Wynn Resorts, Limited

Wynn Resorts, Limited

WYNNยทNASDAQ

$104.95

+0.32%
Consumer CyclicalGambling, Resorts & Casinos

Wynn Resorts, Limited designs, develops, and operates integrated resorts. Its Wynn Palace segment operates 424,000 square feet of casino space with 323 table games, 1,035 slot machines, private gaming salons, and sky casinos; a luxury hotel tower with 1,706 guest rooms, suites, and villas, including a health club, spa, salon, and pool; 14 food and beverage outlets; 107,000 square feet of retail space; 37,000 square feet of meeting and convention space; and performance lake and floral art displays. Its Wynn Macau segment operates 252,000 square feet of casino space with 331 table games, 818 slot machines, private gaming salons, sky casinos, and a poker room; two luxury hotel towers with 1,010 guest rooms and suites that include two health clubs, two spas, a salon, and a pool; 14 food and beverage outlets; 59,000 square feet of retail space; 31,000 square feet of meeting and convention space; and Chinese zodiac-inspired ceiling attractions. Its Las Vegas Operations segment operates 194,000 square feet of casino space with 223 table games, 1,751 slot machines, private gaming salons, a sky casino, a poker room, and a race and sports book; two luxury hotel towers with 4,748 guest rooms, suites, and villas, including swimming pools, private cabanas, two full service spas and salons, and a wedding chapel; 32 food and beverage outlets; 513,000 square feet of meeting and convention space; 155,000 square feet of retail space; and two theaters, three nightclubs and a beach club. Its Encore Boston Harbor segment operates 211,000 square feet of casino space with 184 table games, 2,766 slot machines, gaming areas, and a poker room; a luxury hotel tower with 671 guest rooms and suites, including a spa and salon; 15 food and beverage outlets and a nightclub; 10,000 square feet of retail space; 71,000 square feet of meeting and convention space; and a waterfront park, floral displays, and water shuttle service. The company was founded in 2002 and is based in Las Vegas, Nevada.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$10.89B
EPS3.1600
P/E Ratio33.21
Earnings Date08/06/2026

Intrinsic Alpha Methodology

Thesis Lenses

Signal ยท Driver ยท Risk

Signal

High confidence

Valuation multiple is elevated (P/E 33.2).

Valuation inputs: P/E 33.2, earnings yield +3.0%, momentum +0.3%.

If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.

Driver

High confidence

Return profile is soft (ROE -1.2%, ROIC +7.7%).

Profitability stack: net margin +4.6%, ROE -1.2%, ROIC +7.7%.

Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.

Risk

High confidence

Downside profile is elevated and scenario stress-testing is essential.

Risk factors: liabilities/assets +107.6%, momentum +0.3%, net margin +4.6%.

Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.

wynn

Wynn Resorts, Limited Market vs Earnings Trajectory

WYNN ยท NASDAQ

Loading price and EPS data...

Wynn Resorts, Limited

Wynn Resorts, Limited Fair Value Envelope

WYNN ยท NASDAQ

Our analysis suggests that WYNN has a fair value of HIDDEN per share in the Base Case projection. With shares currently trading at $104.95, this represents a potential HIDDEN relative to our calculated worth for Wynn Resorts, Limited.

Intrinsic Value
Current Price: $104.95
3Y-185.0%
5Y-116.0%
10Y+32.0%
3Y+90.0%
5Y+241.0%
10Y+60.0%
3Y-177.0%
5Y-116.0%
10Y+35.0%
3Y-1998.0%
5Y-226.0%
10Y+39.0%
3Y-263.0%
5Y-151.0%
10Y-356.0%
3Y+1.0%
5Y-3.0%
10Y+13.0%
Wynn Resorts, Limited

Wynn Resorts, Limited Profit Bridge

WYNN ยท NASDAQ
Revenue7.14B
Cost of Goods Sold (4.80B)
Gross Profit2.34B
Operating Expenses (1.18B)
Operating Income1.16B
Interest Expense (625.56M)
Other Income/Expense-642.74M
Pretax Income514.14M
Income Tax (105.00M)
Net Income327.33M
Net Income
327.33M

Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin

32.7%

Moderate margins typical of competitive industries. Monitor for pricing pressure or rising costs.

Operating Margin

16.2%

Healthy operating margins demonstrate effective cost control and strong business fundamentals.

Net Profit Margin

4.6%

Minimal profitability after all expenses. Limited financial flexibility for reinvestment or shareholder returns.

Effective Tax Rate

20.4%

Moderate tax rate typical for most corporations. Represents standard tax burden on profits.

Profitability Insight

Interest or tax burden: Strong operational performance but thin net margins indicate high interest expenses or unfavorable tax position eating into profits.

32.73%
Gross Profit Margin
-25%
3Y-10.0%
5Y+95.0%
10Y-14.0%
16.21%
Operating Profit Margin
2%
3Y-705.0%
5Y-128.0%
10Y+39.0%
4.59%
Net Profit Margin
-35%
3Y-141.0%
5Y-105.0%
10Y-15.0%
-118.82%
Return on Equity
-47%
3Y-310.0%
5Y-120.0%
10Y-178.0%
2.42%
Return on Assets
-37%
3Y-177.0%
5Y-116.0%
10Y+20.0%
7.73%
Return on Invested Capital
-21%
3Y-1033.0%
5Y-179.0%
10Y+60.0%
WYNN

Wynn Resorts, Limited Cash Conversion Engine

WYNN ยท NASDAQ
Net Income409.13M
Depreciation & Amortization620.63M
Stock-Based Compensation91.93M
Change in Working Capital-38.78M
Others164.73M
Capital Expenditures-660.43M
Free Cash Flow692.22M

Cash Flow Quality Analysis

FCF Conversion Rate

169.2%

Excellent cash generation. The company converts earnings to cash at or above 100%, indicating high-quality earnings.

CapEx Intensity

48.8%

Capital-intensive operations require significant reinvestment. Monitor whether CapEx is maintenance or growth-oriented.

FCF Growth Trend

-31.0%

Significant FCF decline raises concerns. Urgent review needed of operational performance and capital allocation.

Working Capital Impact

-$38.78M

Minimal working capital impact on FCF. Changes in operating assets and liabilities well-managed.

Cash Flow Quality Insight

Solid cash generation: Positive free cash flow with reasonable earnings quality provides financial flexibility for growth investments, debt reduction, or shareholder returns.

wynn

Wynn Resorts, Limited Funding & Solvency Profile

WYNN ยท NASDAQ
Cash & Cash Equivalents1.46B
Net Receivables415.34M
Inventory88.48M
Other Current Assets114.50M
Total Current Assets3 B
Property, Plant & Equipment8.51B
Goodwill & Intangible Assets224.24M
Long-Term Investments1.11B
Other Non-Current Assets170.78M
Total Non-Current Assets10 B
Total Assets
13.50B

Financial Health Analysis

Current Ratio

1.63x

Strong liquidity. The company has adequate resources to meet short-term liabilities.

Working Capital

1 B

Strong working capital position provides significant operational flexibility and financial cushion.

Asset Composition

20% Current

Capital-intensive business with significant long-term investments in property, equipment, or intangibles.

wynn

Wynn Resorts, Limited Street Expectations Map

WYNN ยท NASDAQ

Wall Street analysts project that WYNN stock may rise significantly over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 141.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 127.00 to a high of 155.00.

Lowest Target
127.00
21.01%
Consensus Target
141.00
34.35%
Highest Target
155.00
47.69%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 141.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 127.00 to a high of 155.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

+34.4%

Substantial upside potential. Analysts see significant value gap, suggesting the stock may be materially undervalued at current levels.

Analyst Agreement

19.9% spread

High analyst agreement. Narrow target range indicates strong consensus on valuation, suggesting clear investment thesis and predictable outlook.

Analyst Conviction

Very High

Strong buy conviction: High upside with tight consensus suggests compelling investment opportunity backed by analyst confidence.

Market Sentiment Insight

Rare opportunity: Exceptional upside potential with strong analyst consensus creates a compelling setup. The combination of significant price target premium and tight agreement suggests high-conviction undervaluation that may attract institutional capital.

wynn

Wynn Resorts, Limited Insider Positioning

WYNN ยท NASDAQ

During the last 12 months, insiders have sold $546.58M worth of WYNN shares, with no buying activity reported.

3 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

2.2M

262.60M

Net Activity

-262.6M

-$262.60M

3-6 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

1.5M

196.99M

Net Activity

-197.0M

-$196.99M

6-9 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

554.5K

86.44M

Net Activity

-86.4M

-$86.44M

9-12 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

4.4K

554.75K

Net Activity

-555K

-$555K

Top Buyers

No buying activity

Top Sellers

1
FTJ

Fertitta Tilman J

10 Percent Owner

4.2M sharesโ€ข27 transactions

$546.03M

2
MP

Mulroy Patricia

Director

4.4K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$555K

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bearish

Strong bearish signal with $546.58M net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.

Buy/Sell Ratio

0.00:1

Very poor ratio. Heavy selling with minimal buying suggests insiders may be concerned about valuation or outlook.

Recent Trend (3 Months)

$262.60M

Heavy recent selling activity. Recent insider sales notably exceed purchasesโ€”may warrant investigation into company developments.

Insider Participation

High Selling

2 insider sellers vs. 0 buyers. Widespread selling across multiple insiders may signal concerns.

Insider Activity Insight

Persistent selling pressure: Consistent insider selling with weak buy/sell ratio suggests insiders may be capitalizing on current valuation. Exercise caution and review recent earnings quality and management commentary.

0.26%
Dividend Yield
23%
3Y+18243.0%
5Y+12129.0%
10Y-85.0%
ย 

wynn Dividend History

WYNN
10Y CAGR 13%
Latest $0.25
Annual $1
Stable dividend payments
Last Period: +0%