Ambiq Micro, Inc.
$82.80
+7.0%Ambiq Micro, Inc. develops ultra-low-power integrated circuits for power-sensitive applications. It develops subthreshold power-optimized technology based on ultra-low-power real-time clock and microcontroller products for application in wearables, smart cards, wireless sensors, and Internet-of-Things (IoT) products. The company's flagship products include Apollo, a system on a chip for edge AI devices with host processors capable of software-based AI computations and Atomiq, targeting AI applications to provide AI acceleration along with new memory innovations. The company also offers technical support services. It offers products through sales representatives. Ambiq Micro, Inc. was formerly known as Cubiq Microchip, Inc. and changed its name to Ambiq Micro, Inc. in October 2012. The company was incorporated in 2010 and is based in Austin, Texas with additional offices in Shanghai and Shenzhen, China; Hsinchu, Taiwan; and Singapore.
At a Glance
Live SnapshotIntrinsic Alpha Methodology
Thesis Lenses
Signal
Medium confidenceValuation multiple is compressed (P/E -18.1).
Valuation inputs: P/E -18.1, earnings yield N/A, momentum +7.0%.
If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.
Driver
High confidenceReturn profile is soft (ROE -22.4%, ROIC -24.8%).
Profitability stack: net margin -50.3%, ROE -22.4%, ROIC -24.8%.
Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.
Risk
High confidenceRisk profile is balanced but has notable pressure points to monitor.
Risk factors: liabilities/assets +12.0%, momentum +7.0%, net margin -50.3%.
Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.
Ambiq Micro, Inc. Market vs Earnings Trajectory
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Ambiq Micro, Inc. Fair Value Envelope
Ambiq Micro, Inc. Profit Bridge
Profitability Analysis
Gross Margin
Strong gross margins indicate healthy pricing and efficient production or service delivery.
Operating Margin
Operating losses indicate the core business is unprofitable. Requires restructuring or revenue growth.
Net Profit Margin
Net losses indicate the company is burning cash. Sustainability depends on path to profitability.
Profitability Insight
Margin squeeze alert: Healthy gross margins but weak operating margins suggest excessive operating expenses. Cost optimization could unlock significant value.
Ambiq Micro, Inc. Cash Conversion Engine
Cash Flow Quality Analysis
FCF Conversion Rate
Weak cash conversion. Significant portion of earnings not converting to cash—review working capital trends and capital intensity.
CapEx Intensity
Asset-light business model. Low capital requirements leave more cash available for shareholders and growth investments.
FCF Growth Trend
Strong FCF growth demonstrates improving cash generation and business momentum. Positive signal for sustainability.
Working Capital Impact
Working capital inflow boosted cash flow. Efficient management of receivables, inventory, and payables contributing positively.
Ambiq Micro, Inc. Funding & Solvency Profile
Financial Health Analysis
Current Ratio
Excellent liquidity position. The company can easily cover its short-term obligations with substantial cushion.
Debt-to-Equity Ratio
Conservative capital structure. The company relies primarily on equity financing, indicating low financial risk.
Working Capital
Strong working capital position provides significant operational flexibility and financial cushion.
Asset Composition
Asset-light business model with high liquidity. Majority of assets are easily convertible to cash.
Financial Health Insight
Strong financial foundation: Excellent liquidity combined with conservative leverage suggests the company is well-positioned to weather economic uncertainties and fund growth opportunities.
Ambiq Micro, Inc. Street Expectations Map
Wall Street analysts project that AMBQ stock may decline over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 49.67, with estimates ranging from a low of 35.00 to a high of 70.00.
The consensus 1-year price target stands at 49.67, with estimates ranging from a low of 35.00 to a high of 70.00.
Analyst Consensus Analysis
Upside Potential
Significant downside risk. Stock trading well above analyst consensus suggests elevated valuation concerns and potential correction.
Analyst Agreement
High uncertainty. Very wide target spread indicates significant disagreement among analysts—major valuation uncertainty or transformation underway.
Risk-Reward Profile
Unfavorable risk-reward. Downside risk exceeds upside potential. Consider defensive positioning or alternative opportunities.
Analyst Conviction
High uncertainty: Wide dispersion indicates analysts struggle to agree on valuation—proceed with caution and independent analysis.
Market Sentiment Insight
Extreme uncertainty: Massive dispersion in price targets reflects fundamental disagreement on business trajectory. This could signal transformation, disruption, or complex valuation—requires deep sector expertise and contrarian mindset.
Ambiq Micro, Inc. Insider Positioning
During the last 12 months, insiders have sold $4.15M worth of AMBQ shares, with no buying activity reported.
3 Months
0
0.00
49.0K
3.60M
-3.6M
-$3.60M
3-6 Months
0
0.00
17.8K
551.80K
-552K
-$552K
6-9 Months
0
0.00
0
0.00
+0
+$0
9-12 Months
0
0.00
0
0.00
+0
+$0
Top Buyers
No buying activity
Top Sellers
Winzeler Jeffrey G
Officer: Chief Financial Officer
$1.81M
Chen Timothy
Director
$1.77M
Hanson Scott Mclean
Director, Officer: Chief Technology Officer
$310K
Tautges Joseph A
Director
$242K
Connors Michele Kim
Officer: General Counsel
$17K
Insider Activity Analysis
Net Insider Sentiment
Strong bearish signal with $4.15M net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.
Buy/Sell Ratio
Very poor ratio. Heavy selling with minimal buying suggests insiders may be concerned about valuation or outlook.
Recent Trend (3 Months)
Heavy recent selling activity. Recent insider sales notably exceed purchases—may warrant investigation into company developments.
Insider Participation
5 insider sellers vs. 0 buyers. Widespread selling across multiple insiders may signal concerns.
Insider Activity Insight
Multiple red flags: Heavy selling, numerous sellers, and continued recent selling create a concerning pattern. Investigate fundamental drivers and consider whether company guidance or industry conditions have deteriorated.
No Dividend Yield Data
AMBQ has not reported any dividend yield values in the available annual periods.
ambq Dividend History
Learning Layer
Related Guides
Build conviction on AMBQ by pairing this stock hub with focused valuation guides.
Research Paths
Snapshot
Start with context, operating signals, and key market metrics.
Value Model
Stress test fair value across bear, base, and bull assumptions.
Statements
Validate revenue quality, margins, and balance sheet durability.
Earnings Call
Read management commentary and compare it with reported outcomes.
Dividends
Check payout sustainability and long-term distribution behavior.
Analyst Expectations
Review consensus spread and where estimate risk is concentrated.