Eva C. Boratto
Thank you, and good morning, everyone. As Daniel emphasized, our path forward is anchored to the four pillars of our consumer-first formula: creating disruptive and innovative products, reigniting our brand, winning in the marketplace, and operating with speed and efficiency. To attract a new and younger consumer to the brand and unlock our next era of growth, we will invest behind our strategy as we also drive diligent cost discipline to fund the actions we're taking. Our team is already hard at work unlocking the targeted $250 million of additional cost savings over the next two years. While we are moving with pace, this strategy will take time to impact our financial performance. Now turning to the financials, I'll begin with a summary of the third quarter. I'll then provide an update on our Q4 guidance. As Daniel noted, the Q3 results didn't live up to the expectations we have for this brand. In Q3, we delivered net sales of $1.6 billion, down 1% to the prior year, and adjusted earnings per diluted share of $0.35, both below our expectations. Relative to our expectations, the Villains collection did not generate the consumer excitement, traffic, or sales that we expected. Our start to holiday in late October has been very challenging. I'll provide more color on that shortly. Versus prior year, all of our core categories declined low single digits. This underscores the need to focus investment in our core categories. In U.S. and Canadian stores, net sales totaled $1.2 billion, flat versus the prior year. Direct net sales were $299 million, a decrease of 7% compared to last year. When adjusted for Buy Online Pickup in Store, which is reported as store sales, digital net sales were down 1%, a sequential improvement from Q2 performance. While we continue to make progress on our app and mobile web enhancements, there is substantial work ahead to develop a best-in-class experience. International net sales were $73 million in the third quarter, an increase of 6% and in line with our expectations. International system-wide retail sales grew 16% in the quarter, a continued acceleration as the business has stabilized since the effects of the war in the Middle East. Our third quarter gross profit rate of 41.3% was below our expectations and decreased 220 basis points compared to the prior year, driven by a 260 basis point decrease in merch margin. Our merch margin was negatively impacted by approximately $35 million or roughly 200 basis points from tariffs. We increased our promotional activity to clear seasonal product as we ended the quarter with clean inventory. The merch margin decline was partially offset by D and O, driving 40 basis points of leverage, which benefited from the exit of a third-party fulfillment center in Q1. SG&A as a percentage of net sales was 31.2%, representing 120 basis points deleverage compared to the prior year. The deleverage was driven by soft sales performance, investments in new stores, and higher healthcare costs. In response to weaker sales, we acted quickly to flex costs down, such as store payroll and incentive compensation, which partially offset the deleverage. Bringing it all together, third quarter operating income was $161 million, down 26% to last year. Turning to real estate, our portfolio remains healthy with 59% of our fleet in off-mall locations. In the third quarter, we opened 40 new North American stores, primarily in off-mall locations, and permanently closed 10 stores, primarily in mall. Internationally, our partners opened 10 new stores and closed three stores during the quarter, and we ended the quarter with 544 stores. Our international store expansion plans for 2025 remain on track with at least 30 planned net new store openings. Moving to our Q4 guidance, the trends we experienced at the end of the third quarter have continued into the first few weeks of Q4, with sales to date down high single digits. Macro consumer sentiment is weighing heavily on our consumers' purchase intent. Recent data shows consumer confidence continued to decline due to a number of factors, including concerns about job loss and affordability. This dynamic negatively affected our start to the holiday season and our largest quarter. This impact is compounded by a highly competitive retail marketplace. Our research indicates that our customers are waiting for deeper discounts before making purchases. In this volatile environment, we are providing cautious guidance that assumes these early Q4 trends persist through the season. While we are taking action to strengthen our performance, with that as context, we expect Q4 sales to be down high single digits versus last year and gross profit rate to be approximately 44.5%, which includes the impacts of tariffs and higher promotional levels, which we believe are required to compete effectively. We expect our SG&A rate to be approximately 24%, reflecting top-line declines partially offset by disciplined cost management. We are aggressively managing cost while working closely with our teams to ensure that any reductions do not compromise the consumer experience. Moving down the P&L, we expect interest expense and other of approximately $60 million and a tax rate of approximately 25% and weighted average diluted shares outstanding of approximately 204 million. Considering these inputs, we are forecasting fourth quarter earnings per diluted share of at least $1.70. At this point, we believe this guidance represents a floor for Q4 performance, and we are working with urgency to improve upon it. For the full year, we are lowering our net sales guidance from 1.5% to 2.7% growth to a decline of low single digits and are lowering our adjusted earnings per diluted share guidance range from $3.35 to $3.60 to at least $2.87. You can find additional details of our guidance in our slide presentation. Now for an update on capital allocation. We are planning for capital expenditures of approximately $240 million during the year, down from previous guidance as we prioritized highest return projects. In the third quarter, capital expenditures totaled $81 million, bringing the year-to-date total to $174 million. Our full-year free cash flow expectation is now approximately $650 million, reflecting our current performance trend partially offset by our ongoing inventory management actions and reduction to capital expenditures. In Q3, we returned $41 million to shareholders through dividends and repurchased 3 million shares of common stock for $87 million at an average price of $29.25 per share. Year-to-date, we have returned $126 million to shareholders through dividends, and we have repurchased 11.5 million shares of common stock for $343 million. In closing, we are focused and moving with urgency against the actions we must take to return our brand to growth. On our Q4 earnings call, we will update you on our 2026 outlook and the strategic KPIs to measure our continued progress. I'd like to extend my gratitude to our teams across the company for their hard work. Let's now open it up for Q&A.