Verastem, Inc.

Verastem, Inc.

VSTMยทNASDAQ

$3.62

-5.0%
HealthcareBiotechnology

Verastem, Inc., a development-stage biopharmaceutical company, focusing on developing and commercializing drugs for the treatment of cancer. Its product in development includes VS-6766, a dual rapidly accelerated fibrosarcoma (RAF)/mitogen-activated protein kinase (MEK) clamp that blocks MEK kinase activity and the ability of RAF to phosphorylate MEK. The company also engages in developing RAMP 201, an adaptive two-part multicenter, parallel cohort, randomized open label trial to evaluate the efficacy and safety of VS-6766 and in combination with defactinib, an oral small molecule inhibitor of focal adhesion kinase (FAK) in patients with recurrent low grade serous ovarian cancer; and RAMP 202, which is in Phase 2 trial to evaluate the safety of VS-6766 in combination with defactinib in patients with KRAS and BRAF mutant non-small cell lung cancer following treatment with a platinum-based regimen and immune checkpoint inhibitor. Verastem, Inc. has license agreements with Chugai Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. for the development, commercialization, and manufacture of products containing VS-6766; and Pfizer Inc. to research, develop, manufacture, and commercialize products containing Pfizer's inhibitors of FAK for therapeutic, diagnostic and prophylactic uses in humans. In addition, it has clinical collaboration agreement with Amgen, Inc. to evaluate the combination of VS-6766 with Amgen's KRAS-G12C inhibitor LUMAKRASTM which in Phase 1/2 trial entitled RAMP 203. The company was incorporated in 2010 and is headquartered in Needham, Massachusetts.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$250.92M
EPS-3.0200
P/E Ratio-1.20
Earnings Date08/06/2026

Intrinsic Alpha Methodology

Thesis Lenses

Signal ยท Driver ยท Risk

Signal

Medium confidence

Valuation multiple is compressed (P/E -1.2).

Valuation inputs: P/E -1.2, earnings yield N/A, momentum -5.0%.

If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.

Driver

High confidence

Return profile is soft (ROE -3.7%, ROIC -97.4%).

Profitability stack: net margin -6.8%, ROE -3.7%, ROIC -97.4%.

Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.

Risk

High confidence

Downside profile is elevated and scenario stress-testing is essential.

Risk factors: liabilities/assets +76.8%, momentum -5.0%, net margin -6.8%.

Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.

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Verastem, Inc. Market vs Earnings Trajectory

VSTM ยท NASDAQ

Loading price and EPS data...

Verastem, Inc.

Verastem, Inc. Fair Value Envelope

VSTM ยท NASDAQ

Our analysis suggests that VSTM has a fair value of HIDDEN per share in the Base Case projection. With shares currently trading at $3.62, this represents a potential HIDDEN relative to our calculated worth for Verastem, Inc..

Intrinsic Value
Current Price: $3.62
3Y-34.0%
5Y-43.0%
10Y-74.0%
3Y+1091.0%
5Y-65.0%
10Y-
3Y+184.0%
5Y+209.0%
10Y+475.0%
3Y+116.0%
5Y+310.0%
10Y+366.0%
3Y+116.0%
5Y+310.0%
10Y+366.0%
3Y+159.0%
5Y+60.0%
10Y+195.0%
Verastem, Inc.

Verastem, Inc. Profit Bridge

VSTM ยท NASDAQ
Revenue30.91M
Cost of Goods Sold (5.30M)
Gross Profit25.62M
Operating Expenses (195.75M)
Operating Income-170.13M
Interest Expense (1.14M)
Other Income/Expense-39.34M
Pretax Income-209.47M
Income Tax (0.00)
Net Income-209.47M
Net Income
-209.47M

Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin

82.9%

Exceptional pricing power and cost management. The company retains over half of revenue after direct costs.

Operating Margin

-550.3%

Operating losses indicate the core business is unprofitable. Requires restructuring or revenue growth.

Net Profit Margin

-677.6%

Net losses indicate the company is burning cash. Sustainability depends on path to profitability.

Profitability Insight

Margin squeeze alert: Healthy gross margins but weak operating margins suggest excessive operating expenses. Cost optimization could unlock significant value.

82.86%
Gross Profit Margin
-17%
3Y-17.0%
5Y+34.0%
10Y-
-550.33%
Operating Profit Margin
-52%
3Y-80.0%
5Y+887.0%
10Y-
-677.59%
Net Profit Margin
-48%
3Y-76.0%
5Y+786.0%
10Y-
-366.23%
Return on Equity
-181%
3Y+135.0%
5Y+523.0%
10Y+627.0%
-85.00%
Return on Assets
-34%
3Y+9.0%
5Y+94.0%
10Y+95.0%
-97.38%
Return on Invested Capital
-39%
3Y-1.0%
5Y+172.0%
10Y+91.0%
VSTM

Verastem, Inc. Cash Conversion Engine

VSTM ยท NASDAQ
Net Income-209.47M
Depreciation & Amortization728.00K
Stock-Based Compensation9.40M
Change in Working Capital26.00M
Others35.83M
Capital Expenditures0.00
Free Cash Flow-137.51M

Cash Flow Quality Analysis

FCF Conversion Rate

65.6%

Moderate conversion rate. Some gap between earnings and cash flow may warrant investigation into working capital or non-cash items.

FCF Growth Trend

-31.2%

Significant FCF decline raises concerns. Urgent review needed of operational performance and capital allocation.

Working Capital Impact

+$26.00M

Working capital inflow boosted cash flow. Efficient management of receivables, inventory, and payables contributing positively.

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Verastem, Inc. Funding & Solvency Profile

VSTM ยท NASDAQ
Cash & Cash Equivalents165.55M
Net Receivables10.16M
Inventory2.29M
Other Current Assets8.78M
Total Current Assets203 M
Property, Plant & Equipment2.79M
Goodwill & Intangible Assets16.15M
Long-Term Investments0.00
Other Non-Current Assets5.96M
Total Non-Current Assets9 M
Total Assets
227.81M

Financial Health Analysis

Current Ratio

3.04x

Excellent liquidity position. The company can easily cover its short-term obligations with substantial cushion.

Debt-to-Equity Ratio

1.79x

Elevated leverage. Debt exceeds equity, which amplifies both gains and risks. Monitor debt servicing ability.

Working Capital

136 M

Strong working capital position provides significant operational flexibility and financial cushion.

Asset Composition

89% Current

Asset-light business model with high liquidity. Majority of assets are easily convertible to cash.

Financial Health Insight

Mixed signals: Strong short-term liquidity provides comfort, but high overall leverage requires careful monitoring of debt servicing capabilities and refinancing risk.

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Verastem, Inc. Street Expectations Map

VSTM ยท NASDAQ

Wall Street analysts project that VSTM stock may rise significantly over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 18.25, with estimates ranging from a low of 18.00 to a high of 19.00.

Lowest Target
18.00
397.24%
Consensus Target
18.25
404.14%
Highest Target
19.00
424.86%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 18.25, with estimates ranging from a low of 18.00 to a high of 19.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

+404.1%

Substantial upside potential. Analysts see significant value gap, suggesting the stock may be materially undervalued at current levels.

Analyst Agreement

5.5% spread

High analyst agreement. Narrow target range indicates strong consensus on valuation, suggesting clear investment thesis and predictable outlook.

Analyst Conviction

Very High

Strong buy conviction: High upside with tight consensus suggests compelling investment opportunity backed by analyst confidence.

Market Sentiment Insight

Rare opportunity: Exceptional upside potential with strong analyst consensus creates a compelling setup. The combination of significant price target premium and tight agreement suggests high-conviction undervaluation that may attract institutional capital.

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Verastem, Inc. Insider Positioning

VSTM ยท NASDAQ

During the last 12 months, insiders have sold $580K worth of VSTM shares, with no buying activity reported.

3 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

806

4.69K

Net Activity

-5K

-$5K

3-6 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

25.7K

210.32K

Net Activity

-210K

-$210K

6-9 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

36.1K

365.00K

Net Activity

-365K

-$365K

9-12 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

Top Buyers

No buying activity

Top Sellers

1
PD

Paterson Dan

Director, Officer: President And Ceo

41.8K sharesโ€ข19 transactions

$387K

2
KM

Kauffman Michael

Director

8.6K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$86K

3
BPA

Bunn Paul A.

Director

6.3K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$63K

4
CD

Calkins Daniel

Officer: Chief Financial Officer

5.1K sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$37K

5
SBM

Stuglik Brian M

Director

592 sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$5K

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bearish

Strong bearish signal with $580K net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.

Buy/Sell Ratio

0.00:1

Very poor ratio. Heavy selling with minimal buying suggests insiders may be concerned about valuation or outlook.

Recent Trend (3 Months)

$5K

Heavy recent selling activity. Recent insider sales notably exceed purchasesโ€”may warrant investigation into company developments.

Insider Participation

High Selling

5 insider sellers vs. 0 buyers. Widespread selling across multiple insiders may signal concerns.

Insider Activity Insight

Multiple red flags: Heavy selling, numerous sellers, and continued recent selling create a concerning pattern. Investigate fundamental drivers and consider whether company guidance or industry conditions have deteriorated.

No Dividend Yield Data

VSTM has not reported any dividend yield values in the available annual periods.

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vstm Dividend History

VSTM
10Y CAGR +0%
Latest $0
Annual $0
Stable dividend payments
Last Period: +0%