AAR Corp.

AAR Corp.

AIRยทNYSE

$111.49

+1.9%
IndustrialsAerospace & Defense

AAR Corp. provides products and services to commercial aviation, government, and defense markets worldwide. The Aviation Services segment offers aftermarket support and services; inventory management and distribution services; and maintenance, repair, and overhaul, as well as engineering services. This segment also sells and leases new, overhauled, and repaired engine and airframe parts, and components; and provides inventory and repair programs, warranty claim management, and outsourcing programs for engine and airframe parts and components, as well as performance-based supply chain logistics programs in support of the U.S. department of defense and foreign governments. In addition, it offers airframe inspection, maintenance, repair and overhaul, painting, line maintenance, airframe modification, structural repair, avionic and installation, exterior and interior refurbishment, and engineering and support services; and repairs and overhauls components, landing gears, wheels, and brakes. The Expeditionary Services segment provides products and services supporting the movement of equipment and personnel by the U.S. and foreign governments, and non-governmental organizations. This segment also designs, manufactures, and repairs transportation pallets, and various containers and shelters; and provides engineering, design, and system integration services for command and control systems. The company serves domestic and foreign passenger airlines; domestic and foreign cargo airlines; regional and commuter airlines; business and general aviation operators; original equipment manufacturers; aircraft leasing companies; aftermarket aviation support companies; and domestic and foreign military customers. It primarily markets and sells products and services through its employees and foreign sales representatives. AAR Corp. was founded in 1951 and is headquartered in Wood Dale, Illinois.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$4.43B
EPS0.3500
P/E Ratio318.54
Earnings Date07/15/2026
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AAR Corp. Street Expectations Map

AIR ยท NYSE

Wall Street analysts project that AIR stock may experience modest gains over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 120.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 105.00 to a high of 135.00.

Lowest Target
105.00
-5.82%
Consensus Target
120.00
7.63%
Highest Target
135.00
21.09%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 120.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 105.00 to a high of 135.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

+7.6%

Moderate upside. Analysts expect positive returns but with limited margin of safety. Consider entry timing.

Analyst Agreement

25.0% spread

Good consensus alignment. Moderate target spread reflects general agreement on value drivers with some variance in assumptions.

Risk-Reward Profile

3.62x

Favorable risk-reward. Potential upside significantly exceeds downside risk, offering asymmetric return profile attractive for risk-tolerant investors.

Analyst Conviction

High

Positive outlook with reasonable agreement. Analysts generally optimistic about prospects with manageable uncertainty.

Market Sentiment Insight

Monitor and evaluate: Current analyst consensus suggests limited conviction or near-term catalysts. Stay informed on company developments and reassess positioning as new information emerges.

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AAR Corp. Forward Estimates of Revenue

AIR ยท NYSE
Latest Revenue
2.78B
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
3.27B
FY 2026
Estimate Range
3.25B - 3.30B
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+17.7%

Solid growth trajectory indicates healthy business performance and competitive positioning.

Analyst Coverage5 Analysts

Moderate coverageโ€”sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.

Estimate Spread2%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookStrong

Positive analyst consensus with strong growth expectations and forecast confidence.

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AAR Corp. Forward Estimates of Net Income

AIR ยท NYSE
Latest Net Income
12.50M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
184.00M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
166.64M - 186.42M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+1372.0%

Strong growth expectations signal robust business momentum and market opportunity expansion.

Analyst Coverage5 Analysts

Moderate coverageโ€”sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.

Estimate Spread11%

Reasonable estimate spread indicates general agreement with normal forecast variance.

OutlookStrong

Positive analyst consensus with strong growth expectations and forecast confidence.

Key Insight

Compelling growth story with analyst consensus: Strong projected growth combined with narrow estimate spread suggests high-conviction opportunity.

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AAR Corp. Forward Estimates of EPS

AIR ยท NYSE
Latest EPS
0.35
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
$4.90
FY 2026
Estimate Range
$4.65 - $5.21
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+1300.4%

Strong growth expectations signal robust business momentum and market opportunity expansion.

Analyst Coverage4 Analysts

Limited coverage may indicate reduced institutional interest or information availability.

Estimate Spread11%

Reasonable estimate spread indicates general agreement with normal forecast variance.

OutlookStrong

Positive analyst consensus with strong growth expectations and forecast confidence.

Key Insight

Compelling growth story with analyst consensus: Strong projected growth combined with narrow estimate spread suggests high-conviction opportunity.

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AAR Corp. Forward Estimates of EBIT

AIR ยท NYSE
Latest EBIT
114.30M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
153.93M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
152.83M - 155.35M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+34.7%

Strong growth expectations signal robust business momentum and market opportunity expansion.

Analyst Coverage5 Analysts

Moderate coverageโ€”sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.

Estimate Spread2%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookStrong

Positive analyst consensus with strong growth expectations and forecast confidence.

Key Insight

Compelling growth story with analyst consensus: Strong projected growth combined with narrow estimate spread suggests high-conviction opportunity.

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AAR Corp. Forward Estimates of EBITDA

AIR ยท NYSE
Latest EBITDA
169.50M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
214.00M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
212.47M - 215.98M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+26.3%

Strong growth expectations signal robust business momentum and market opportunity expansion.

Analyst Coverage5 Analysts

Moderate coverageโ€”sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.

Estimate Spread2%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookStrong

Positive analyst consensus with strong growth expectations and forecast confidence.

Key Insight

Compelling growth story with analyst consensus: Strong projected growth combined with narrow estimate spread suggests high-conviction opportunity.

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AAR Corp. Forward Estimates of SG&A Expense

AIR ยท NYSE
Latest SG&A Expense
347.70M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
381.61M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
378.89M - 385.13M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+9.8%

Moderate growth expected, typical for mature businesses with stable market positions.

Analyst Coverage5 Analysts

Moderate coverageโ€”sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.

Estimate Spread2%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookPositive

Generally favorable outlook with reasonable growth prospects and analyst support.

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AAR Corp. Insider Positioning

AIR ยท NYSE

During the last 12 months, insiders have sold $28.22M worth of AIR shares, with no buying activity reported.

3 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

87.7K

9.74M

Net Activity

-9.7M

-$9.74M

3-6 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

111.5K

10.82M

Net Activity

-10.8M

-$10.82M

6-9 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

38.5K

3.21M

Net Activity

-3.2M

-$3.21M

9-12 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

58.4K

4.45M

Net Activity

-4.4M

-$4.45M

Top Buyers

No buying activity

Top Sellers

1
HJMI

Holmes John Mcclain Iii

Director, Officer: Chairman, President & Ceo

249.8K sharesโ€ข11 transactions

$23.91M

2
FSL

Flanagan Sarah Louise

Officer: Interim Cfo Vp Fin Ops

10.8K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$1.17M

3
JCA

Jessup Christopher A.

Officer: Senior Vice President-Cco

9.0K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$871K

4
GJA

Garascia Jessica A.

Officer: Senior Vp, Gc, Cao & Secretary

7.8K sharesโ€ข3 transactions

$764K

5
PE

Pachapa Eric

Officer: Vp-Cao & Controller

8.1K sharesโ€ข3 transactions

$636K

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bearish

Strong bearish signal with $28.22M net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.

Buy/Sell Ratio

0.00:1

Very poor ratio. Heavy selling with minimal buying suggests insiders may be concerned about valuation or outlook.

Recent Trend (3 Months)

$9.74M

Heavy recent selling activity. Recent insider sales notably exceed purchasesโ€”may warrant investigation into company developments.

Insider Participation

High Selling

5 insider sellers vs. 0 buyers. Widespread selling across multiple insiders may signal concerns.

Insider Activity Insight

Multiple red flags: Heavy selling, numerous sellers, and continued recent selling create a concerning pattern. Investigate fundamental drivers and consider whether company guidance or industry conditions have deteriorated.