Amentum Holdings, Inc.
$23.16
+0.89%Amentum Holdings, Inc. provides mission-critical, technology-driven services in government and commercial markets. It operates through two operating segments: Critical Mission Solutions and Cyber & Intelligence. The Critical Mission Solutions segment provides test, training, and operations services for missile defense systems, IT and engineering services to defense clients and the space sector, technological solutions, including installations, decommissioning, and environmental remediation to energy clients, and other highly technical consulting solutions. The Cyber & Intelligence segment provides advanced cyber training and data analytics for government professionals, advanced communication systems and aerial mapping technologies to national security clients, and other technical services for United States defense and intelligence clients. The company was founded on November 26, 2019 and is headquartered in Chantilly, VA.
At a Glance
Live SnapshotIntrinsic Alpha Methodology
Thesis Lenses
Signal
High confidenceValuation multiple is elevated (P/E 85.8).
Valuation inputs: P/E 85.8, earnings yield +1.2%, momentum +0.9%.
If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.
Driver
High confidenceReturn profile is soft (ROE +1.5%, ROIC +2.7%).
Profitability stack: net margin +0.5%, ROE +1.5%, ROIC +2.7%.
Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.
Risk
High confidenceRisk profile is balanced but has notable pressure points to monitor.
Risk factors: liabilities/assets +59.7%, momentum +0.9%, net margin +0.5%.
Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.
Amentum Holdings, Inc. Market vs Earnings Trajectory
Loading price and EPS data...
Amentum Holdings, Inc. Fair Value Envelope
Amentum Holdings, Inc. Profit Bridge
Profitability Analysis
Gross Margin
Thin margins leave little room for error. Cost management and pricing strategy are critical.
Operating Margin
Minimal operating profit suggests high operating costs or pricing challenges. Scalability is concerning.
Net Profit Margin
Minimal profitability after all expenses. Limited financial flexibility for reinvestment or shareholder returns.
Effective Tax Rate
Higher tax burden may reflect limited tax optimization or operations in high-tax jurisdictions.
Profitability Insight
Efficient profit conversion: Minimal margin compression from gross to net indicates lean operations and favorable tax/interest environment.
Amentum Holdings, Inc. Cash Conversion Engine
Cash Flow Quality Analysis
FCF Conversion Rate
Excellent cash generation. The company converts earnings to cash at or above 100%, indicating high-quality earnings.
CapEx Intensity
Asset-light business model. Low capital requirements leave more cash available for shareholders and growth investments.
FCF Growth Trend
Strong FCF growth demonstrates improving cash generation and business momentum. Positive signal for sustainability.
Working Capital Impact
Minimal working capital impact on FCF. Changes in operating assets and liabilities well-managed.
Cash Flow Quality Insight
Exceptional cash generation: High-quality earnings converting to growing free cash flow. The company demonstrates strong pricing power, efficient operations, and disciplined capital allocation.
Amentum Holdings, Inc. Funding & Solvency Profile
Financial Health Analysis
Current Ratio
Acceptable liquidity, but monitor closely. Current assets just barely cover current liabilities.
Debt-to-Equity Ratio
Elevated leverage. Debt exceeds equity, which amplifies both gains and risks. Monitor debt servicing ability.
Working Capital
Strong working capital position provides significant operational flexibility and financial cushion.
Asset Composition
Capital-intensive business with significant long-term investments in property, equipment, or intangibles.
Amentum Holdings, Inc. Street Expectations Map
Wall Street analysts project that AMTM stock may rise significantly over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 33.33, with estimates ranging from a low of 28.00 to a high of 37.00.
The consensus 1-year price target stands at 33.33, with estimates ranging from a low of 28.00 to a high of 37.00.
Analyst Consensus Analysis
Upside Potential
Substantial upside potential. Analysts see significant value gap, suggesting the stock may be materially undervalued at current levels.
Analyst Agreement
Good consensus alignment. Moderate target spread reflects general agreement on value drivers with some variance in assumptions.
Analyst Conviction
Strong buy conviction: High upside with tight consensus suggests compelling investment opportunity backed by analyst confidence.
Market Sentiment Insight
Rare opportunity: Exceptional upside potential with strong analyst consensus creates a compelling setup. The combination of significant price target premium and tight agreement suggests high-conviction undervaluation that may attract institutional capital.
Amentum Holdings, Inc. Insider Positioning
During the last 12 months, there has been no insider trading activity reported for AMTM.
3 Months
0
0.00
0
0.00
+0
+$0
3-6 Months
0
0.00
0
0.00
+0
+$0
6-9 Months
0
0.00
0
0.00
+0
+$0
9-12 Months
0
0.00
0
0.00
+0
+$0
Top Buyers
No buying activity
Top Sellers
No selling activity
Insider Activity Analysis
Net Insider Sentiment
No insider trading activity reported. This could indicate blackout periods, lack of conviction, or regulatory restrictions.
Insider Participation
No insider trading activity reported from any insiders in the past year.
No Dividend Yield Data
AMTM has not reported any dividend yield values in the available annual periods.
amtm Dividend History
Learning Layer
Related Guides
Build conviction on AMTM by pairing this stock hub with focused valuation guides.
Research Paths
Snapshot
Start with context, operating signals, and key market metrics.
Value Model
Stress test fair value across bear, base, and bull assumptions.
Statements
Validate revenue quality, margins, and balance sheet durability.
Earnings Call
Read management commentary and compare it with reported outcomes.
Dividends
Check payout sustainability and long-term distribution behavior.
Analyst Expectations
Review consensus spread and where estimate risk is concentrated.