$186.92
-1.2%Asbury Automotive Group, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an automotive retailer in the United States. It offers a range of automotive products and services, including new and used vehicles; and vehicle repair and maintenance services, replacement parts, and collision repair services. The company also provides finance and insurance products, including arranging vehicle financing through third parties; and aftermarket products, such as extended service contracts, guaranteed asset protection debt cancellation, prepaid maintenance, and credit life and disability insurance. As of December 31, 2021, the company owned and operated 205 new vehicle franchises representing 31 brands of automobiles at 155 dealership locations; and 35 collision centers in the United States. Asbury Automotive Group, Inc. was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Duluth, Georgia.
Warren Buffett's Owner Earnings DCF analysis for intrinsic value calculation
Base year metrics used for projections
Forecast period and terminal assumptions
Calculation flow from present value to intrinsic value per share
Operating Cash Flow - Maintenance CapEx = Owner Earnings
| Metric | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | Year 6 | Year 7 | Year 8 | Year 9 | Year 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $1.2B | $2.0B | $3.1B | $5.0B | $7.9B | $12.6B | $19.9B | $31.7B | $50.3B | $80.0B |
| Maintenance CapEx | -$65.2M | -$103.6M | -$164.6M | -$261.4M | -$415.2M | -$659.5M | -$1.0B | -$1.7B | -$2.6B | -$4.2B |
| Owner Earnings | $1.2B | $1.9B | $3.0B | $4.7B | $7.5B | $11.9B | $18.9B | $30.0B | $47.7B | $75.8B |
| Discount Factor | 0.926 | 0.857 | 0.794 | 0.735 | 0.681 | 0.630 | 0.583 | 0.540 | 0.500 | 0.463 |
| Present Value | $1.1B | $1.6B | $2.4B | $3.5B | $5.1B | $7.5B | $11.0B | $16.2B | $23.9B | $35.1B |
Snapshot
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Value Model
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Statements
Validate revenue quality, margins, and balance sheet durability.
Earnings Call
Read management commentary and compare it with reported outcomes.
Dividends
Check payout sustainability and long-term distribution behavior.
Analyst Expectations
Review consensus spread and where estimate risk is concentrated.