AMBP - NYSE

Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A.

Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A.

AMBPยทNYSE

$3.98

-2.0%
Consumer CyclicalPackaging & Containers

Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. supplies metal beverage cans in Europe, the United States, and Brazil. Its products are used in various end-use categories, including beer, carbonated soft drinks, energy drinks, hard seltzers, juices, pre-mixed cocktails, teas, sparkling waters, and wine. The company serves beverage producers. The company is based in Luxembourg, Luxembourg. Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. is a subsidiary of Ardagh Group S.A.

StatementsValue Model

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$2.38B
EPS-0.0184
P/E Ratio-216.30
Earnings Date07/23/2026
Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A.

Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. Fair Value Envelope

AMBP ยท NYSE

Our analysis suggests that AMBP has a fair value of HIDDEN per share in the Base Case projection. With shares currently trading at $3.98, this represents a potential HIDDEN relative to our calculated worth for Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A..

HIDDEN
Intrinsic Value
Current Price: $3.98

Owner Earnings Valuation Tool

Warren Buffett's Owner Earnings DCF analysis for intrinsic value calculation

Historical Financial Data

Base year metrics used for projections

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Projection Settings

Forecast period and terminal assumptions

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DCF Valuation Summary

Calculation flow from present value to intrinsic value per share

Present Value$6.4B
+ Cash & Equivalents$522.0M
Firm Value$6.9B
- Debt$4.4B
Equity Value$2.5B
/ Shares Outstanding597,700,000B
DCF Value$4
UNDERVALUED BY 4%

Owner Earnings Projections

Operating Cash Flow - Maintenance CapEx = Owner Earnings

Metric
Year 1
Year 2
Year 3
Year 4
Year 5
Year 6
Year 7
Year 8
Year 9
Year 10
Operating Cash Flow
$452.4M
$455.9M
$459.3M
$462.8M
$466.3M
$469.9M
$473.5M
$477.1M
$480.7M
$484.3M
Maintenance CapEx
-$37.1M
-$37.4M
-$37.6M
-$37.9M
-$38.2M
-$38.5M
-$38.8M
-$39.1M
-$39.4M
-$39.7M
Owner Earnings
$415.3M
$418.5M
$421.7M
$424.9M
$428.1M
$431.4M
$434.6M
$438.0M
$441.3M
$444.6M
Discount Factor
0.926
0.857
0.794
0.735
0.681
0.630
0.583
0.540
0.500
0.463
Present Value
$384.6M
$358.8M
$334.7M
$312.3M
$291.4M
$271.8M
$253.6M
$236.6M
$220.8M
$206.0M
Terminal Value represents 54.9% of Enterprise Value

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