Arcosa, Inc.

Arcosa, Inc.

ACAยทNYSE

$123.80

+0.38%
IndustrialsIndustrial - Infrastructure Operations

Arcosa, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides infrastructure-related products and solutions for the construction, energy, and transportation markets in North America. It operates through three segments: Construction Products, Engineered Structures, and Transportation Products. The Construction Products segment offers natural and recycled aggregates; specialty materials; and trench shields and shoring products for residential and non-residential construction, agriculture, specialty building products, as well as for infrastructure related projects. The Engineered Structures segment provides utility structures, wind towers, traffic and lighting structures, telecommunication structures, storage and distribution tanks for electricity transmission and distribution, wind power generation, highway road construction, and wireless communication markets, as well as for gas and liquids storage and transportation for residential, commercial, energy, agriculture, and industrial markets. The Transportation Products segment offers inland barges; fiberglass barge covers, winches, and other components; cast components for industrial and mining sectors; and axles, circular forgings, coupling devices for freight, tank, locomotive, and passenger rail transportation equipment, as well as other industrial uses. Arcosa, Inc. was incorporated in 2018 and is headquartered in Dallas, Texas.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$6.08B
EPS4.2500
P/E Ratio29.13
Earnings Date08/06/2026

Intrinsic Alpha Methodology

Thesis Lenses

Signal ยท Driver ยท Risk

Signal

High confidence

Valuation multiple is elevated (P/E 29.1).

Valuation inputs: P/E 29.1, earnings yield +3.4%, momentum +0.4%.

If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.

Driver

High confidence

Return profile is soft (ROE +8.0%, ROIC +6.7%).

Profitability stack: net margin +7.2%, ROE +8.0%, ROIC +6.7%.

Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.

Risk

High confidence

Risk profile is balanced but has notable pressure points to monitor.

Risk factors: liabilities/assets +46.2%, momentum +0.4%, net margin +7.2%.

Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.

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Arcosa, Inc. Market vs Earnings Trajectory

ACA ยท NYSE

Loading price and EPS data...

Arcosa, Inc.

Arcosa, Inc. Fair Value Envelope

ACA ยท NYSE

Our analysis suggests that ACA has a fair value of HIDDEN per share in the Base Case projection. With shares currently trading at $123.8, this represents a potential HIDDEN relative to our calculated worth for Arcosa, Inc..

Intrinsic Value
Current Price: $123.8
3Y-16.0%
5Y+93.0%
10Y+69.0%
3Y+29.0%
5Y+49.0%
10Y+69.0%
3Y-15.0%
5Y+95.0%
10Y+69.0%
3Y+96.0%
5Y+31.0%
10Y+50.0%
3Y+383.0%
5Y-1.0%
10Y+23.0%
3Y+46.0%
5Y+84.0%
10Y+219.0%
Arcosa, Inc.

Arcosa, Inc. Profit Bridge

ACA ยท NYSE
Revenue2.88B
Cost of Goods Sold (2.24B)
Gross Profit647.20M
Operating Expenses (307.10M)
Operating Income340.10M
Interest Expense (108.80M)
Other Income/Expense-98.80M
Pretax Income241.30M
Income Tax (32.90M)
Net Income208.40M
Net Income
208.40M

Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin

22.4%

Moderate margins typical of competitive industries. Monitor for pricing pressure or rising costs.

Operating Margin

11.8%

Acceptable margins but limited operational leverage. Operating expense control is important.

Net Profit Margin

7.2%

Moderate profitability with room for improvement. Monitor interest expenses and tax efficiency.

Effective Tax Rate

13.6%

Below-average tax rate suggests effective tax planning, favorable jurisdictions, or tax credits.

Profitability Insight

Efficient profit conversion: Minimal margin compression from gross to net indicates lean operations and favorable tax/interest environment.

22.45%
Gross Profit Margin
12%
3Y+22.0%
5Y+14.0%
10Y+10.0%
11.80%
Operating Profit Margin
53%
3Y-24.0%
5Y+50.0%
10Y-
7.23%
Net Profit Margin
98%
3Y-34.0%
5Y+31.0%
10Y-
7.95%
Return on Equity
106%
3Y-29.0%
5Y+41.0%
10Y-13.0%
4.28%
Return on Assets
124%
3Y-42.0%
5Y+6.0%
10Y-47.0%
6.71%
Return on Invested Capital
108%
3Y-26.0%
5Y+34.0%
10Y-27.0%
ACA

Arcosa, Inc. Cash Conversion Engine

ACA ยท NYSE
Net Income208.40M
Depreciation & Amortization223.00M
Stock-Based Compensation26.40M
Change in Working Capital-154.20M
Others11.50M
Capital Expenditures-165.60M
Free Cash Flow175.50M

Cash Flow Quality Analysis

FCF Conversion Rate

84.2%

Strong cash conversion. Most reported earnings translate into actual cash flow, suggesting solid fundamentals.

CapEx Intensity

48.5%

Capital-intensive operations require significant reinvestment. Monitor whether CapEx is maintenance or growth-oriented.

FCF Growth Trend

-43.8%

Significant FCF decline raises concerns. Urgent review needed of operational performance and capital allocation.

Working Capital Impact

-$154.20M

Significant working capital drain. Growth may be consuming cash through inventory buildup or receivables extensionโ€”monitor closely.

Cash Flow Quality Insight

Working capital strain: Significant cash tied up in operations. Monitor receivables collection, inventory turns, and payment terms to optimize cash conversion cycle.

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Arcosa, Inc. Funding & Solvency Profile

ACA ยท NYSE
Cash & Cash Equivalents153.20M
Net Receivables413.90M
Inventory350.00M
Other Current Assets216.30M
Total Current Assets1 B
Property, Plant & Equipment2.10B
Goodwill & Intangible Assets1.65B
Long-Term Investments0.00
Other Non-Current Assets0.00
Total Non-Current Assets2 B
Total Assets
4.89B

Financial Health Analysis

Current Ratio

2.31x

Excellent liquidity position. The company can easily cover its short-term obligations with substantial cushion.

Debt-to-Equity Ratio

0.86x

Balanced capital structure with moderate leverage. Equity exceeds debt, suggesting healthy financial stability.

Working Capital

644 M

Strong working capital position provides significant operational flexibility and financial cushion.

Asset Composition

23% Current

Capital-intensive business with significant long-term investments in property, equipment, or intangibles.

Financial Health Insight

Strong financial foundation: Excellent liquidity combined with conservative leverage suggests the company is well-positioned to weather economic uncertainties and fund growth opportunities.

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Arcosa, Inc. Street Expectations Map

ACA ยท NYSE

Wall Street analysts project that ACA stock may rise significantly over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 140.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 140.00 to a high of 140.00.

Lowest Target
140.00
13.09%
Consensus Target
140.00
13.09%
Highest Target
140.00
13.09%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 140.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 140.00 to a high of 140.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

+13.1%

Moderate upside. Analysts expect positive returns but with limited margin of safety. Consider entry timing.

Analyst Agreement

0.0% spread

High analyst agreement. Narrow target range indicates strong consensus on valuation, suggesting clear investment thesis and predictable outlook.

Analyst Conviction

High

Positive outlook with reasonable agreement. Analysts generally optimistic about prospects with manageable uncertainty.

Market Sentiment Insight

Monitor and evaluate: Current analyst consensus suggests limited conviction or near-term catalysts. Stay informed on company developments and reassess positioning as new information emerges.

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Arcosa, Inc. Insider Positioning

ACA ยท NYSE

During the last 12 months, insiders have sold $1.52M worth of ACA shares, with no buying activity reported.

3 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

3-6 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

6-9 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

9-12 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

16.1K

1.52M

Net Activity

-1.5M

-$1.52M

Top Buyers

No buying activity

Top Sellers

1
CKS

Cole Kerry S

Officer: Group President

8.0K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$763K

2
SB

Stevenson Bryan

Officer: Clo & Asst Corp Sec.

4.0K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$396K

3
CJEJ

Collins Jesse E. Jr.

Officer: Group President

4.2K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$360K

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bearish

Strong bearish signal with $1.52M net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.

Buy/Sell Ratio

0.00:1

Very poor ratio. Heavy selling with minimal buying suggests insiders may be concerned about valuation or outlook.

Insider Participation

High Selling

3 insider sellers vs. 0 buyers. Widespread selling across multiple insiders may signal concerns.

0.05%
Dividend Yield
-4%
3Y-41.0%
5Y-40.0%
10Y-
ย 

aca Dividend History

ACA
10Y CAGR +0%
Latest $0.05
Annual $0.25
Stable dividend payments
Last Period: +0%