Barings BDC, Inc.

Barings BDC, Inc.

BBDCยทNYSE

$8.21

-6.3%
Financial ServicesFinancial - Credit Services

Barings BDC, Inc. (NYSE: BBDC) is a publicly traded, externally managed investment company that has elected to be treated as a business development company under the Investment Company Act of 1940. It seeks to invest primarily in senior secured loans, first lien debt, unitranche, second lien debt, subordinated debt, equity co-investments and senior secured private debt investments in private middle-market companies that operate across a wide range of industries. It specializes in mezzanine, leveraged buyouts, management buyouts, ESOPs, change of control transactions, acquisition financings, growth financing, and recapitalizations in lower middle market, mature, and later stage companies. It invests in manufacturing and distribution; business services and technology; transportation and logistics; consumer product and services. It invests in United States. It invests in companies with EBITDA of $10 million to $75 million, typically in private equity sponsor backed. Barings BDC, Inc. Barings BDC, Inc. was incorporated on October 10, 2006 and is based in Charlotte, North Carolina with an additional office in Raleigh, North Carolina.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$859.64M
EPS0.9700
P/E Ratio8.46
Earnings Date08/06/2026

Intrinsic Alpha Methodology

Thesis Lenses

Signal ยท Driver ยท Risk

Signal

High confidence

Valuation multiple is compressed (P/E 8.5).

Valuation inputs: P/E 8.5, earnings yield +11.8%, momentum -6.3%.

If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.

Driver

High confidence

Return profile is acceptable (ROE +8.8%, ROIC +7.9%).

Profitability stack: net margin +41.0%, ROE +8.8%, ROIC +7.9%.

Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.

Risk

High confidence

Downside profile looks controlled across current risk inputs.

Risk factors: liabilities/assets +56.0%, momentum -6.3%, net margin +41.0%.

Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.

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Barings BDC, Inc. Market vs Earnings Trajectory

BBDC ยท NYSE

Loading price and EPS data...

Barings BDC, Inc.

Barings BDC, Inc. Fair Value Envelope

BBDC ยท NYSE

Our analysis suggests that BBDC has a fair value of HIDDEN per share in the Base Case projection. With shares currently trading at $8.21, this represents a potential HIDDEN relative to our calculated worth for Barings BDC, Inc..

Intrinsic Value
Current Price: $8.21
3Y+2032.0%
5Y+471.0%
10Y+3.0%
3Y+14.0%
5Y+573.0%
10Y+119.0%
3Y+2077.0%
5Y+1146.0%
10Y+198.0%
3Y+86.0%
5Y-174.0%
10Y-794.0%
3Y+86.0%
5Y-174.0%
10Y-792.0%
3Y-3.0%
5Y+57.0%
10Y+127.0%
Barings BDC, Inc.

Barings BDC, Inc. Profit Bridge

BBDC ยท NYSE
Revenue248.84M
Cost of Goods Sold (64.70M)
Gross Profit184.14M
Operating Expenses (-27.82M)
Operating Income211.96M
Interest Expense (85.08M)
Other Income/Expense-106.16M
Pretax Income105.81M
Income Tax (3.88M)
Net Income101.92M
Net Income
101.92M

Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin

74.0%

Exceptional pricing power and cost management. The company retains over half of revenue after direct costs.

Operating Margin

85.2%

Outstanding operational efficiency. The company generates substantial profit from core operations.

Net Profit Margin

41.0%

Exceptional profitability. The company converts a significant portion of revenue to bottom-line earnings.

Effective Tax Rate

3.7%

Below-average tax rate suggests effective tax planning, favorable jurisdictions, or tax credits.

Profitability Insight

Exceptional profitability across all levels: Strong pricing power, efficient operations, and healthy bottom line indicate a high-quality business with sustainable competitive advantages.

74.00%
Gross Profit Margin
25%
3Y-26.0%
5Y+59.0%
10Y-26.0%
85.18%
Operating Profit Margin
57%
3Y+8.0%
5Y+283.0%
10Y+5.0%
40.96%
Net Profit Margin
-22%
3Y+1817.0%
5Y+85.0%
10Y+36.0%
8.78%
Return on Equity
-5%
3Y+2137.0%
5Y+671.0%
10Y+57.0%
3.87%
Return on Assets
-6%
3Y+2139.0%
5Y+693.0%
10Y+31.0%
7.87%
Return on Invested Capital
90%
3Y+58.0%
5Y+1505.0%
10Y+10174.0%
BBDC

Barings BDC, Inc. Cash Conversion Engine

BBDC ยท NYSE
Net Income117.84M
Depreciation & Amortization-47.30M
Stock-Based Compensation0.00
Change in Working Capital3.25M
Others86.75M
Capital Expenditures0.00
Free Cash Flow160.54M

Cash Flow Quality Analysis

FCF Conversion Rate

136.2%

Excellent cash generation. The company converts earnings to cash at or above 100%, indicating high-quality earnings.

FCF Growth Trend

+36.2%

Strong FCF growth demonstrates improving cash generation and business momentum. Positive signal for sustainability.

Working Capital Impact

+$3.25M

Working capital inflow boosted cash flow. Efficient management of receivables, inventory, and payables contributing positively.

Cash Flow Quality Insight

Exceptional cash generation: High-quality earnings converting to growing free cash flow. The company demonstrates strong pricing power, efficient operations, and disciplined capital allocation.

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Barings BDC, Inc. Funding & Solvency Profile

BBDC ยท NYSE
Cash & Cash Equivalents0.00
Net Receivables36.78M
Inventory0.00
Other Current Assets0.00
Total Current Assets37 M
Property, Plant & Equipment0.00
Goodwill & Intangible Assets0.00
Long-Term Investments0.00
Other Non-Current Assets0.00
Total Non-Current Assets0
Total Assets
2.60B

Financial Health Analysis

Debt-to-Equity Ratio

1.25x

Elevated leverage. Debt exceeds equity, which amplifies both gains and risks. Monitor debt servicing ability.

Working Capital

37 M

Strong working capital position provides significant operational flexibility and financial cushion.

Asset Composition

1% Current

Capital-intensive business with significant long-term investments in property, equipment, or intangibles.

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Barings BDC, Inc. Street Expectations Map

BBDC ยท NYSE

Wall Street analysts project that BBDC stock may rise significantly over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 12.50, with estimates ranging from a low of 12.50 to a high of 12.50.

Lowest Target
12.50
52.25%
Consensus Target
12.50
52.25%
Highest Target
12.50
52.25%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 12.50, with estimates ranging from a low of 12.50 to a high of 12.50.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

+52.3%

Substantial upside potential. Analysts see significant value gap, suggesting the stock may be materially undervalued at current levels.

Analyst Agreement

0.0% spread

High analyst agreement. Narrow target range indicates strong consensus on valuation, suggesting clear investment thesis and predictable outlook.

Analyst Conviction

Very High

Strong buy conviction: High upside with tight consensus suggests compelling investment opportunity backed by analyst confidence.

Market Sentiment Insight

Rare opportunity: Exceptional upside potential with strong analyst consensus creates a compelling setup. The combination of significant price target premium and tight agreement suggests high-conviction undervaluation that may attract institutional capital.

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Barings BDC, Inc. Insider Positioning

BBDC ยท NYSE

During the last 12 months, insiders have purchased $168K worth of BBDC shares, with no selling activity reported.

3 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

3-6 Months

Bought

6.8K

60.64K

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+61K

+$61K

6-9 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

9-12 Months

Bought

12.1K

107.40K

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+107K

+$107K

Top Buyers

1
BSR

Byers Stephen R

Director

15.5K sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$138K

2
MEA

Murray Elizabeth A.

Officer: Cfo And Coo And Pao

3.4K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$30K

Top Sellers

No selling activity

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bullish

Strong bullish signal with $168K net buying. Insiders are aggressively accumulating shares, suggesting significant confidence in future prospects.

Buy/Sell Ratio

โˆž:1

Perfect buy/sell ratio. Only buying activity with zero sellingโ€”the most bullish possible insider signal.

Insider Participation

High Buying

2 insider buyers vs. 0 sellers. Broad-based buying across management team suggests widespread confidence.

Insider Activity Insight

Compelling insider conviction: The combination of strong buy/sell ratio and multiple buyers suggests insiders see attractive risk/reward. Consider this alongside fundamental analysis for confirmation.

0.68%
Dividend Yield
-76%
3Y-78.0%
5Y-64.0%
10Y-69.0%
ย 

bbdc Dividend History

BBDC
10Y CAGR 7%
Latest $0.26
Annual $1.5
Stable dividend payments
Last Period: +0%