.

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The Brink's Company Insider Positioning

BCO ยท NYSE

During the last 12 months, insiders have sold $657K worth of BCO shares, with no buying activity reported.

3 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

3-6 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

1.4K

169.45K

Net Activity

-169K

-$169K

6-9 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

9-12 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

4.5K

487.21K

Net Activity

-487K

-$487K

Top Buyers

No buying activity

Top Sellers

1
SME

Sweeney Michael E

Officer: Controller

4.8K sharesโ€ข6 transactions

$523K

2
PAL

Parker Arthelbert Louis

Director

540 sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$62K

3
WKR

Wyche Keith R

Director

475 sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$50K

4
CDJ

Castillo Daniel J

Officer: Evp

192 sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$21K

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bearish

Strong bearish signal with $657K net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.

Buy/Sell Ratio

0.00:1

Very poor ratio. Heavy selling with minimal buying suggests insiders may be concerned about valuation or outlook.

Insider Participation

High Selling

4 insider sellers vs. 0 buyers. Widespread selling across multiple insiders may signal concerns.

0.25%
Dividend Yield
14%
3Y-17.0%
5Y+31.0%
10Y-29.0%
ย 

bco Dividend History

BCO
10Y CAGR +10%
Latest $0.255
Annual $1.275
5 year growth trend
Last Period: +0%