VSE Corporation

VSE Corporation

VSECยทNASDAQ

$176.03

+0.15%
IndustrialsAerospace & Defense

VSE Corporation operates as a diversified aftermarket products and services company in the United States. The company operates through three segments: Aviation, Fleet, and Federal and Defense. The Aviation segment provides international parts supply and distribution, supply chain solutions, and component and engine accessory maintenance, repair, and overhaul (MRO) services. This segment serves commercial airlines, regional airlines, cargo transporters, MRO integrators and providers, aviation manufacturers, corporate and private aircraft owners, and fixed-base operators. The Fleet segment offers parts supply, inventory management, e-commerce fulfillment, logistics, and other services to assist aftermarket commercial and federal customers with their supply chain management. This segment also provides sale of vehicle parts and supply chain services to support client truck fleets, as well as sustainment solutions and managed inventory services to government and commercial truck fleets. The Federal and Defense segment offers aftermarket refurbishment and sustainment services to extend and maintain the life cycle of military vehicles, ships, and aircraft for the United States Department of Defense (DoD). This segment also provides foreign military sales services, engineering, logistics, maintenance, configuration management, prototyping, technology, and field support services to the DoD and other customers. In addition, this segment offers energy consulting services and IT solutions to various DoD, federal civilian agencies, and commercial clients. The company also provides vehicle and equipment maintenance and refurbishment, logistics, engineering support, energy services, and IT and health care IT solutions, as well as consulting services. VSE Corporation was incorporated in 1959 and is headquartered in Alexandria, Virginia.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$4.02B
EPS2.5200
P/E Ratio69.85
Earnings Date07/29/2026

Intrinsic Alpha Methodology

Thesis Lenses

Signal ยท Driver ยท Risk

Signal

High confidence

Valuation multiple is elevated (P/E 69.8).

Valuation inputs: P/E 69.8, earnings yield +1.4%, momentum +0.1%.

If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.

Driver

High confidence

Return profile is soft (ROE +3.7%, ROIC +5.4%).

Profitability stack: net margin +4.8%, ROE +3.7%, ROIC +5.4%.

Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.

Risk

High confidence

Risk profile is balanced but has notable pressure points to monitor.

Risk factors: liabilities/assets +29.1%, momentum +0.1%, net margin +4.8%.

Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.

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VSE Corporation Market vs Earnings Trajectory

VSEC ยท NASDAQ

Loading price and EPS data...

VSE Corporation

VSE Corporation Fair Value Envelope

VSEC ยท NASDAQ

Our analysis suggests that VSEC has a fair value of HIDDEN per share in the Base Case projection. With shares currently trading at $176.03, this represents a potential HIDDEN relative to our calculated worth for VSE Corporation.

Intrinsic Value
Current Price: $176.03
3Y+15.0%
5Y-636.0%
10Y+2.0%
3Y+66.0%
5Y+68.0%
10Y+61.0%
3Y+91.0%
5Y-1134.0%
10Y+100.0%
3Y+235.0%
5Y-25.0%
10Y-43.0%
3Y-281.0%
5Y-82.0%
10Y-86.0%
3Y+103.0%
5Y+160.0%
10Y+207.0%
VSE Corporation

VSE Corporation Profit Bridge

VSEC ยท NASDAQ
Revenue1.11B
Cost of Goods Sold (980.14M)
Gross Profit132.13M
Operating Expenses (7.14M)
Operating Income125.00M
Interest Expense (20.56M)
Other Income/Expense-55.96M
Pretax Income69.04M
Income Tax (15.55M)
Net Income53.49M
Net Income
53.49M

Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin

11.9%

Thin margins leave little room for error. Cost management and pricing strategy are critical.

Operating Margin

11.2%

Acceptable margins but limited operational leverage. Operating expense control is important.

Net Profit Margin

4.8%

Minimal profitability after all expenses. Limited financial flexibility for reinvestment or shareholder returns.

Effective Tax Rate

22.5%

Moderate tax rate typical for most corporations. Represents standard tax burden on profits.

Profitability Insight

Efficient profit conversion: Minimal margin compression from gross to net indicates lean operations and favorable tax/interest environment.

11.88%
Gross Profit Margin
19%
3Y+39.0%
5Y+36.0%
10Y+41.0%
11.24%
Operating Profit Margin
18%
3Y+40.0%
5Y+32.0%
10Y+51.0%
4.81%
Net Profit Margin
70%
3Y+15.0%
5Y-715.0%
10Y+24.0%
3.72%
Return on Equity
20%
3Y-40.0%
5Y-356.0%
10Y-65.0%
2.64%
Return on Assets
50%
3Y-6.0%
5Y-498.0%
10Y-35.0%
5.37%
Return on Invested Capital
-1%
3Y+6.0%
5Y-105.0%
10Y-13.0%
VSEC

VSE Corporation Cash Conversion Engine

VSEC ยท NASDAQ
Net Income53.49M
Depreciation & Amortization39.92M
Stock-Based Compensation0.00
Change in Working Capital-113.13M
Others46.76M
Capital Expenditures-21.28M
Free Cash Flow5.71M

Cash Flow Quality Analysis

FCF Conversion Rate

10.7%

Weak cash conversion. Significant portion of earnings not converting to cashโ€”review working capital trends and capital intensity.

CapEx Intensity

78.8%

Very high capital intensity consumes most operating cash flow. Limited flexibility for dividends or debt reduction.

FCF Growth Trend

+111.0%

Strong FCF growth demonstrates improving cash generation and business momentum. Positive signal for sustainability.

Working Capital Impact

-$113.13M

Significant working capital drain. Growth may be consuming cash through inventory buildup or receivables extensionโ€”monitor closely.

Cash Flow Quality Insight

Capital-intensive growth: Heavy reinvestment limits current cash available but may drive future returns. Assess whether CapEx supports compelling growth opportunities with adequate ROI.

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VSE Corporation Funding & Solvency Profile

VSEC ยท NASDAQ
Cash & Cash Equivalents1.24B
Net Receivables216.50M
Inventory625.74M
Other Current Assets79.29M
Total Current Assets2 B
Property, Plant & Equipment142.09M
Goodwill & Intangible Assets957.70M
Long-Term Investments0.00
Other Non-Current Assets49.93M
Total Non-Current Assets192 M
Total Assets
3.31B

Financial Health Analysis

Current Ratio

8.78x

Excellent liquidity position. The company can easily cover its short-term obligations with substantial cushion.

Debt-to-Equity Ratio

0.24x

Conservative capital structure. The company relies primarily on equity financing, indicating low financial risk.

Working Capital

2 B

Strong working capital position provides significant operational flexibility and financial cushion.

Asset Composition

65% Current

Asset-light business model with high liquidity. Majority of assets are easily convertible to cash.

Financial Health Insight

Strong financial foundation: Excellent liquidity combined with conservative leverage suggests the company is well-positioned to weather economic uncertainties and fund growth opportunities.

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VSE Corporation Street Expectations Map

VSEC ยท NASDAQ

Wall Street analysts project that VSEC stock may rise significantly over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 247.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 222.00 to a high of 268.00.

Lowest Target
222.00
26.11%
Consensus Target
247.00
40.32%
Highest Target
268.00
52.25%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 247.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 222.00 to a high of 268.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

+40.3%

Substantial upside potential. Analysts see significant value gap, suggesting the stock may be materially undervalued at current levels.

Analyst Agreement

18.6% spread

High analyst agreement. Narrow target range indicates strong consensus on valuation, suggesting clear investment thesis and predictable outlook.

Analyst Conviction

Very High

Strong buy conviction: High upside with tight consensus suggests compelling investment opportunity backed by analyst confidence.

Market Sentiment Insight

Rare opportunity: Exceptional upside potential with strong analyst consensus creates a compelling setup. The combination of significant price target premium and tight agreement suggests high-conviction undervaluation that may attract institutional capital.

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VSE Corporation Insider Positioning

VSEC ยท NASDAQ

During the last 12 months, there has been no insider trading activity reported for VSEC.

3 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

3-6 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

6-9 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

9-12 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

Top Buyers

No buying activity

Top Sellers

No selling activity

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Neutral

No insider trading activity reported. This could indicate blackout periods, lack of conviction, or regulatory restrictions.

Insider Participation

No Activity

No insider trading activity reported from any insiders in the past year.

0.05%
Dividend Yield
-12%
3Y-79.0%
5Y-78.0%
10Y-72.0%
ย 

vsec Dividend History

VSEC
10Y CAGR +5%
Latest $0.1
Annual $0.5
5 year growth trend
Last Period: +0%