Western Digital Corporation

Western Digital Corporation

WDCยทNASDAQ

$594.23

+8.8%
TechnologyComputer Hardware

Western Digital Corporation develops, manufactures, and sells data storage devices and solutions in the United States, China, Hong Kong, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, rest of Asia, and internationally. It offers client devices, including hard disk drives (HDDs) and solid state drives (SSDs) for computing devices, such as desktop and notebook personal computers (PCs), smart video systems, gaming consoles, and set top boxes; flash-based embedded storage products for mobile phones, tablets, notebook PCs, and other portable and wearable devices, as well as automotive, Internet of Things, industrial, and connected home applications; and flash-based memory wafers. The company also provides data center devices and solutions comprising enterprise helium hard drives; enterprise SSDs consisting of flash-based SSDs and software solutions for use in enterprise servers, online transactions, data analysis, and other enterprise applications; data center solutions for data storage systems and tiered storage models; and data storage platforms. In addition, it offers client solutions, such as external HDD storage products in mobile and desktop form; client portable SSDs; removable cards that are used in consumer devices comprising mobile phones, tablets, imaging systems, and cameras and smart video systems; universal serial bus flash drives for use in the computing and consumer markets; and wireless drive products used in-field back up of created content, as well as wireless streaming of high-definition movies, photos, music, and documents to tablets, smartphones, and PCs. The company sells its products under the G-Technology, SanDisk, and WD brands to original equipment manufacturers, distributors, dealers, resellers, and retailers. Western Digital Corporation was founded in 1970 and is headquartered in San Jose, California.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$204.82B
EPS5.3100
P/E Ratio111.91
Earnings Date07/29/2026

Intrinsic Alpha Methodology

Thesis Lenses

Signal ยท Driver ยท Risk

Signal

High confidence

Valuation multiple is elevated (P/E 111.9).

Valuation inputs: P/E 111.9, earnings yield +0.9%, momentum +8.8%.

If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.

Driver

High confidence

Return profile is strong (ROE +35.0%, ROIC +21.5%).

Profitability stack: net margin +19.6%, ROE +35.0%, ROIC +21.5%.

Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.

Risk

High confidence

Downside profile looks controlled across current risk inputs.

Risk factors: liabilities/assets +62.1%, momentum +8.8%, net margin +19.6%.

Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.

wdc

Western Digital Corporation Market vs Earnings Trajectory

WDC ยท NASDAQ

Loading price and EPS data...

Western Digital Corporation

Western Digital Corporation Fair Value Envelope

WDC ยท NASDAQ

Our analysis suggests that WDC has a fair value of HIDDEN per share in the Base Case projection. With shares currently trading at $594.23, this represents a potential HIDDEN relative to our calculated worth for Western Digital Corporation.

Intrinsic Value
Current Price: $594.23
3Y-199.0%
5Y+10.0%
10Y-306.0%
3Y+52.0%
5Y-49.0%
10Y-43.0%
3Y-211.0%
5Y+20.0%
10Y-347.0%
3Y-514.0%
5Y-10.0%
10Y+9.0%
3Y-206.0%
5Y+66.0%
10Y+63.0%
3Y-43.0%
5Y-47.0%
10Y-47.0%
Western Digital Corporation

Western Digital Corporation Profit Bridge

WDC ยท NASDAQ
Revenue9.52B
Cost of Goods Sold (5.83B)
Gross Profit3.69B
Operating Expenses (1.36B)
Operating Income2.33B
Interest Expense (357.00M)
Other Income/Expense-1.20B
Pretax Income1.13B
Income Tax (-513.00M)
Net Income1.86B
Net Income
1.86B

Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin

38.8%

Strong gross margins indicate healthy pricing and efficient production or service delivery.

Operating Margin

24.5%

Healthy operating margins demonstrate effective cost control and strong business fundamentals.

Net Profit Margin

19.5%

Strong net margins indicate efficient operations and favorable tax/interest management.

Effective Tax Rate

-45.4%

Below-average tax rate suggests effective tax planning, favorable jurisdictions, or tax credits.

Profitability Insight

Efficient profit conversion: Minimal margin compression from gross to net indicates lean operations and favorable tax/interest environment.

38.78%
Gross Profit Margin
38%
3Y+74.0%
5Y+24.0%
10Y+71.0%
24.52%
Operating Profit Margin
-484%
3Y-380.0%
5Y+93.0%
10Y+4569.0%
19.55%
Net Profit Margin
-255%
3Y-173.0%
5Y+138.0%
10Y-530.0%
35.04%
Return on Equity
-575%
3Y-328.0%
5Y+177.0%
10Y-563.0%
13.29%
Return on Assets
-503%
3Y-294.0%
5Y+126.0%
10Y-565.0%
21.53%
Return on Invested Capital
-1162%
3Y-900.0%
5Y+166.0%
10Y+2050.0%
WDC

Western Digital Corporation Cash Conversion Engine

WDC ยท NASDAQ
Net Income1.89B
Depreciation & Amortization451.00M
Stock-Based Compensation265.00M
Change in Working Capital-1.03B
Others862.00M
Capital Expenditures-407.00M
Free Cash Flow1.28B

Cash Flow Quality Analysis

FCF Conversion Rate

68.0%

Moderate conversion rate. Some gap between earnings and cash flow may warrant investigation into working capital or non-cash items.

CapEx Intensity

24.1%

Moderate capital requirements typical of many stable businesses. Healthy balance between reinvestment and cash generation.

FCF Growth Trend

+264.4%

Strong FCF growth demonstrates improving cash generation and business momentum. Positive signal for sustainability.

Working Capital Impact

-$1.03B

Significant working capital drain. Growth may be consuming cash through inventory buildup or receivables extensionโ€”monitor closely.

Cash Flow Quality Insight

Working capital strain: Significant cash tied up in operations. Monitor receivables collection, inventory turns, and payment terms to optimize cash conversion cycle.

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Western Digital Corporation Funding & Solvency Profile

WDC ยท NASDAQ
Cash & Cash Equivalents2.05B
Net Receivables1.89B
Inventory1.36B
Other Current Assets1.61B
Total Current Assets7 B
Property, Plant & Equipment2.42B
Goodwill & Intangible Assets4.32B
Long-Term Investments0.00
Other Non-Current Assets1.39B
Total Non-Current Assets4 B
Total Assets
15.04B

Financial Health Analysis

Current Ratio

1.49x

Acceptable liquidity, but monitor closely. Current assets just barely cover current liabilities.

Debt-to-Equity Ratio

0.55x

Balanced capital structure with moderate leverage. Equity exceeds debt, suggesting healthy financial stability.

Working Capital

2 B

Strong working capital position provides significant operational flexibility and financial cushion.

Asset Composition

46% Current

Balanced asset mix between current and non-current assets, typical of many stable businesses.

wdc

Western Digital Corporation Street Expectations Map

WDC ยท NASDAQ

Wall Street analysts project that WDC stock may decline over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 458.07, with estimates ranging from a low of 250.00 to a high of 660.00.

Lowest Target
250.00
-57.93%
Consensus Target
458.07
-22.91%
Highest Target
660.00
11.07%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 458.07, with estimates ranging from a low of 250.00 to a high of 660.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

-22.9%

Significant downside risk. Stock trading well above analyst consensus suggests elevated valuation concerns and potential correction.

Analyst Agreement

89.5% spread

High uncertainty. Very wide target spread indicates significant disagreement among analystsโ€”major valuation uncertainty or transformation underway.

Risk-Reward Profile

0.19x

Unfavorable risk-reward. Downside risk exceeds upside potential. Consider defensive positioning or alternative opportunities.

Analyst Conviction

Low

High uncertainty: Wide dispersion indicates analysts struggle to agree on valuationโ€”proceed with caution and independent analysis.

Market Sentiment Insight

Extreme uncertainty: Massive dispersion in price targets reflects fundamental disagreement on business trajectory. This could signal transformation, disruption, or complex valuationโ€”requires deep sector expertise and contrarian mindset.

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Western Digital Corporation Insider Positioning

WDC ยท NASDAQ

During the last 12 months, insiders have sold $20.19M worth of WDC shares, with no buying activity reported.

3 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

22.3K

8.62M

Net Activity

-8.6M

-$8.62M

3-6 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

16.5K

3.99M

Net Activity

-4.0M

-$3.99M

6-9 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

22.4K

3.56M

Net Activity

-3.6M

-$3.56M

9-12 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

51.7K

4.03M

Net Activity

-4.0M

-$4.03M

Top Buyers

No buying activity

Top Sellers

1
GVK

Gubbi Vidyadhara K

Officer: Chief Of Global Operations

54.3K sharesโ€ข8 transactions

$10.23M

2
TCL

Tregillis Cynthia L

Officer: Chief Legal Officer & Corp Sec

26.5K sharesโ€ข12 transactions

$4.27M

3
TI

Tan Irving

Director, Officer: Chief Executive Officer

14.4K sharesโ€ข4 transactions

$2.45M

4
DBS

Davis Brian Scott

Officer: Chief Sales & Mrktng Officer

2.0K sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$914K

5
MME

Massengill Matthew E

Director

2.6K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$667K

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bearish

Strong bearish signal with $20.19M net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.

Buy/Sell Ratio

0.00:1

Very poor ratio. Heavy selling with minimal buying suggests insiders may be concerned about valuation or outlook.

Recent Trend (3 Months)

$8.62M

Heavy recent selling activity. Recent insider sales notably exceed purchasesโ€”may warrant investigation into company developments.

Insider Participation

High Selling

5 insider sellers vs. 0 buyers. Widespread selling across multiple insiders may signal concerns.

Insider Activity Insight

Multiple red flags: Heavy selling, numerous sellers, and continued recent selling create a concerning pattern. Investigate fundamental drivers and consider whether company guidance or industry conditions have deteriorated.

0.04%
Dividend Yield
-43%
3Y-
5Y-
10Y-97.0%
ย 

wdc Dividend History

WDC
10Y CAGR 2%
Latest $0.15
Annual $0.5
Dividend growth trend
Last Period: +20%